Dinamo Zagreb vs Šibenik Predictions

Dominance vs Desperation: Dinamo’s Title Push Meets Šibenik’s Survival Bid

Dinamo Zagreb (3rd in 1. HNL) host relegation-threatened Šibenik (9th) at Stadion Maksimir in a clash defined by contrasting ambitions. With a 60% win probability, Dinamo aims to close the gap on league leaders Rijeka, while Šibenik seeks to escape the drop zone. Dinamo’s recent H2H dominance—three wins in the last five meetings, including a crushing 0-4 away victory in November 2024—underscores their superiority . However, Dinamo’s 2-1 loss to Osijek last week revealed vulnerabilities, whereas Šibenik’s 1-1 draw with Slaven Koprivnica extended their winless streak to six matches.

Key Stats and Tactical Breakdown

Dinamo’s attacking prowess (1.95 goals per game) contrasts sharply with Šibenik’s defensive frailties (1.8 goals conceded per match). The hosts have scored 2.6 goals per H2H clash on average, exploiting Šibenik’s league-worst defensive record. Both teams average over 2.5 goals in their last 10 matches (7/10 games), aligning with the 54% probability of over 2.5 goals . Šibenik’s inability to keep clean sheets (failed in 6 consecutive matches) and Dinamo’s reliance on set pieces—highlighted by Martin Baturina’s league-leading 11 big chances created—will shape this game.

Form and Weaknesses: Where the Game Could Turn

• Dinamo’s Inconsistency: Despite ranking 3rd, Dinamo has lost 6 league games this season, often conceding early. Their 1.35 goals conceded per match and recent defensive lapses (1.8 goals conceded in the last 5 games) leave room for Šibenik to counter.

• Šibenik’s Offensive Struggles: Šibenik averages just 0.9 goals per game and has failed to score in 40% of matches this season. Their reliance on set pieces (30% of goals) and poor away form (2 wins in 10 away games) compound their challenges .

• Critical Matchup: Dinamo’s midfield maestro Baturina vs Šibenik’s disorganized backline. Šibenik’s 67% away concession rate for Over 1.5 goals suggests Dinamo will dominate possession and chance

Our todays prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs Šibenik, HNL is:

TIP 1: Result/Both Teams to Score - Home/Yes

TIP 2: Asian Handicap - Dinamo Zagreb to Win -1.5