Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Predictions

Galatasaray will host Fenerbahçe at Türk Telekom Stadium on February 24, 2025, in a blockbuster Süper Lig matchup as Round 25 brings together Türkiye’s fiercest rivals in a battle for supremacy. Galatasaray, under Okan Buruk, have been in scintillating form, leading the league and aiming to extend their dominance with a formidable home record. Fenerbahçe, managed by İsmail Kartal, sit just behind, seeking to upset their rivals and leapfrog into first place with their attacking firepower. Our expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe in this Süper Lig clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Galatasaray

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 23): 17W, 4D, 3L (55 points, 1st in Süper Lig)

• Latest Result: 1-0 win vs. Göztepe (Feb 15, 2025)

• Home Form: 9W, 2D, 1L (29 goals scored, 10 conceded)
  Galatasaray have been the standout team in the 2024/25 Süper Lig, leading the table with 55 points from 24 matches as of February 23, 2025. Their recent 1-0 victory over Göztepe, with Victor Osimhen scoring, extended their unbeaten run to eight league games (6W, 2D), bolstered by a strong Champions League campaign. At home, they’ve averaged 2.42 goals per game and conceded 0.83, showcasing their dominance at Türk Telekom Stadium.

Fenerbahçe

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 23): 16W, 5D, 3L (53 points, 2nd in Süper Lig)

• Latest Result: 2-1 win vs. Kasımpaşa (Feb 15, 2025)

• Away Form: 8W, 2D, 2L (24 goals scored, 12 conceded)
  Fenerbahçe have been hot on Galatasaray’s heels, sitting second with 53 points from 24 matches. Their recent 2-1 victory over Kasımpaşa, with goals from Edin Džeko and Mert Hakan Yandaş, marked their fifth win in six league games (5W, 1L), reflecting their attacking prowess. On the road, they’ve averaged 2.00 goals per game and conceded 1.00, maintaining a strong away record despite occasional defensive lapses.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Galatasaray 147W, Fenerbahçe 126W, 123D (396 meetings since 1909)

• Recent Meetings:

  • Sep 21, 2024: Fenerbahçe 1-3 Galatasaray (Super Lig)

  • Apr 7, 2024: Galatasaray 1-0 Fenerbahçe (Super Lig)

  • Dec 24, 2023: Fenerbahçe 0-0 Galatasaray (Super Lig)

• Key Trend: Galatasaray have won 3 of the last 5 meetings; 3 of their last 5 H2Hs stayed under 2.5 goals.
  This historic rivalry has seen Galatasaray edge ahead in recent encounters, including a 3-1 win at Fenerbahçe earlier this season. Matches are often tight and low-scoring, averaging 2.0 goals per game in their last five meetings, with defensive battles and high stakes defining the Intercontinental Derby.

Key Players to Watch

Galatasaray

• Victor Osimhen (FWD): 14 goals in 2024/25; Galatasaray’s top scorer and key finisher.

• Mauro Icardi (FWD): 10 goals, 5 assists; lethal in big matches.

• Fernando Muslera (GK): 10 clean sheets; legendary keeper anchoring the defense.

Fenerbahçe

• Edin Džeko (FWD): 12 goals in 2024/25; Fenerbahçe’s leading striker and veteran presence.

• Dušan Tadić (MID): 8 goals, 7 assists; creative force in midfield.

• Dominik Livaković (GK): 8 clean sheets; reliable in goal.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Galatasaray’s high-pressing, possession-based style (2.13 goals per game) will test Fenerbahçe’s robust defense (0.96 goals conceded per game). Osimhen and Icardi’s finishing could exploit Fenerbahçe’s backline (1.00 goals conceded per game away), which has shown occasional vulnerabilities. Fenerbahçe’s attacking approach (2.04 goals per game) relies on Džeko’s experience and Tadić’s creativity, challenging Galatasaray’s defense (0.83 goals conceded per game). Galatasaray’s Lucas Torreira (doubtful, hamstring) and Fenerbahçe’s İsmail Yüksek (out, ankle) may affect midfield battles, with Galatasaray’s 50,000-strong Türk Telekom crowd amplifying the atmosphere.

Prediction: Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe

Our Prediction: Double Chance - Galatasaray or Draw

TIP 2: Corner - Home Over 1