Team Form & Recent Performances

Atlético Goianiense

• 2025 Record: 10W, 12D, 7L in Serie B (42 points, 9th); 2024 Serie A 18th with 8W, 9D, 17L (relegated)

• Latest Result: Drew 0-0 at Goiás (September 30, 2025), lost 2-1 at Novorizontino (September 8, 2025)

• Home Form: 6W, 2D, 2L in 10 Serie B home games (18 goals scored, 10 conceded)

Atlético Goianiense are holding a mid-table position, showing resilience with a 0-0 draw at Goiás, where they maintained 57% possession but struggled to create clear chances, managing only four shots on target. Their 2-1 loss at Novorizontino revealed defensive vulnerabilities, despite a late fightback. At Estádio Antônio Accioly, they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, boasting a solid home record. Over their last five games (1W, 3D, 1L), they’ve scored 5 goals and conceded 4, indicating a balanced but cautious approach. Injuries to Jorginho (thigh) and Shaylon (calf) persist, while Matheus Felipe is unavailable due to his loan agreement with Athletico Paranaense. Their 50% possession and 3.8 shots on target per game reflect a pragmatic style, leaning on structured play to grind out results.

Athletico Paranaense

• 2025 Record: 5W, 5D, 2L in Serie B (20 points, 11th); 2024 Serie A 14th with 10W, 7D, 17L (relegated)

• Latest Result: Won 1-0 vs. Operário Ferroviário (September 2025), drew 2-2 at Operário Ferroviário (August 2025)

• Away Form: 2W, 2D, 1L in 5 Serie B away games (7 goals scored, 6 conceded)

Athletico Paranaense are pushing for promotion, with a 1-0 win over Operário Ferroviário showcasing defensive solidity under Odair Hellmann. Their 2-2 draw at Operário Ferroviário, with goals from Luiz Fernando and Giuliano, highlighted attacking potential with 58% possession. Away, they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, showing resilience. Over their last five games (2W, 2D, 1L), they’ve scored 7 goals and conceded 5, maintaining consistency. Injuries to Luiz Fernando (suspended), Agustin Canobbio (muscle), Madson (ankle), Dudu Kogitzki, Isaac, Julimar, Kevin Velasco, and Hayen Palacios significantly limit their squad depth. Their 52% possession and 4.0 shots on target per game indicate an efficient, counter-attacking style that thrives on quick transitions.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Athletico Paranaense lead with 11 wins to Atlético GO’s 2, 4 draws in 17 matches

• Recent Meeting: June 8, 2025—Athletico PR 0-1 Atlético GO (Serie B)

• Key Trend: Atlético GO snapped a 16-game winless H2H streak with their June 2025 win; 4 of 6 recent H2Hs saw under 2.5 goals, averaging 1.83 goals per game; Athletico PR won 4 of 5 away H2Hs

Atlético GO’s 1-0 upset victory in June 2025 at Arena da Baixada, with Marcelinho scoring, ended Athletico PR’s long-standing H2H dominance. Athletico PR’s 2-0 home win in November 2024 (Serie A) featured goals from Tomás Cuello and Nikão, showcasing their historical edge. Both teams scored in only 33% of recent H2Hs, with Athletico PR averaging 1.5 goals to Atlético GO’s 0.5. Atlético GO’s strong home form (6W in 10) faces Athletico PR’s solid away record (2W, 2D in 5), setting up a competitive encounter with a tendency for low-scoring games due to both teams’ defensive setups.

Key Players to Watch

Atlético Goianiense

• Marcelinho (FWD): 5 goals, 3 assists in Serie B; scored the decisive goal in the June 2025 H2H, making him a key attacking threat.

• Robert Santos (FWD): 4 goals, 2 assists in Serie B; his goal against Novorizontino adds dynamism to the attack.

• Ronaldo (GK): 4 clean sheets in Serie B, with a 68% save rate; vital for stopping Athletico PR’s counter-attacks.

Athletico Paranaense

• Tomás Cuello (FWD): 2 goals in Serie B; scored against Atlético MG, offering a consistent attacking threat.

• Nikão (MID): 1 goal in Serie B; scored in the 2024 H2H, bringing experience and creativity.

• Mycael (GK): 3 clean sheets in Serie B, with a 70% save rate; crucial for maintaining away resilience.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Atlético Goianiense’s 4-2-3-1, under Fábio Matias, relies on Marcelinho’s pace and Robert Santos’s finishing, with Rhaldney Norberto anchoring midfield. They average 50% possession and 3.8 shots on target per game, pressing high to exploit Athletico PR’s 1.2 goals conceded away. Without Jorginho, Shaylon, and Matheus Felipe, they’ll rely on Federico Martinez to maintain attacking impetus, while their defense, conceding 1.0 goal per home game, provides stability. Athletico Paranaense’s 4-3-3, led by Odair Hellmann, uses Cuello’s flair and Nikão’s creativity, with Erick and Gabriel controlling midfield. They average 52% possession and 4.0 shots on target, focusing on quick counter-attacks to exploit Atlético GO’s transitions. Their injury-hit squad and Luiz Fernando’s suspension force reliance on Alan Kardec, which may limit their attacking fluency. The 10,000 fans at Estádio Antônio Accioly will create an intense atmosphere, boosting Atlético GO’s press. Betting trends favor over 2.5 goals at 2.10 odds and both teams to score (BTTS) at 1.73, reflecting both teams’ attacking potential despite the low-scoring H2H trend.