Estrela Amadora vs Gil Vicente Predictions

Estrela Amadora will face Gil Vicente at the Estádio José Gomes on March 8, 2025, in a key Liga Portugal matchup, with both teams battling for crucial points in the 2024/25 season’s second half. Estrela Amadora, projected to sit 16th with around 22 points from 24 matches as of March 6, 2025, are coming off a 1-1 league draw with Moreirense (March 2, 2025), aiming to build on an unbeaten run and climb out of the relegation playoff spot. Gil Vicente, expected to be 15th with approximately 22 points from 24 matches, arrive after a 1-0 loss to Casa Pia (March 2, 2025), desperate to snap a six-game losing streak and avoid the drop. This expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Estrela Amadora vs Gil Vicente in this Liga Portugal showdown?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Estrela Amadora

• 2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 6): 5W, 7D, 12L in Liga Portugal (22 points, 16th)

• Latest Result: 1-1 draw vs. Moreirense (Liga Portugal, March 2, 2025)

• Home Form: 4W, 3D, 5L (14 goals scored, 14 conceded) Estrela Amadora have shown resilience, with their 1-1 draw against Moreirense marking their third game without a loss (1W, 2D, 0L) as of March 6, 2025. Projected at 22 points from 24 matches, they’re in the relegation playoff spot, with a 2-1 win over Arouca (Feb 15, 2025) as a key home highlight. At Estádio José Gomes, they’ve averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game, balancing attack and defense, now facing a Gil Vicente side in freefall.

Gil Vicente

• 2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 6): 5W, 7D, 12L in Liga Portugal (22 points, 15th)

• Latest Result: 1-0 loss vs. Casa Pia (Liga Portugal, March 2, 2025)

• Away Form: 1W, 3D, 8L (11 goals scored, 20 conceded) Gil Vicente are in crisis, with their 1-0 defeat to Casa Pia marking their sixth straight loss (0W, 0D, 6L) as of March 6, 2025. Projected at 22 points from 24 matches, they’re just above the relegation zone, with a 2-1 win over Nacional (Jan 20, 2025) as a distant memory. On the road, they’ve averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game, with Kanya Fujimoto (5 goals) offering rare spark, but their away woes could be exploited by Estrela’s home edge.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Estrela Amadora 2W, Gil Vicente 2W, 2D (6 meetings since 2023)

• Recent Meeting:
  October 5, 2024: Gil Vicente 3-0 Estrela Amadora (Liga Portugal, Round 7)

• Key Trend: Three of the last five H2Hs produced over 2.5 goals; Estrela are unbeaten in their last two home games vs. Gil Vicente (1W, 1D). The October 2024 clash saw Gil Vicente dominate 3-0 at home, with Fujimoto and Félix Correia scoring, reflecting a mixed but goal-heavy rivalry (avg. 2.5 goals in last 5 H2Hs). Estrela’s 1-0 home win in October 2023 suggests they can hold firm at José Gomes, setting up a tense relegation scrap.

Key Players to Watch

Estrela Amadora

• Kikas (FWD): 5 goals, 2 assists in Liga Portugal; Estrela’s top scorer with clinical finishing.

• Leonel Bucca (MID): 3 goals, 3 assists; emerging playmaker with vision.

• Bruno Brígido (GK): 5 clean sheets; key to defensive solidity.

Gil Vicente

• Kanya Fujimoto (MID): 5 goals, 3 assists in Liga Portugal; Gil Vicente’s creative spark.

• Félix Correia (FWD): 3 goals, 2 assists; pacey winger with flair.

• Andrew (GK): 4 clean sheets; vital despite recent struggles.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Estrela’s 4-3-3 (1.08 goals per game) relies on Kikas’s finishing and Bucca’s creativity, targeting Gil Vicente’s porous away defense (1.67 goals conceded per game), though Nilton Varela’s doubtful status (knock) may see Danilo Veiga step in. Gil Vicente’s 4-2-3-1 (1.04 goals per game) hinges on Fujimoto’s playmaking and Correia’s speed, aiming to counter (avg. 46% possession away), but injuries to Tidjany Touré and Rúben Fernandes could limit their options. José Gomes’s 5,000 fans will rally Estrela, potentially forcing Gil Vicente into a defensive shell, with goals likely on both ends.

Prediction: Estrela Amadora vs Gil Vicente

Our Prediction: Total Goal - under 2.5