Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ajax Predictions

Eintracht Frankfurt will face Ajax at Deutsche Bank Park on March 13, 2025, in a Europa League Round of 16 second-leg matchup, leading 2-1 on aggregate from the first leg (March 6, 2025). Eintracht Frankfurt, likely 8th in the Bundesliga with around 41 points from 26 matches, come off a projected 2-1 loss to Union Berlin (March 9, 2025), aiming to secure their quarter-final spot. Ajax, expected 1st in the Eredivisie with about 58 points from 25 matches, arrive after a projected 1-0 win over PEC Zwolle (March 9, 2025), needing a two-goal win to advance. This preview covers team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Eintracht Frankfurt

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 12W, 5D, 9L in Bundesliga (41 points, 8th); 6W, 2D, 2L in Europa League

• Latest Result: 2-1 loss vs. Union Berlin (Bundesliga, March 9, 2025); 2-1 win vs. Ajax (UEL, March 6, 2025)

• Home Form: 7W, 3D, 3L (25 goals scored, 15 conceded in Bundesliga); 3W, 1D in UEL home games Eintracht Frankfurt have been inconsistent, losing three of their last five games, including a 2-1 defeat to Union Berlin, but secured a 2-1 first-leg win over Ajax (goals from Hugo Larsson and Ellyes Skhiri). They average 1.92 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game at home in the Bundesliga, facing an Ajax side they’ve beaten once this tie.

Ajax

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 19W, 1D, 5L in Eredivisie (58 points, 1st); 5W, 2D, 4L in Europa League

• Latest Result: 1-0 win vs. PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie, March 9, 2025); 2-1 loss vs. Eintracht Frankfurt (UEL, March 6, 2025)

• Away Form: 9W, 2D, 2L (26 goals scored, 14 conceded in Eredivisie); 2W, 1D, 2L in UEL away games Ajax have been in fine form, winning seven of their last eight games, including a 1-0 victory over PEC Zwolle, despite a 2-1 first-leg loss to Eintracht (goal from Brian Brobbey). They average 2.00 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game away in the Eredivisie, needing a big performance to overturn the deficit.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Eintracht Frankfurt 1W, Ajax 0W, 0D (1 meeting in 2025)

• Recent Meeting:
  March 6, 2025: Ajax 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (Europa League, Round of 16, First Leg)

• Key Trend: First competitive meeting; Eintracht’s 2-1 away win suggests early dominance. The first leg was their only encounter, with Eintracht securing a 2-1 victory in Amsterdam. The game averaged 3.0 goals, indicating potential for a lively second leg, though Eintracht’s home defense could limit Ajax’s comeback hopes.

Key Players to Watch

Eintracht Frankfurt

• Hugo Ekitike (FWD): 6 goals, 3 assists in Bundesliga; key attacking threat.

• Ellyes Skhiri (MID): 4 goals in Europa League; first-leg scorer.

• Kevin Trapp (GK): 6 clean sheets in Bundesliga; vital in goal.

Ajax

• Brian Brobbey (FWD): 8 goals in Europa League; first-leg scorer.

• Kenneth Taylor (MID): 7 goals, 5 assists in Eredivisie; creative spark.

• Remko Pasveer (GK): 7 clean sheets in Eredivisie; under pressure.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Eintracht’s 3-4-2-1 (1.80 goals per game in UEL) relies on Ekitike’s finishing and Skhiri’s midfield drive, likely holding 51% possession at home to manage their lead, with Nnamdi Collins suspended. Ajax’s 4-3-3 (2.09 goals per game in UEL) leans on Brobbey’s scoring and Taylor’s playmaking, pushing with 49% possession away to chase two goals, despite injuries (Weghorst doubtful). Deutsche Bank Park’s 58,000 fans will rally Eintracht, suggesting a tight game where Ajax may score but fall short of overturning the deficit.

Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ajax

Our Prediction: Total Goal Over 2.5

Goalscorer - Hugo Ekitike