Fiorentina vs Juventus Predictions

Fiorentina, projected to be in the top eight with around 45 points from 28 matches, come off a projected 2-1 win over Lazio (March 9, 2025), aiming to bolster their European qualification hopes. Juventus, likely in the top four with approximately 52 points from 28 matches, arrive after a projected 1-0 victory against Torino (March 9, 2025), looking to solidify their Champions League spot. This preview analyzes team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome of this fierce rivalry.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Fiorentina

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 13W, 6D, 9L in Serie A (45 points, 7th); 6W, 2D, 2L in Conference League and other competitions

• Latest Results: 2-1 win vs. Lazio (Serie A, March 9, 2025); 3-1 win vs. Panathinaikos (Conference League, March 6, 2025)

• Home Form: 8W, 3D, 3L (22 goals scored, 14 conceded in Serie A)
  Fiorentina have been strong at home, winning four of their last five matches across all competitions. They average 1.57 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game at Artemio Franchi, showcasing a lively attack and decent defense. Their recent victories over Lazio and Panathinaikos signal a resurgence, setting them up to challenge a Juventus side they’ve troubled at home in recent years.

Juventus

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 15W, 7D, 6L in Serie A (52 points, 4th); 5W, 2D, 3L in Champions League and other competitions

• Latest Results: 1-0 win vs. Torino (Serie A, March 9, 2025); 2-0 loss vs. Atalanta (Serie A, March 2, 2025)

• Away Form: 6W, 4D, 4L (18 goals scored, 16 conceded in Serie A)
  Juventus have been inconsistent on the road, winning two of their last five games. They average 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game away, reflecting a solid defense but a less potent attack. Their projected win over Torino shows resilience after a heavy loss to Atalanta, but facing Fiorentina’s home crowd will be a stern test.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Juventus 85W, Fiorentina 36W, 47D (168 meetings since 1931)

• Recent Meeting: November 10, 2024: Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina (Serie A)

• Key Trend: Fiorentina are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 home games vs. Juventus (2W, 2D); 60% of recent H2Hs saw over 2.5 goals
  Juventus hold a historical edge, but Fiorentina have turned Artemio Franchi into a tough venue, with a 5-0 win in October 2022 standing out. Matches average 2.50 goals in the last 10 encounters, and Juventus’ last win in Florence was a 1-0 result in November 2021, suggesting a competitive, potentially high-scoring affair.

Key Players to Watch

Fiorentina

• Moise Kean (FWD): 15 goals, 4 assists in Serie A; ex-Juventus striker with a point to prove.

• Albert Guðmundsson (MID): 6 goals, 5 assists in Serie A; creative spark in attack.

• David de Gea (GK): 7 clean sheets in Serie A; veteran keeper under pressure.

Juventus

• Randal Kolo Muani (FWD): 8 goals, 3 assists in Serie A; key finisher in Jackson’s absence.

• Manuel Locatelli (MID): 3 goals, 4 assists in Serie A; midfield anchor and playmaker.

• Michele Di Gregorio (GK): 8 clean sheets in Serie A; crucial for defensive solidity.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Fiorentina’s 3-4-2-1 (1.61 goals per game in Serie A) leverages Kean’s finishing and Guðmundsson’s flair, likely holding 52% possession at home to test Juventus’ defense (0.89 goals conceded per game). Injuries to Andrea Colpani (foot) and Edoardo Bove (heart) may see Nicolò Fagioli step up, with Mandragora back from suspension. Juventus’ 4-2-3-1 (1.57 goals per game in Serie A) relies on Kolo Muani’s pace and Locatelli’s control, aiming for 48% possession to counter, but Gleison Bremer (knee) and others remain sidelined, stretching their depth. The 34,000 fans at Artemio Franchi will amplify Fiorentina’s edge, suggesting a tight match where home form could challenge Juventus’ resilience.

Prediction: Fiorentina vs Juventus

Our Prediction: Both Team to score - Yes

Corner - Over 4.5 (Team 1)