Atlético GO vs Avaí Predictions

Team Form & Recent Performances

Atlético Goianiense

• 2025 Record: 5W, 8D, 12L in Serie B (23 points, 15th); 2024 Serie A 18th with 8W, 10D, 20L (relegated)

• Latest Result: Lost 2-1 at Novorizontino (September 8, 2025), drew 1-1 vs. Goiás (August 31, 2025)

• Home Form: 4W, 4D, 4L in 12 Serie B home games (15 goals scored, 14 conceded)

Atlético GO are struggling in Serie B, sitting 15th and just above the relegation zone. Their recent 2-1 loss to Novorizontino, despite scoring, highlighted defensive issues, conceding 1.3 goals per game on average, per. Their home form at Estádio Antônio Accioly is modest, winning 4 of 12 games, averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.17 conceded, per. Over their last five games (1W, 2D, 2L), they’ve scored 5 goals and conceded 7, per. Injuries to Jorginho (thigh) and Shaylon (calf) are concerns, while Matheus Felipe is unavailable due to his loan agreement with Athletico PR, per. Their 49% possession and 3.5 shots on target per game show limited attacking threat, per. A 2-1 win over CRB in July 2025 showed potential, but their 3-0 loss to Operário-PR exposed weaknesses, per.

Avaí

• 2025 Record: 8W, 9D, 8L in Serie B (33 points, 12th); 2024 Serie B 10th with 11W, 10D, 17L

• Latest Result: Lost 2-0 at América Mineiro (September 2, 2025), drew 0-0 vs. Goiás (September 7, 2025)

• Away Form: 3W, 5D, 5L in 13 Serie B away games (14 goals scored, 16 conceded)

Avaí are mid-table, aiming to climb the standings. Their 2-0 loss to América Mineiro, despite 49% possession, underscored attacking struggles, with 0.8 xG, per. Their away form is resilient, with 3 wins and 5 draws, averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game, per. Over their last five games (2W, 2D, 1L), they’ve scored 6 goals and conceded 4, per. No major injuries are reported, but their lineup includes stalwarts like César and Eduardo Brock, per. Their 50% possession and 3.3 shots on target per game reflect a balanced approach, but a 2-0 loss to Amazonas in August 2025 highlighted defensive lapses, per.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Atlético GO lead with 4 wins to Avaí’s 3, 2 draws in 9 matches, per

• Recent Meeting: May 28, 2024—Avaí 2-0 Atlético GO (Serie B)

• Key Trend: 3 of 5 recent H2Hs saw both teams score, averaging 2.6 goals per game; Atlético GO won 2 of 3 home H2Hs, per

The 2024 clash saw Avaí win 2-0 at home, with goals from Gabriel Poveda and Maurício Garcez, per. Atlético GO have the edge at home, winning 2 of their last 3 H2Hs at Estádio Antônio Accioly, per. Both teams scoring in 60% of recent H2Hs and Atlético’s 1.5 goals per home H2H compared to Avaí’s 1.0 suggest a competitive, potentially high-scoring match, per. Atlético’s home strength (4W in 12) meets Avaí’s away resilience (5D in 13), setting up a tight contest.

Key Players to Watch

Atlético Goianiense

• Caio Henrique (FWD): 3 goals in Serie B. His recent scoring form vs. CRB is a bright spot, per

• Rhaldney Norberto (MID): 1 goal, 2 assists in Serie B. His 80% pass accuracy drives transitions, per

• Vinicius (GK): 4 clean sheets in Serie B, 67% save rate. Key against Avaí’s attack, per

Avaí

• Marquinhos Gabriel (MID): 2 goals, 3 assists in Serie B. His creativity is vital, per

• João Pedro Murilo de Paula Morais (FWD): 2 goals in Serie B. A threat on counters, per

• Igor Bohn (GK): 6 clean sheets in Serie B, 69% save rate. Crucial for away resilience, per

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Atlético GO’s 4-2-3-1, under Fabio Matias, relies on Caio Henrique’s finishing and Norberto’s midfield drive, averaging 49% possession and 3.5 shots on target per game, per. Without Jorginho, Shaylon, and Matheus Felipe, they’ll lean on Sandro Lima, targeting Avaí’s 1.23 goals conceded away, but their 1.17 conceded at home is a concern, per. Avaí’s 4-4-2, led by C. dos Santos Oliveira, uses Gabriel and Murilo’s flair, with Zé Ricardo anchoring, averaging 50% possession and 3.3 shots on target, per. Their defensive setup, with Brock and Wanderson, aims to frustrate, but conceding in 9 of 13 away games exposes risks, per. The 12,500-capacity Estádio Antônio Accioly will boost Atlético’s press, but Avaí’s 2-0 H2H win in 2024 shows their threat. Web buzz leans toward Atlético at 2.10 odds, with BTTS at 1.80, citing home advantage and Avaí’s away scoring