Team Form & Recent Performances

Cuiabá

• 2025 Record: 12W, 10D, 8L in Serie B (46 points, 7th); 2024 Serie A 19th with 6W, 11D, 17L (relegated)

• Latest Result: Drew 1-1 at Paysandu (October 2, 2025), won 2-1 vs. Athletic Club (September 27, 2025)

• Home Form: 7W, 4D, 4L in 15 Serie B home games (20 goals scored, 12 conceded)

Cuiabá are pushing for promotion, sitting 7th with a solid home record. Their 1-1 draw at Paysandu, with Maurício Garcez scoring a late penalty, showed resilience despite 37.7% possession. The 2-1 win over Athletic Club, with goals from Garcez and Denilson, highlighted attacking intent. At Arena Pantanal, they average 1.33 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Over their last five games (2W, 2D, 1L), they’ve scored 7 goals and conceded 5. Injuries to Patrick Brey (indirect card suspension), Dantas (red card suspension), and Renato Palm (cruciate ligament) weaken their squad. Their 49% possession and 4.0 shots on target per game reflect a balanced, direct approach.

Novorizontino

• 2025 Record: 12W, 11D, 7L in Serie B (47 points, 3rd); 2024 Serie B 4th with 15W, 12D, 11L

• Latest Result: Lost 1-0 at Chapecoense (October 4, 2025), drew 1-1 vs. Sport Recife (September 27, 2025)

• Away Form: 5W, 5D, 5L in 15 Serie B away games (17 goals scored, 15 conceded)

Novorizontino are in the promotion hunt, sitting 3rd but coming off a 1-0 loss at Chapecoense, where they managed only one shot on target despite 51.9% possession. Their 1-1 draw against Sport Recife showed fight. Away, they average 1.13 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, with a competitive road record. Over their last five games (2W, 2D, 1L), they’ve scored 6 goals and conceded 4. No major injuries reported, with a fully fit squad under Enderson Moreira. Their 52% possession and 4.5 shots on target per game indicate an effective, attacking style.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Cuiabá lead with 2 wins to Novorizontino’s 1, 1 draw in 4 matches

• Recent Meeting: June 15, 2025—Novorizontino 1-2 Cuiabá (Serie B)

• Key Trend: Cuiabá won 2 of the last 3 H2Hs; 3 of 4 saw both teams score, averaging 2.5 goals per game; Cuiabá won their last home H2H 2-0 in 2024

Cuiabá’s 2-1 win at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi in June 2025, with goals from Garcez and Marlon, continued their edge. Their 2-0 home win in 2024 showcased defensive solidity. Both teams scored in 75% of recent H2Hs, with Cuiabá averaging 1.5 goals to Novorizontino’s 1.0. Cuiabá’s home strength (7W in 15) meets Novorizontino’s solid away form (5W, 5D in 15), setting up a competitive clash with potential for goals.

Key Players to Watch

Cuiabá

• Maurício Garcez (FWD): 6 goals in Serie B; scored in last two games, including H2H.

• Denilson (MID): 3 goals, 2 assists in Serie B; scored vs. Athletic Club, key playmaker.

• Nogueira (GK): 4 clean sheets in Serie B, 68% save rate; vital for home resilience.

Novorizontino

• Matheus Henrique Frizzo (MID): 5 goals in Serie B; team’s top scorer, dangerous in attack.

• Luis Felipe Oyama (MID): 3 assists in Serie B; leading playmaker with vision.

• Santos (GK): 3 clean sheets in Serie B, 70% save rate; crucial for away stability.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Cuiabá’s 4-1-4-1, under Rafael Silva, relies on Garcez’s finishing and Denilson’s creativity, with Thalisson Gabriel anchoring defense. They average 49% possession and 4.0 shots on target per game, pressing high to exploit Novorizontino’s 1.0 goal conceded away. Without Brey, Dantas, and Palm, they’ll lean on Silvio Martínez to maintain attacking impetus, with their 0.8 conceded at home a strength. Novorizontino’s 5-3-2, led by Enderson Moreira, uses Frizzo’s movement and Oyama’s passing, with Bruno Leonardo in defense. They average 52% possession and 4.5 shots on target, focusing on structured build-up to counter Cuiabá’s press. Arena Pantanal’s 44,097 fans will boost Cuiabá’s intensity. Betting trends favor Cuiabá at 2.30 odds, with both teams to score (BTTS) at 1.71, reflecting their H2H scoring trend and attacking form.