Fenerbahçe vs Antalyaspor Predictions

Fenerbahçe will face Antalyaspor at the Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi on March 2, 2025, in a crucial Süper Lig matchup, as Round 26 brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories. Fenerbahçe, under Ismail Kartal, are projected to sit 2nd with around 54 points from 25 matches as of March 1, 2025, following a 1-1 draw with Adana Demirspor (Feb 23, 2025), aiming to maintain their title challenge at home. Antalyaspor, managed by Alex de Souza, are expected to be 11th with approximately 32 points, coming off a 2-1 loss to Galatasaray (Feb 23, 2025), looking to upset Fenerbahçe’s ambitions. This expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Antalyaspor in this Süper Lig clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Fenerbahçe

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 1): 16W, 6D, 3L (54 points, 2nd in Süper Lig)
Latest Result: 1-1 draw vs. Adana Demirspor (Feb 23, 2025)
Home Form: 9W, 2D, 1L (28 goals scored, 10 conceded)

Fenerbahçe have been a formidable force this season, with their recent 1-1 draw against Adana Demirspor extending an unbeaten run of six league games (4W, 2D, 0L) as of March 1, 2025. Projected at 54 points from 25 matches, their last home win—a 3-1 triumph over Beşiktaş (Feb 15, 2025)—underlines their strength at Ülker Stadyumu. At home, they’ve averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game, showcasing a potent attack and a stingy defense that could overwhelm Antalyaspor.

Antalyaspor

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 1): 9W, 5D, 11L (32 points, 11th in Süper Lig)
Latest Result: 2-1 loss vs. Galatasaray (Feb 23, 2025)
Away Form: 3W, 3D, 6L (14 goals scored, 20 conceded)

Antalyaspor have been inconsistent, projected at 32 points from 25 matches as of March 1, 2025. Their 2-1 defeat to Galatasaray marked their second loss in three league games (1W, 0D, 2L), with Sam Larsson scoring their lone goal. On the road, they’ve averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game, reflecting a scrappy but defensively frail side that could struggle under Fenerbahçe’s home pressure.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

Overall Record: Fenerbahçe 42W, Antalyaspor 9W, 11D (62 meetings since 1982)
Recent Meetings:

• Sep 29, 2024: Fenerbahçe 2-0 Antalyaspor (Süper Lig)

• Feb 3, 2024: Antalyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe (Süper Lig)

• Sep 17, 2023: Fenerbahçe 3-2 Antalyaspor (Süper Lig)

Key Trend: Fenerbahçe are unbeaten in their last 10 meetings (8W, 2D); 3 of the last 5 H2Hs went over 2.5 goals.

Fenerbahçe have dominated this fixture, with their 2-0 win in September 2024 at Ülker Stadyumu—led by Edin Džeko and Dusan Tadić—highlighting their superiority. Antalyaspor’s last victory over Fenerbahçe was a 3-1 upset in October 2019, and matches have averaged 2.6 goals in their last five encounters, suggesting a potentially lively but Fenerbahçe-favored contest.

Key Players to Watch

Fenerbahçe

• Edin Džeko (FWD): 12 goals, 5 assists in 2024/25; Fenerbahçe’s top scorer and veteran leader.

• Dusan Tadić (MID): 8 goals, 7 assists; creative playmaker with flair.

• Dominik Livaković (GK): 8 clean sheets; anchors a robust defense.

Antalyaspor

• Sam Larsson (FWD): 7 goals, 4 assists in 2024/25; Antalyaspor’s leading scorer and dynamic winger.

• Jakub Kałuziński (MID): 4 goals, 3 assists; key creator in midfield.

• Kağan Arıca (GK): 5 clean sheets; vital for any defensive stand.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Fenerbahçe’s 4-2-3-1 (1.96 goals per game) thrives on Džeko’s finishing and Tadić’s vision, testing Antalyaspor’s defense (1.48 goals conceded per game). Antalyaspor’s 4-3-3 (1.32 goals per game) relies on Larsson’s pace, but Fenerbahçe’s high press and home crowd could exploit their shaky backline (1.67 goals conceded away). Fenerbahçe’s Mert Müldür (doubtful, knock) and Antalyaspor’s Bünyamin Balcı (questionable, fatigue) may affect lineups, with Ülker Stadyumu’s 47,000 fans amplifying the pressure on the visitors.

Prediction: Fenerbahçe vs Antalyaspor

Our Prediction: Fenerbahçe to Win

TIP 2: Total goal - over 2.5