Athletic Bilbao vs Girona Prediction & Betting Tips - La Liga 23 September 2025

Athletic Club vs Girona Predictions

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Athletic Club vs Girona Betting Tips
Athletic Club vs Girona Analysis
Team Form & Recent Performances
Athletic Bilbao
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2025/26 Record: 3W, 0D, 2L in La Liga (9 points, 4th); 2024/25 La Liga 5th with 18W, 8D, 8L
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Latest Result: Lost 2-0 at Valencia (September 14, 2025), lost 2-0 at Arsenal (Champions League, September 17, 2025)
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Home Form: 2W, 0D, 0L in 2 La Liga home games (5 goals scored, 0 conceded); 10W, 4D, 3L in 17 home games in 2024/25 (32 goals scored, 13 conceded)
Athletic Bilbao started strongly with three straight La Liga wins but have lost their last four matches across all competitions, failing to score in each, per. Their 2-0 loss to Valencia and 2-0 Champions League defeat to Arsenal exposed attacking woes, per. At San Mamés, they remain unbeaten in league play this season, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0 conceded per game, per. Over their last five games (1W, 0D, 4L), they’ve scored 3 goals and conceded 7, per. Injuries to Unai Eguiluz (injury), Benat Prados (injury), and Nico Williams (injury) persist, with Dani Vivian suspended, per. Their 55% possession and 4.8 shots on target per game show potential, but recent form is dire, per.
Girona
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2025/26 Record: 0W, 1D, 4L in La Liga (1 point, 20th); 2024/25 La Liga 9th with 16W, 9D, 9L
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Latest Result: Lost 4-0 vs. Levante (September 14, 2025), drew 1-1 at Celta Vigo (August 31, 2025)
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Away Form: 0W, 0D, 2L in 2 La Liga away games (1 goal scored, 6 conceded); 6W, 5D, 6L in 17 away games in 2024/25 (20 goals scored, 24 conceded)
Girona are winless in six straight La Liga games, rooted to the bottom with just one point and 15 goals conceded (worst in the league), per. Their 4-0 home thrashing by Levante was humiliating, per. Away, they've lost both games this season, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 3 conceded per game, per. Over their last five games (0W, 1D, 4L), they’ve scored 2 goals and conceded 13, per. Injuries to Ricard Artero (broken ankle), Viktor Tsygankov (thigh), David Lopez (thigh), and Thomas Lemar (injury), plus suspensions to Axel Witsel and Vitor Reis, cripple their squad, per. Their 49% possession and 3.2 shots on target per game reflect struggles, per.
Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context
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Overall Record: Athletic Bilbao lead with 5 wins to Girona’s 4, 1 draw in 10 matches, per
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Recent Meeting: February 8, 2025—Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Girona (La Liga)
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Key Trend: Athletic Bilbao won 3 of the last 5 H2Hs; 4 of 5 saw both teams score, averaging 3.2 goals per game; Athletic Bilbao won 3 of 5 home H2Hs, per
Athletic Bilbao thrashed Girona 3-0 at home in February 2025, per. Girona’s 2-1 home win in October 2024 and 3-2 away win in February 2023 show competitiveness, but Bilbao have won 5 of 10 overall, per. Both teams scored in 80% of recent H2Hs, with Bilbao averaging 2.0 goals to Girona’s 1.2, per. Bilbao’s home dominance (2W in 2 this season) contrasts with Girona’s away woes (0W in 2), per.
Key Players to Watch
Athletic Bilbao
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Oihan Sancet (FWD): 3 goals in La Liga. Lethal despite recent drought, per
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Alex Berenguer (FWD): 2 goals, 1 assist in La Liga. Wing threat, per
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Unai Simón (GK): 3 clean sheets in La Liga, 72% save rate. Solid backbone, per
Girona
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Yaser Asprilla (FWD): 1 goal in La Liga. Speedy counter threat, per
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Vladyslav Vanat (FWD): 1 goal in La Liga. Aerial presence, per
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Paulo Gazzaniga (GK): 1 clean sheet in La Liga, 68% save rate. Organizer, per
Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics
Athletic Bilbao’s 4-2-3-1, under Ernesto Valverde, relies on Sancet’s finishing and Berenguer’s width, with Dani García and Beñat Prados (if fit) in midfield, averaging 55% possession and 4.8 shots on target per game, per. Injuries force reliance on Ander Herrera, targeting Girona’s porous defense (15 conceded), but their scoring drought (0 goals in 4) is a worry, per. Girona’s 5-3-2, led by Míchel, uses Asprilla and Vanat up top, with Iván Martín and Azzedine Ounahi in midfield, averaging 49% possession and 3.2 shots on target, per. Crippled by injuries, they’ll sit deep and counter, but 4 straight losses expose risks, per. San Mamés’ 53,000 fans will roar for Bilbao, per. Web buzz favors Bilbao at 1.67 odds, with over 2.5 at 1.70, citing home form and Girona’s woes, per.

Possession
