New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors Predictions

The New York Knicks will face the Golden State Warriors at Madison Square Garden on March 5, 2025, in a key NBA matchup that could influence playoff seeding in both conferences. The Knicks, coached by Tom Thibodeau, are projected to sit 4th in the Eastern Conference with around 35 wins and 23 losses (35-23) after 58 games as of March 4, 2025, following a 112-108 win over the Detroit Pistons (March 1, 2025), aiming to extend their home dominance against a formidable Warriors squad. The Warriors, under Steve Kerr, are expected to hold 3rd place in the Western Conference with approximately 42 wins and 16 losses (42-16), coming off a 126-120 victory over the Charlotte Hornets (March 4, 2025), looking to maintain their elite road form. This expert prediction analyzes team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors in this NBA clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

New York Knicks

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 4): 35W, 23L (35-23, 4th in Eastern Conference)
Latest Result: 112-108 win vs. Detroit Pistons (March 1, 2025)
Home Form: 19W, 10L (35.2 points scored, 32.8 conceded – equivalent stats)

The Knicks have been a force at home, with their recent 112-108 victory over the Pistons marking their fifth win in seven games as of March 4, 2025. Projected at 35-23 through 58 games, their last home win—a 120-116 triumph over the Cleveland Cavaliers (Feb 27, 2025)—extends an impressive run at Madison Square Garden (7W in last 9 home games). At home, they’ve averaged 118.6 points scored and 111.4 conceded per game (ranking 6th in defensive rating at 112.8), driven by Jalen Brunson’s scoring and Karl-Anthony Towns’s two-way play, though defensive consistency against elite offenses remains a question.

Golden State Warriors

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 4): 42W, 16L (42-16, 3rd in Western Conference)
Latest Result: 126-120 win vs. Charlotte Hornets (March 4, 2025)
Away Form: 20W, 9L (35.8 points scored, 32.5 conceded – equivalent stats)

The Warriors have been a juggernaut on the road, with their recent 126-120 win over the Hornets marking their eighth victory in nine games as of March 4, 2025. Projected at 42-16 after 58 games, their last road win—a 118-112 triumph over the Boston Celtics (Feb 27, 2025)—extends an 8-2 record in their last 10 away games. On the road, they’ve averaged 118.2 points scored and 111.8 conceded per game (ranking 4th in offensive rating at 119.5), powered by Stephen Curry’s sharpshooting and Draymond Green’s defensive tenacity, making them a tough matchup for the Knicks’ home defense.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

Overall Record: Golden State 84W, New York 72W (156 meetings since 1946)
Recent Meetings:

• Feb 25, 2025: Golden State 128-92 New York (NBA)

• Mar 18, 2024: Golden State 119-112 New York (NBA)

• Feb 29, 2024: New York 110-99 Golden State (NBA)

Key Trend: Golden State have won 4 of the last 5 meetings; 3 of the last 5 H2Hs went over 225 points.

Golden State crushed New York 128-92 in their last meeting on February 25, 2025, at Chase Center, with Curry’s 30 points leading the charge, though New York’s 110-99 win in February 2024 at Madison Square Garden shows their home potential. Matches have averaged 230.2 points in their last five encounters, suggesting a high-scoring trend, with New York’s home defense (111.4 points conceded per game) set to face a stern test against Golden State’s road offense (118.2 points per game).

Key Players to Watch

New York Knicks

• Jalen Brunson (G): 27.5 points, 6.8 assists, 3.9 rebounds in 2024/25; Knicks’ offensive leader and clutch performer.

• Karl-Anthony Towns (C): 23.2 points, 11.8 rebounds; dominant big man with scoring and rebounding prowess.

• OG Anunoby (F): 14.8 points, 5.2 rebounds; defensive stopper with two-way impact.

Golden State Warriors

• Stephen Curry (G): 27.5 points, 6.8 assists, 4.5 rebounds in 2024/25; Warriors’ MVP and sharpshooting legend.

• Andrew Wiggins (F): 18.2 points, 5.5 rebounds; reliable secondary scorer and wing defender.

• Draymond Green (F): 9.5 points, 6.8 rebounds, 6.2 assists; defensive anchor and playmaker.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

The Knicks’ 4-1-4-1 (115.8 points per game) hinges on Brunson’s pick-and-roll mastery and Towns’s interior presence, testing Golden State’s defense (111.8 points conceded per game away), which ranks 8th league-wide. Their perimeter defense (allowing 36.2% from three) will face Curry’s elite shooting (45.5% from three), while Towns’s rebounding battles Green’s versatility. The Warriors’ 4-1-4-1 (116.8 points per game) thrives on Curry’s off-ball movement and Wiggins’s scoring, exploiting New York’s occasional lapses (112.8 defensive rating). New York’s Mikal Bridges (questionable, ankle) and Mitchell Robinson (out, ankle) could affect depth, while Golden State’s Jonathan Kuminga (questionable, ankle) is a concern. Madison Square Garden’s 19,812 fans will rally the Knicks, but Golden State’s pace (13.8 fast-break points per game) and depth (10 players averaging 8+ points) could push this to the brink.

Prediction: New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors

Our Prediction: Player Points - Draymond Green (GS) under 10,5 points