Chapecoense vs Athletico PR Predictions

Team Form & Recent Performances

Chapecoense

• 2025 Record: 10W, 7D, 8L in Serie B (37 points, 6th); 2024 Serie B 8th with 14W, 10D, 14L

• Latest Result: Drew 0-0 at Criciúma (September 7, 2025), won 4-0 vs. Amazonas (June 2, 2025)

• Home Form: 8W, 4D, 1L in 13 Serie B home games (24 goals scored, 8 conceded)

Chapecoense are in strong form, sitting 6th in Serie B and pushing for promotion. Their 0-0 draw at Criciúma showed defensive resilience, with 49% possession but only 0.8 xG, per. Their 4-0 rout of Amazonas highlighted their attacking prowess at Arena Condá, per. At home, they’re a fortress, averaging 1.85 goals scored and 0.62 conceded per game, per. Over their last five games (3W, 1D, 1L), they’ve scored 10 goals and conceded 3, per. The departure of striker Mario Sergio to Sapporo and doubts over Maílton’s availability (transfer interest) are concerns, per. Their 50% possession and 4.2 shots on target per game reflect a balanced approach, per.

Athletico PR

• 2025 Record: 10W, 6D, 9L in Serie B (36 points, 8th); 2024 Serie A 12th with 13W, 10D, 15L (relegated)

• Latest Result: Lost 2-1 at Corinthians (Brazil Cup, September 11, 2025), won 2-1 vs. Botafogo-SP (Serie B, September 6, 2025)

• Away Form: 4W, 3D, 6L in 13 Serie B away games (14 goals scored, 18 conceded)

Athletico PR are mid-table, aiming to climb into promotion contention. Their 2-1 Brazil Cup loss to Corinthians, despite 40% possession, exposed defensive lapses, per. Their 2-1 win over Botafogo-SP showed attacking intent, per. Away form is inconsistent, averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game, per. Over their last five games (2W, 1D, 2L), they’ve scored 7 goals and conceded 7, per. Injuries to Felipinho (ankle) and doubts over Lucas Esquivel weaken their squad, per. Their 52% possession and 4.0 shots on target per game suggest attacking potential, but their 3/5 away games conceding in Serie B are a concern, per.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Athletico PR lead with 3 wins to Chapecoense’s 2, 8 draws in 13 matches, per

• Recent Meeting: May 9, 2025—Athletico PR 1-1 Chapecoense (Serie B)

• Key Trend: 4 of the last 5 H2Hs ended in draws; 4 of 5 saw both teams score, averaging 2.8 goals per game; Chapecoense are unbeaten in their last 4 home H2Hs (2W, 2D), per

The May 2025 clash ended in a 1-1 draw, with Chapecoense covering the +1 Asian Handicap, per. Historically, matches are tight, with Chapecoense holding a strong home record against Athletico PR, including a 1-1 Serie A draw in 2021, per. Both teams scored in 80% of recent H2Hs, with Chapecoense averaging 1.4 goals to Athletico’s 1.2, per. Chapecoense’s home fortress (8W in 13) meets Athletico’s away struggles (4W in 13), suggesting a competitive encounter, per.

Key Players to Watch

Chapecoense

• Walter Clar Fritz (FWD): 6 goals in Serie B, top scorer. His 6 goals in 2025 make him a constant threat, per

• Giovanni Augusto (MID): 2 assists in Serie B. His 9 assists lead the team, per

• Léo Vieira (GK): 7 clean sheets in Serie B, 70% save rate. Crucial against Athletico’s attack, per

Athletico PR

• Luís Fernando (FWD): 3 goals, 3 assists in Serie B. Scored vs. Corinthians, a key threat, per

• Hayen Palacios (MID): 1 assist in Serie B. His creativity supports the attack, per

• Santos (GK): 5 clean sheets in Serie B, 68% save rate. Vital in a tough away fixture, per

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Chapecoense’s 4-2-3-1, under Gilmar Dal Pozzo, relies on Clar Fritz’s finishing and Augusto’s creativity, averaging 50% possession and 4.2 shots on target per game, per. Without Mario Sergio and with Maílton doubtful, they’ll lean on Marcinho’s pace to exploit Athletico’s 1.38 goals conceded away, but their 0.62 goals conceded at home is a strength, per. Athletico PR’s 4-2-3-1, led by Odair Hellmann, uses Fernando’s movement and Palacios’ playmaking, averaging 52% possession and 4.0 shots on target, per. With Felipinho out and Esquivel doubtful, they’ll rely on Benavides and Sapelli, targeting Chapecoense’s defensive transitions, but their 3/5 away games conceding raise concerns, per. The 20,089-capacity Arena Condá will amplify Chapecoense’s intensity, per. Web buzz favors Chapecoense at 2.20 odds, with BTTS at 1.75, citing their home form and H2H trends, per.