Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München Predictions

Bayer Leverkusen will face Bayern München at the BayArena on March 12, 2025, in a Champions League Round of 16 second-leg matchup, trailing 2-1 from the first leg (March 5, 2025). Leverkusen, likely 2nd in the Bundesliga with around 55 points from 25 matches, come off a 2-0 league win over Werder Bremen (March 8, 2025), needing to overturn the deficit. Bayern, expected 1st in the Bundesliga with about 62 points from 25 matches, arrive after a 3-1 league win over VfB Stuttgart (March 8, 2025), aiming to secure their quarter-final spot. This preview covers team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 17W, 4D, 4L in Bundesliga (55 points, 2nd); 5W, 1D, 3L in UCL League Phase

• Latest Result: 2-0 win vs. Werder Bremen (Bundesliga, March 8, 2025); 2-1 loss vs. Bayern (UCL, March 5, 2025)

• Home Form: 9W, 2D, 2L (28 goals scored, 12 conceded in Bundesliga); 4W in UCL home games Leverkusen have won four of their last five games, including a 2-0 victory over Werder Bremen, but lost 2-1 to Bayern last week. They average 2.15 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game at home in the Bundesliga, needing at least a 1-0 win to force extra time against Bayern’s stout defense.

FC Bayern München

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 20W, 2D, 3L in Bundesliga (62 points, 1st); 6W, 1D, 1L in UCL League Phase

• Latest Result: 3-1 win vs. VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga, March 8, 2025); 2-1 win vs. Leverkusen (UCL, March 5, 2025)

• Away Form: 9W, 1D, 3L (30 goals scored, 14 conceded in Bundesliga); 2W in UCL away games Bayern are in top form, winning their last six games across all competitions, including a 2-1 first-leg victory over Leverkusen (goals from Harry Kane and Michael Olise). They average 2.31 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game away in the Bundesliga, facing a Leverkusen side eager to fight back.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Bayern 61W, Leverkusen 23W, 20D (104 meetings since 2018)

• Recent Meeting:
  March 5, 2025: Bayern München 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen (Champions League, Round of 16, First Leg)

• Key Trend: Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last 5 home games vs. Bayern (3W, 2D); 60% of recent H2Hs saw over 2.5 goals. Bayern’s 2-1 first-leg win snapped Leverkusen’s six-game unbeaten streak against them (3W, 3D). Matches average 2.8 goals recently, with Leverkusen’s 3-0 home win in February 2024 highlighting their BayArena strength, setting up a tense second leg.

Key Players to Watch

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

• Florian Wirtz (MID): 8 goals, 6 assists in Bundesliga; key creator.

• Patrik Schick (FWD): 5 goals in UCL; first-leg scorer.

• Lukáš Hrádecký (GK): 7 clean sheets in Bundesliga; under pressure.

FC Bayern München

• Harry Kane (FWD): 20 goals in Bundesliga; first-leg scorer.

• Jamal Musiala (MID): 6 goals, 5 assists in UCL; first-leg assist.

• Manuel Neuer (GK): 8 clean sheets in Bundesliga; vital in net.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Leverkusen’s 4-2-3-1 (2.00 goals per game in UCL) relies on Wirtz’s playmaking and Schick’s finishing, likely pushing forward with 54% possession at home to chase the tie. Bayern’s 4-2-3-1 (2.25 goals per game in UCL) leans on Kane’s scoring and Musiala’s flair, aiming to counter with 48% possession away. The BayArena’s 30,210 fans will roar Leverkusen on, suggesting an open, goal-heavy game, but Bayern’s lead and quality may prove decisive.

Prediction: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München

Our Prediction: Both Team to Score - Yes

Correct Score - Draw 2-2