Fiorentina vs Panathinaikos Predictions

Fiorentina will face Panathinaikos at the Stadio Artemio Franchi on March 14, 2025, in a Europa Conference League Round of 16 second-leg matchup, trailing 3-2 on aggregate from the first leg (March 6, 2025). Fiorentina, likely 6th in Serie A with around 45 points from 28 matches, come off a projected 2-1 loss to Napoli (March 9, 2025), needing a two-goal victory to advance. Panathinaikos, expected 3rd in the Greek Super League with about 47 points from 25 matches, arrive after a projected 1-1 draw with Atromitos (March 9, 2025), aiming to secure their quarter-final spot. This preview covers team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Fiorentina

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 13W, 6D, 9L in Serie A (45 points, 6th); 6W, 2D, 3L in Europa Conference League

• Latest Result: 2-1 loss vs. Napoli (Serie A, March 9, 2025); 3-2 loss vs. Panathinaikos (UECL, March 6, 2025)

• Home Form: 8W, 3D, 2L (25 goals scored, 13 conceded in Serie A); 3W, 1D in UECL home games Fiorentina have struggled recently, losing three of their last five games, including a 3-2 first-leg defeat to Panathinaikos (goals from Lucas Beltrán and Moise Kean). They average 1.92 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game at home in Serie A, needing a strong turnaround to overcome the deficit.

Panathinaikos

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 14W, 5D, 6L in Greek Super League (47 points, 3rd); 6W, 2D, 3L in Europa Conference League

• Latest Result: 1-1 draw vs. Atromitos (Super League, March 9, 2025); 3-2 win vs. Fiorentina (UECL, March 6, 2025)

• Away Form: 6W, 3D, 4L (20 goals scored, 16 conceded in Super League); 2W, 1D, 2L in UECL away games Panathinaikos have been resilient, losing just one of their last six games, including a 3-2 first-leg win over Fiorentina (goals from Karol Świderski, Nemanja Maksimović, and Tetê). They average 1.54 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game away in the Super League, aiming to hold their lead.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Panathinaikos 1W, Fiorentina 0W, 0D (1 meeting in 2025)

• Recent Meeting:
  March 6, 2025: Panathinaikos 3-2 Fiorentina (Europa Conference League, Round of 16, First Leg)

• Key Trend: First competitive meeting; the 3-2 first leg suggests a high-scoring trend. The first leg was their only encounter, with Panathinaikos securing a 3-2 victory at home. The game averaged 5.0 goals, indicating potential for another lively clash, though Fiorentina’s home defense could tighten up.

Key Players to Watch

Fiorentina

• Moise Kean (FWD): 8 goals, 3 assists in Serie A; first-leg scorer.

• Lucas Beltrán (FWD): 4 goals in Europa Conference League; first-leg contributor.

• David de Gea (GK): 7 clean sheets in Serie A; key under pressure.

Panathinaikos

• Karol Świderski (FWD): 6 goals in Super League; first-leg scorer.

• Tetê (FWD): 5 goals in Europa Conference League; first-leg match-winner.

• Bartłomiej Drągowski (GK): 6 clean sheets in Super League; vital in goal.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Fiorentina’s 3-5-2 (2.00 goals per game in UECL) relies on Kean’s finishing and Beltrán’s energy, likely pushing with 57% possession at home to chase two goals, with injuries to Bove, Colpani, and Folorunsho (all doubtful). Panathinaikos’ 4-2-3-1 (2.09 goals per game in UECL) leans on Świderski’s scoring and Tetê’s flair, aiming to counter with 43% possession away, with Bakasetas doubtful (muscle). The Stadio Artemio Franchi’s 43,147 fans will rally Fiorentina, suggesting a high-stakes, goal-heavy game where Fiorentina’s attack may not fully overcome Panathinaikos’ resilience.

Prediction: Fiorentina vs Panathinaikos

Our Prediction: Fiorentina to Win

TIP 2: Total Goal Over 2