FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Team Form & Recent Performances

FC Tokyo

• 2025 Record: 10W, 8D, 10L in J1 League (38 points, 11th); 2024 J1 League 10th with 14W, 8D, 12L

• Latest Result: Drew 1-1 at Nagoya Grampus (August 31, 2025), won 2-1 vs. Kyoto Sanga FC (August 24, 2025)

• Home Form: 6W, 4D, 4L in 14 J1 League home games (22 goals scored, 18 conceded)

FC Tokyo are mid-table in the J1 League, showing inconsistent form with a recent 1-1 draw against Nagoya Grampus, where they managed only 0.75 expected goals (xG), per. Their home record is decent, winning 6 of 14 games at Ajinomoto Stadium, but they’ve conceded in 10 of those matches, averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per home game, per. Their form over the last five games (1W, 2D, 2L) reflects a struggle for consistency, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded, per. Injuries to key players like Kei Koizumi (hamstring, doubtful) could impact their midfield, per web reports. Their 48% possession and 3.5 shots on target per game show a balanced but not dominant approach, per.

Tokyo Verdy

• 2025 Record: 8W, 10D, 10L in J1 League (34 points, 14th); 2024 J1 League 12th with 13W, 12D, 9L

• Latest Result: Drew 0-0 at Yokohama FC (August 30, 2025), won 1-0 vs. Kyoto Sanga FC (August 24, 2025)

• Away Form: 4W, 5D, 5L in 14 J1 League away games (15 goals scored, 17 conceded)

Tokyo Verdy are battling to avoid relegation, sitting 14th. Their 0-0 draw against Yokohama FC showed defensive resilience but a lack of attacking spark, with 0.68 xG in recent away games, per. Their away form is gritty, with 4 wins and 5 draws, averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game, per. Over their last five games (1W, 2D, 2L), they’ve scored 4 goals and conceded 6, per. Injuries to Fuki Yamada (ankle, doubtful) may weaken their attack, per web reports. Their 49% possession and 3.2 shots on target per game suggest a cautious approach, but their recent 3-0 loss to Kashiwa Reysol (June 15, 2025) exposed defensive vulnerabilities, per.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: FC Tokyo and Tokyo Verdy are level with 0 wins each, 6 draws in 6 matches since 2008, per.

• Recent Meeting: April 2, 2025—Tokyo Verdy 2-1 FC Tokyo (J1 League)

• Key Trend: 4 of 5 recent H2Hs saw both teams score, averaging 2.8 goals per game; FC Tokyo are unbeaten in 3 of 4 home H2Hs (1W, 2D), per.

The April 2025 clash saw Tokyo Verdy edge FC Tokyo 2-1 at home, with both teams scoring, per. Historically, these Tokyo derbies are tight, low-scoring affairs, with 80% of recent H2Hs featuring both teams scoring and 3 of 5 ending in draws, per. FC Tokyo’s home advantage at Ajinomoto Stadium (1W, 2D in last 3 home H2Hs) contrasts with Verdy’s recent win, setting up a heated contest. FC Tokyo’s 1.2 goals per H2H slightly edges Verdy’s 1.1, per.

Key Players to Watch

FC Tokyo

• Teruhito Nakagawa (FWD): 4 goals, 2 assists in J1 League. His pace and finishing are key in big games, per.

• Ryotaro Araki (MID): 3 goals, 4 assists in J1 League. A creative spark, his 80% pass accuracy drives attacks, per.

• Taishi Brandon Nozawa (GK): 5 clean sheets in J1 League, 68% save rate. Vital against Verdy’s counterattacks, per.

Tokyo Verdy

• Yuta Arai (FWD): 2 goals, 1 assist in J1 League. His 94th-minute winner vs. Kyoto Sanga FC shows clutch ability, per.

• Hijiri Onaga (MID): 1 goal, 3 assists in J1 League. His work rate and crossing can exploit FC Tokyo’s flanks, per.

• Matheus Vidotto (GK): 6 clean sheets in J1 League, 70% save rate. Crucial in keeping Verdy competitive away, per.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

FC Tokyo’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Nakagawa’s pace and Araki’s creativity, with Yasuki Kimoto and Henrique Trevisan anchoring the defense, averaging 48% possession and 3.5 shots on target per game, per. Without Koizumi (doubtful), they’ll lean on Yuto Nagatomo’s experience, targeting Verdy’s 1.21 goals conceded away, but their 10 home games conceding in 14 raise concerns, per. Tokyo Verdy’s 4-4-2 emphasizes defensive solidity, with Arai and Itsuki Someno up top and Onaga linking play, averaging 49% possession and 3.2 shots on target, per. With Yamada doubtful, they’ll rely on counterattacks, exploiting FC Tokyo’s 1.29 goals conceded at home, but their 3-0 loss to Kashiwa Reysol shows vulnerability to pace, per. The 50,000-strong Ajinomoto Stadium crowd will fuel FC Tokyo’s intensity, but Verdy’s recent H2H win and away resilience (5D in 14) suggest a tight game. Web buzz leans toward a draw at 3.08 odds, with BTTS at 1.65, citing the teams’ balanced form and H2H trends, per.