Como vs Napoli Predictions

Como will host Napoli at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on February 23, 2025, in a critical Serie A matchup as Round 26 brings together two teams with vastly different trajectories. Como, under Cesc Fàbregas, have struggled since their promotion, clinging to survival just above the relegation zone after a mixed campaign. Napoli, led by Antonio Conte, sit atop the Serie A table, aiming to solidify their title charge with a potent mix of attacking flair and defensive solidity. Our expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Como vs Napoli in this Serie A clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Como

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 23): 5W, 7D, 13L (22 points, 16th in Serie A)

• Latest Result: 2-0 win vs. Fiorentina (Feb 16, 2025)

• Home Form: 4W, 3D, 5L (17 goals scored, 16 conceded)
  Como have shown signs of life despite their precarious position, with 22 points from 25 matches as of February 23, 2025. Their recent 2-0 victory over Fiorentina, with goals from Assane Diao and Nico Paz, snapped a three-game losing streak, boosting morale. At home, they’ve been competitive, averaging 1.42 goals per game and conceding 1.33, offering hope against stronger sides despite their relegation battle.

Napoli

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 23): 17W, 5D, 3L (56 points, 1st in Serie A)

• Latest Result: 2-2 draw vs. Lazio (Feb 16, 2025)

• Away Form: 8W, 3D, 1L (20 goals scored, 8 conceded)
  Napoli lead the Serie A standings with 56 points from 25 matches, showcasing their dominance this season. Their recent 2-2 draw against Lazio, despite goals from Romelu Lukaku and Giacomo Raspadori, marked a third consecutive league draw, though they remain unbeaten in their last 10 matches across all competitions (7W, 3D). On the road, they’ve been exceptional, averaging 1.67 goals per game and conceding just 0.67, with the league’s best defensive record.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Napoli 2W, Como 3W, 0D (5 meetings since 2000)

• Recent Meetings:

  • Oct 4, 2024: Napoli 3-1 Como (Serie A)

  • Feb 18, 2004: Como 2-0 Napoli (Serie B)

  • Sep 24, 2003: Napoli 1-0 Como (Serie B)

• Key Trend: Napoli have won their last 2 Serie A meetings; 3 of their last 5 H2Hs exceeded 2.5 goals.
  Historically, Como held an edge in lower divisions, but Napoli have dominated recent top-flight encounters, including a 3-1 win earlier this season. High-scoring games have punctuated this matchup, with Napoli’s current form contrasting sharply with Como’s earlier Serie B successes against them.

Key Players to Watch

Como

• Assane Diao (FWD): 6 goals in 2024/25; Como’s emerging star.

• Nico Paz (MID): 4 goals, 3 assists; key creative force.

• Emil Audero (GK): 5 clean sheets; critical under pressure.

Napoli

• Romelu Lukaku (FWD): 10 goals in 2024/25; Napoli’s leading striker.

• Scott McTominay (MID): 6 goals, 5 assists; versatile playmaker.

• Alex Meret (GK): 11 clean sheets; anchors the league’s best defense.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Napoli’s possession-based, high-pressing style (1.64 goals per game) will test Como’s defensive resilience (1.20 goals per game). Lukaku’s physicality could exploit Como’s backline (1.44 goals conceded per game), which has faltered against top teams. Como’s counterattacking approach, led by Diao and Paz, may challenge Napoli’s defense (0.76 goals conceded per game), but injuries to Iván Azón (calf) and Alessandro Gabrielloni (doubtful, hamstring) limit their attack. Napoli’s David Neres (out, hamstring) is a blow, but their depth and the 13,000-strong Como crowd won’t deter their focus.

Prediction: Como vs Napoli

Our Prediction: Match Winner - Napoli Wins

TIP 2: Correct Score - 0-2