Al Akhdoud vs Al Fateh Predictions

Al Akhdoud will host Al Fateh at Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sports City Stadium on February 24, 2025, in a vital Saudi Pro League matchup as Round 22 brings together two sides desperate for points. Al Akhdoud, under Stjepan Tomas, are projected to sit 15th with around 16 points from 21 matches as of February 23, 2025, following a 0-4 loss to Al Hilal (Feb 15, 2025), aiming to leverage their home advantage to climb out of the relegation zone. Al Fateh, managed by Slaven Bilić, are expected to be 17th with approximately 17 points, buoyed by a 2-1 win over Al Ettifaq (Feb 15, 2025), but facing a tough road challenge. Our expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Al Akhdoud vs Al Fateh in this Saudi Pro League clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Al Akhdoud

• 2024/25 Record (Projected as of Feb 23): 4W, 4D, 13L (16 points, 15th in Saudi Pro League)

• Latest Result: 0-4 loss vs. Al Hilal (Feb 15, 2025)

• Home Form: 2W, 2D, 6L (12 goals scored, 18 conceded)
  Al Akhdoud have struggled throughout the 2024/25 season, with their recent 4-0 defeat to Al Hilal marking their fifth loss in six league games (1W, 0D, 5L), exposing defensive frailties and a lack of attacking cohesion. As of February 23, 2025, they’re projected at 16 points from 21 matches, with only two wins in their last 10 outings across all competitions. At home, they’ve averaged 1.20 goals per game and conceded 1.80, showing some resilience but struggling to convert chances against stronger opposition.

Al Fateh

• 2024/25 Record (Projected as of Feb 23): 5W, 2D, 14L (17 points, 17th in Saudi Pro League)

• Latest Result: 2-1 win vs. Al Ettifaq (Feb 15, 2025)

• Away Form: 2W, 1D, 7L (11 goals scored, 22 conceded)
  Al Fateh have been equally inconsistent, projected at 17 points from 21 matches as of February 23, 2025. Their recent 2-1 victory over Al Ettifaq snapped a four-game winless streak (0W, 1D, 3L), with Mourad Batna’s brace lifting spirits after a tough stretch that included a 5-2 loss to Al Riyadh (Feb 8, 2025). On the road, they’ve averaged 1.10 goals per game and conceded 2.20, with a solitary win in their last seven away league games, highlighting their vulnerability away from home.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Al Fateh 3W, Al Akhdoud 1W, 1D (5 meetings since 2022)

• Recent Meetings:

  • Sep 28, 2024: Al Fateh 2-4 Al Akhdoud (Pro League)

  • Feb 23, 2024: Al Fateh 1-1 Al Akhdoud (Pro League)

  • Aug 18, 2023: Al Akhdoud 1-3 Al Fateh (Pro League)

• Key Trend: Al Akhdoud won their last meeting 4-2; 3 of their last 5 H2Hs exceeded 2.5 goals.
  Al Akhdoud stunned Al Fateh with a 4-2 victory in their most recent clash in September 2024, breaking a trend of Al Fateh dominance that included a 3-1 win in August 2023. Matches have been high-scoring, averaging 3.0 goals per game in their last five encounters, with both teams showing attacking intent but defensive weaknesses, particularly in open play.

Key Players to Watch

Al Akhdoud

• Knowledge Musona (FWD): 5 goals in 2024/25; Al Akhdoud’s top scorer and creative spark.

• Juan Pedroza (MID): 3 goals, 4 assists; key playmaker in midfield.

• Paulo Vítor (GK): 4 clean sheets; vital despite defensive struggles.

Al Fateh

• Mourad Batna (MID): 8 goals in 2024/25; Al Fateh’s leading scorer and in-form winger.

• Sofiane Bendebka (MID): 4 goals, 3 assists; versatile midfielder adding dynamism.

• Jakub Szumski (GK): 3 clean sheets; anchors a shaky backline.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Al Akhdoud’s counterattacking 4-2-3-1 (1.14 goals per game) will test Al Fateh’s aggressive 4-3-3 (1.24 goals per game). Musona’s flair and Pedroza’s vision could exploit Al Fateh’s porous away defense (2.20 goals conceded per game), which has struggled this season. Al Fateh’s high-pressing style relies on Batna’s finishing and Bendebka’s energy, challenging Al Akhdoud’s backline (1.62 goals conceded per game), though their recent win suggests potential. Al Akhdoud’s Saeed Al-Rubaie (doubtful, hamstring) and Al Fateh’s Lucas Zelarayán (out, knee) may affect lineups, with Al Akhdoud’s 10,000-strong home crowd pushing for a vital win.

Prediction: Al Akhdoud vs Al Fateh

Our Prediction: Asian Handicap - Al Akhdoud to Win 0.0

TIP 2: Total Home - Over 1