Team Form & Recent Performances

Fluminense

• 2025 Record: 11W, 6D, 11L in Serie A (39 points, 9th); 2024 Serie A 10th with 12W, 7D, 17L

• Latest Result: Lost 1-0 at Botafogo (April 27, 2025), drew 1-1 vs. Vitória (September 20, 2025)

• Home Form: 6W, 3D, 5L in 14 Serie A home games (20 goals scored, 15 conceded)

Fluminense are mid-table, showing inconsistency. Their 1-0 loss to Botafogo in April, failing to convert 48% possession, exposed finishing issues. The 1-1 draw against Vitória was gritty, equalizing late. At Maracanã, they average 1.43 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Over their last five games (2W, 1D, 2L), they’ve scored 6 goals and conceded 5. No major injuries reported, but squad depth is tested. Their 50% possession and 3.8 shots on target per game suggest balance, but a 2.27 average goals per H2H with Botafogo adds rivalry tension.

Botafogo

• 2025 Record: 14W, 8D, 6L in Serie A (50 points, 5th); 2024 Serie A 1st with 23W, 7D, 6L

• Latest Result: Won 2-0 vs. Fluminense (April 27, 2025), won 3-0 vs. Al Fayha (September 20, 2025)

• Away Form: 5W, 4D, 5L in 14 Serie A away games (18 goals scored, 18 conceded)

Botafogo are title contenders, unbeaten in their last four games. Their 2-0 win over Fluminense in April, with Vitinho and Savarino scoring, showcased dominance. The 3-0 win over Al Fayha was convincing. Away, they average 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Over their last five games (4W, 1D, 0L), they’ve scored 10 goals and conceded 2. Injuries to Cuiabano (sprained ankle), Jordan Barrera (sprained ankle), and Bastos (knee) persist. Their 55% possession and 4.5 shots on target per game indicate superiority.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Fluminense lead with 26 wins to Botafogo’s 20, 20 draws in 66 matches

• Recent Meeting: April 27, 2025—Botafogo 2-0 Fluminense (Serie A)

• Key Trend: Botafogo won 2 of the last 3 H2Hs; 2 of 3 had under 2.5 goals, averaging 2.27 goals per game; Botafogo won their last away H2H 2-0

Botafogo’s 2-0 win in April 2025 at Nilton Santos, with no Fluminense goals, reversed recent trends. Fluminense’s last home win was 1-0 in 2023. Both teams scored in 40% of recent H2Hs, with Botafogo averaging 1.4 goals to Fluminense’s 1.0. Fluminense’s home strength (6W in 14) meets Botafogo’s away resilience (5W in 14), setting up a Clássico Vovô thriller.

Key Players to Watch

Fluminense

• Germán Cano (FWD): 5 goals in Serie A. Veteran scorer, key at Maracanã.

• André (MID): 2 goals, 3 assists in Serie A. Midfield engine.

• Fábio (GK): 6 clean sheets in Serie A, 70% save rate. Reliable veteran.

Botafogo

• Jefferson Savarino (FWD): 4 goals in Serie A. Scored in H2H, a creative threat.

• Vitinho (MID): 3 goals, 2 assists in Serie A. Scored in H2H, versatile.

• John Victor (GK): 5 clean sheets in Serie A, 68% save rate. Solid away.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Fluminense’s 4-2-3-1, under Fernando Diniz, relies on Cano’s finishing and André’s control, with Thiago Silva anchoring defense, averaging 50% possession and 3.8 shots on target per game. They’ll press high, targeting Botafogo’s 1.29 conceded away, but their 1.07 conceded at home is a strength. Botafogo’s 4-3-3, led by Artur Jorge, uses Savarino’s flair and Vitinho’s versatility, with Marlon in defense, averaging 55% possession and 4.5 shots on target. Injuries force reliance on Matheus Martins, exploiting Fluminense’s transitions. Maracanã’s 78,838 fans will fuel Fluminense. Web buzz favors Botafogo at 2.10 odds, with BTTS at 1.65, citing their H2H edge and form.