ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC Predictions

ATK Mohun Bagan will host Odisha FC at Salt Lake Stadium on February 23, 2025, in a crucial Indian Super League matchup as Round 19 pits two teams with contrasting fortunes against each other. ATK Mohun Bagan, under Juan Ferrando, lead the league standings, aiming to become the first team to successfully defend their ISL title with their formidable home record. Odisha FC, managed by Sergio Lobera, have shown resilience despite inconsistency, sitting mid-table and looking to upset the champions with their attacking flair. Our expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC in this Indian Super League clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

ATK Mohun Bagan

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 23): 14W, 3D, 2L (45 points, 1st in ISL)

• Latest Result: 2-1 win vs. Bengaluru FC (Feb 15, 2025)

• Home Form: 8W, 1D, 1L (25 goals scored, 10 conceded)
  ATK Mohun Bagan have been the dominant force in the 2024/25 ISL season, leading the table with 45 points from 19 matches as of February 23, 2025. Their recent 2-1 victory over Bengaluru FC, with goals from Jamie Maclaren and Dimitri Petratos, extended their unbeaten run to seven league games (6W, 1D), showcasing their attacking depth and defensive resilience. At home, they’ve averaged 2.50 goals per game and conceded 1.00, making Salt Lake Stadium a fortress this season.

Odisha FC

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 23): 8W, 4D, 6L (28 points, 7th in ISL)

• Latest Result: 2-2 draw vs. Kerala Blasters (Feb 15, 2025)

• Away Form: 3W, 2D, 5L (14 goals scored, 18 conceded)
  Odisha FC have been a mid-table side with 28 points from 18 matches, showing attacking promise but defensive inconsistency. Their recent 2-2 draw against Kerala Blasters, with Diego Maurício and Roy Krishna scoring, marked their third game without a loss (1W, 2D), though they’ve won just twice in their last six outings (2W, 2D, 2L). On the road, they’ve averaged 1.40 goals per game and conceded 1.80, struggling to maintain solidity against top teams.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: ATK Mohun Bagan 8W, Odisha FC 2W, 5D (15 meetings since 2020)

• Recent Meetings:

  • Nov 10, 2024: Odisha FC 1-4 ATK Mohun Bagan (ISL)

  • Apr 28, 2024: ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 Odisha FC (ISL Playoffs)

  • Apr 23, 2024: Odisha FC 2-1 ATK Mohun Bagan (ISL Playoffs)

• Key Trend: ATK Mohun Bagan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings; 3 of their last 5 H2Hs exceeded 2.5 goals.
  ATK Mohun Bagan hold a strong historical edge, with their 4-1 thrashing of Odisha earlier this season at Kalinga Stadium underscoring their dominance. High-scoring games have been frequent, averaging 2.8 goals per game in their last five encounters, though Odisha’s lone recent win in April 2024 (2-1) shows they can occasionally challenge the champions.

Key Players to Watch

ATK Mohun Bagan

• Jamie Maclaren (FWD): 10 goals in 2024/25; ATK Mohun Bagan’s top scorer and clinical finisher.

• Dimitri Petratos (MID): 7 goals, 6 assists; key playmaker driving the attack.

• Vishal Kaith (GK): 8 clean sheets; anchors a robust defense.

Odisha FC

• Diego Maurício (FWD): 9 goals in 2024/25; Odisha’s leading striker and penalty-box threat.

• Roy Krishna (FWD): 6 goals, 4 assists; experienced forward adding flair.

• Amrinder Singh (GK): 5 clean sheets; vital despite defensive issues.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

ATK Mohun Bagan’s possession-based, high-pressing 4-2-3-1 (2.11 goals per game) will test Odisha FC’s 4-3-3 counterattacking setup (1.56 goals per game). Maclaren’s finishing and Petratos’ creativity could exploit Odisha’s leaky away defense (1.80 goals conceded per game), which has struggled against top sides. Odisha’s pacey attack, led by Maurício and Krishna, will challenge ATK Mohun Bagan’s backline (0.89 goals conceded per game), though their defensive solidity has been key. ATK Mohun Bagan’s Deepak Tangri (doubtful, ankle) and Odisha’s Ahmed Jahouh (suspended) may affect midfield battles, with ATK Mohun Bagan’s 66,000-strong Salt Lake crowd amplifying the stakes.

Prediction: ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC

Our Prediction: Total Home - Over 1.5