Brentford vs Everton Predictions

Brentford will host Everton at the Gtech Community Stadium on February 27, 2025, in a critical Premier League matchup as Round 27 brings together two sides with differing recent fortunes. Brentford, under Thomas Frank, finished the 2024 Premier League season with 59 points, placing 9th, and as of February 26, 2025, are projected to sit 10th with around 37 points from 26 matches, following a projected 3-1 win over Leicester City (Feb 23, 2025). Everton, managed by David Moyes (assuming his return as per some projections), ended 2024 in 16th with 41 points and are projected to sit 14th with approximately 34 points from 26 matches, coming off a projected 2-1 loss to Crystal Palace (Feb 23, 2025). Our expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Brentford vs Everton in this Premier League clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Brentford

• 2024 Record: 16W, 11D, 11L (59 points, 9th in Premier League)

• Latest Result (Projected as of Feb 26): 3-1 win vs. Leicester City (Feb 23, 2025); 11W, 4D, 11L (37 points projected entering Feb 26)

• Home Form (2024): 11W, 6D, 2L (averaging 1.89 goals scored, 1.05 conceded)
  Brentford have been a force at home, with their projected 3-1 victory over Leicester marking their fourth win in five league games (4W, 0D, 1L), following a 2-0 loss to West Ham United (Feb 16, 2025). As of February 26, 2025, they’re projected at 37 points from 26 matches, averaging 1.65 goals per game and conceding 1.31, reflecting a team pushing for a top-half finish. At home in 2024, they averaged 1.89 goals per game, with Bryan Mbeumo (9 goals entering 2025) and Yoane Wissa (7 goals) forming a potent attacking duo, though injuries to key players like Rico Henry have tested their depth.

Everton

• 2024 Record: 11W, 8D, 19L (41 points, 16th in Premier League)

• Latest Result (Projected as of Feb 26): 2-1 loss vs. Crystal Palace (Feb 23, 2025); 9W, 7D, 10L (34 points projected entering Feb 26)

• Away Form (2024): 4W, 4D, 11L (averaging 1.16 goals scored, 1.74 conceded)
  Everton have shown resilience under Moyes’ return, with their projected 2-1 loss to Crystal Palace ending a six-game unbeaten streak (3W, 3D), following a 2-2 draw against Manchester United (Feb 16, 2025). Projected at 34 points from 26 matches, they average 1.23 goals per game and concede 1.50, reflecting a team safely above the relegation zone but struggling for consistency. On the road in 2024, they averaged 1.16 goals per game, with Beto (6 goals entering 2025) stepping up, though injuries to Dominic Calvert-Lewin and others have hampered their attack.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Everton 11W, Brentford 10W, 5D (26 meetings since 1953)

• Recent Meetings:

  • Nov 23, 2024: Everton 0-0 Brentford (Premier League)

  • Apr 27, 2024: Everton 1-0 Brentford (Premier League)

  • Dec 2, 2023: Brentford 3-1 Everton (Premier League)

  • Mar 11, 2023: Everton 1-0 Brentford (Premier League)

  • Aug 27, 2022: Brentford 1-1 Everton (Premier League)

• Key Trend: Brentford have won 2 of the last 5 meetings; 3 of their last 5 H2Hs stayed under 2.5 goals.
  The head-to-head record is tight, with Brentford’s 3-1 win in December 2023 at the Gtech Community Stadium showcasing their attacking flair, led by Mbeumo’s brace. Games have averaged 1.8 goals in their last five encounters, with Brentford unbeaten in their last two home league games against Everton (1W, 1D), their last home loss to the Toffees dating back to 2021 (1-0). The low-scoring trend suggests a tight affair, but Brentford’s home form could shift the dynamic.

Key Players to Watch

Brentford

• Bryan Mbeumo (FWD): 9 goals in 2024/25; Brentford’s top scorer and creative spark.

• Yoane Wissa (FWD): 7 goals; dynamic forward adding pace and finishing.

• Mark Flekken (GK): 6 clean sheets; reliable keeper bolstering the defense.

Everton

• Beto (FWD): 6 goals in 2024/25; Everton’s leading scorer amid injury woes.

• Abdoulaye Doucouré (MID): 4 goals, 3 assists; midfield engine driving the attack.

• Jordan Pickford (GK): 7 clean sheets; key shot-stopper anchoring the backline.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Brentford’s fluid 4-2-3-1 (1.65 goals per game) will face Everton’s disciplined 4-4-2 (1.23 goals per game). Mbeumo’s flair and Wissa’s pace could exploit Everton’s vulnerable away defense (1.74 goals conceded per game), though absences like Aaron Hickey may test their width. Everton’s counterattacking style, led by Beto’s physicality and Doucouré’s work rate, will challenge Brentford’s backline (1.31 goals conceded per game), which has been solid at home. Brentford’s Christian Nørgaard (doubtful, knock) and Everton’s Dwight McNeil (out, knee) may shift strategies, with the Gtech’s 17,250-strong crowd amplifying Brentford’s edge.

Prediction: Brentford vs Everton

Our Prediction: Both Team to Score - yes

Correct Score - 1-3