Famalicão vs Moreirense Predictions

Famalicão will host Moreirense at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho on February 24, 2025, in a significant Liga Portugal matchup as Round 23 brings together two teams battling for mid-table supremacy. Famalicão, under Armando Evangelista, have shown resilience this season, sitting ninth and aiming to capitalize on their home advantage following a mixed but improving campaign. Moreirense, managed by César Peixoto, sit 11th and have struggled for consistency, hoping to upset Famalicão and climb the standings with their attacking potential. Our expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Famalicão vs Moreirense in this Liga Portugal clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Famalicão

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 23): 8W, 7D, 7L (31 points, 9th in Liga Portugal)

• Latest Result: 2-0 win vs. Gil Vicente (Feb 16, 2025)

• Home Form: 5W, 4D, 2L (16 goals scored, 11 conceded)
  Famalicão have been a steady mid-table presence with 31 points from 22 matches as of February 23, 2025. Their recent 2-0 victory over Gil Vicente, with goals from Justin de Haas and Václav Sejk, extended their unbeaten run to four league games (2W, 2D), showcasing defensive solidity and growing attacking confidence. At home, they’ve averaged 1.45 goals per game and conceded 1.00, reflecting a balanced side that’s tough to break down at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho.

Moreirense

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 23): 7W, 5D, 10L (26 points, 11th in Liga Portugal)

• Latest Result: 3-2 win vs. Casa Pia (Feb 15, 2025)

• Away Form: 3W, 2D, 6L (13 goals scored, 19 conceded)
  Moreirense have had an inconsistent season, sitting 11th with 26 points from 22 matches. Their recent 3-2 victory over Casa Pia, with Alan scoring a hat-trick, snapped a three-game losing streak, offering a boost after a tough run (1W, 1D, 3L in last 5). On the road, they’ve averaged 1.18 goals per game and conceded 1.73, indicating attacking potential but defensive frailties that could be exposed against stronger opposition.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Moreirense 5W, Famalicão 3W, 5D (13 meetings since 2019)

• Recent Meetings:

  • Sep 21, 2024: Moreirense 0-0 Famalicão (Liga Portugal)

  • Jan 28, 2024: Moreirense 1-0 Famalicão (Liga Portugal)

  • Aug 26, 2023: Famalicão 2-0 Moreirense (Liga Portugal)

• Key Trend: Moreirense are unbeaten in their last 3 meetings (2W, 1D); 3 of their last 5 H2Hs stayed under 2.5 goals.
  Moreirense have a slight edge in recent encounters, including a 0-0 draw earlier this season at home. Matches between these sides have been tight and low-scoring, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last five meetings, with defensive battles often defining the outcome, though Famalicão’s last home win over Moreirense came in August 2023 (2-0).

Key Players to Watch

Famalicão

• Václav Sejk (FWD): 6 goals in 2024/25; Famalicão’s top scorer and emerging talent.

• Gustavo Sá (MID): 4 goals, 5 assists; creative force in midfield.

• Luiz Júnior (GK): 7 clean sheets; key to their defensive resilience.

Moreirense

• Alan (MID): 8 goals in 2024/25; Moreirense’s leading scorer and hat-trick hero.

• Luís Asué (FWD): 5 goals, 3 assists; physical presence in attack.

• Kewin (GK): 6 clean sheets; vital despite defensive struggles.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Famalicão’s disciplined 4-2-3-1 (1.32 goals per game) will challenge Moreirense’s attacking 4-3-3 (1.27 goals per game). Sejk’s finishing and Sá’s playmaking could exploit Moreirense’s shaky away defense (1.73 goals conceded per game), which has been inconsistent this season. Moreirense’s counterattacking style hinges on Alan’s flair and Asué’s strength, testing Famalicão’s backline (1.14 goals conceded per game), though their recent win suggests potential. Famalicão’s Enea Mihaj (returning from suspension) and Moreirense’s Godfried Frimpong (doubtful, hamstring) may influence lineups, with Famalicão’s 12,500-strong home crowd at Estádio Municipal adding intensity.

Prediction: Famalicão vs Moreirense

Our Prediction: Total Goal - Under 2.5

TIP 2: Correct Score - 1-0