Genk vs Sporting Charleroi Predictions

Team Form & Recent Performances

Genk

• 2024/25 Record: 7W, 3D, 0L in Pro League (24 points, 1st); 2023/24 Pro League 3rd with 12W, 11D, 7L

• Latest Result: Drew 1-1 at Anderlecht (September 13, 2025), won 2-0 vs. Antwerp (September 7, 2025)

• Home Form: 4W, 1D, 0L in 5 Pro League home games (12 goals scored, 3 conceded)

Genk are leading the Pro League, unbeaten with a strong home record at Cegeka Arena. Their 1-1 draw at Anderlecht, with 57% possession and 3 shots on target, showed resilience, per. Their 2-0 win over Antwerp highlighted their attacking efficiency, per. At home, they average 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, per. Over their last five games (3W, 2D, 0L), they’ve scored 10 goals and conceded 3, per. Injuries to Nikolas Sattlberger (illness) and Yira Sor (muscle injury) are concerns, per. Their 59% possession and 6 corners per game reflect dominance, per, but their defensive lapses in high-pressure games, like a 4-0 loss to Union SG, raise flags, per.

Sporting Charleroi

• 2024/25 Record: 3W, 3D, 4L in Pro League (12 points, 11th); 2023/24 Pro League 8th with 12W, 9D, 13L

• Latest Result: Won 2-1 vs. KV Mechelen (September 13, 2025), lost 3-1 at Westerlo (August 30, 2025)

• Away Form: 1W, 2D, 2L in 5 Pro League away games (8 goals scored, 9 conceded)

Charleroi are mid-table, showing inconsistency. Their 2-1 win over KV Mechelen, with Daan Heymans scoring, displayed attacking intent, per. However, their 3-1 loss at Westerlo exposed defensive frailties, conceding 1.5 xG, per. Away, they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, per. Over their last five games (2W, 2D, 1L), they’ve scored 7 goals and conceded 6, per. Injuries to Théo Defourny (shoulder) and doubts over Parfait Guiagon’s fitness are concerns, per. Their 51% possession and 15.6 shots per game suggest attacking potential, but their defensive record (30 goals conceded in 27 games) is a worry, per.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Genk lead with 8 wins to Charleroi’s 2, 4 draws in 14 matches, per

• Recent Meeting: November 23, 2024—Genk 3-0 Sporting Charleroi (Pro League), per

• Key Trend: Genk are unbeaten in their last 7 H2Hs (4W, 3D); 4 of 5 saw both teams score, averaging 2.8 goals per game; Genk won 4 of 5 home H2Hs, per,

The November 2024 clash saw Genk dominate Charleroi 3-0 at home, with Tolu Arokodare, Jarne Steuckers, and Noah Adedeji-Sternberg scoring, per. Historically, Genk have the edge, particularly at Cegeka Arena, where they’ve won 4 of their last 5 H2Hs, per. Both teams scored in 80% of recent H2Hs, with Genk averaging 1.8 goals to Charleroi’s 1.0, per. Genk’s home dominance (4W in 5) meets Charleroi’s inconsistent away form (1W in 5), setting up a challenging match for the visitors, per.

Key Players to Watch

Genk

• Tolu Arokodare (FWD): 15 goals in Pro League; scored in 3-0 vs. Charleroi. A prolific striker, per

• Jarne Steuckers (MID): 5 assists, 2 goals in Pro League. His creativity drives attacks, per

• Mike Penders (GK): 4 clean sheets in Pro League, 70% save rate. Key against Charleroi’s attack, per

Sporting Charleroi

• Daan Heymans (FWD): 9 goals in Pro League; scored vs. Mechelen. A clutch performer, per

• Adem Zorgane (MID): 4 assists in Pro League. His playmaking is vital, per

• Igor Bohn (GK): 2 clean sheets in Pro League, 67% save rate. Steps in for Defourny, per

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Genk’s 4-2-3-1, under Thorsten Fink, relies on Arokodare’s finishing and Steuckers’ creativity, with Matte Smets and Bilal El Khannouss in midfield, averaging 59% possession and 17.4 shots per game, per. Without Sattlberger and Sor, they’ll lean on Patrik Hrošovský, targeting Charleroi’s 1.8 goals conceded away, but their occasional defensive lapses (4 goals conceded in 6 games) are a concern, per. Charleroi’s 4-4-2, led by Rik De Mil, uses Heymans and Nikola Štulić up top, with Zorgane and Étienne Camara in midfield, averaging 51% possession and 15.6 shots per game, per. With Defourny out and Guiagon doubtful, they’ll rely on Jeremy Petris and Jonas Bager, exploiting Genk’s high line, but their 9 goals conceded in 5 away games raise flags, per. The 21,500-capacity Cegeka Arena will amplify Genk’s intensity, per. Web buzz favors Genk at 1.58 odds, with BTTS at 1.65, citing their home form and H2H dominance, per.