Girona vs Valencia Predictions

Girona, projected to be mid-table with around 35 points from 28 matches, come off a projected 1-1 draw against Getafe (March 9, 2025), aiming to end a winless run and climb the standings. Valencia, likely just above the relegation zone with approximately 28 points from 28 matches, arrive after a projected 2-1 loss to Villarreal (March 9, 2025), desperate to halt their slide. This preview examines team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome of this tense mid-table battle.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Girona

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 9W, 8D, 11L in La Liga (35 points, 12th); 4W, 2D, 3L in Copa del Rey and friendlies

• Latest Results: 1-1 draw vs. Getafe (La Liga, March 9, 2025); 2-0 loss vs. Real Sociedad (La Liga, March 2, 2025)

• Home Form: 6W, 4D, 4L (18 goals scored, 15 conceded in La Liga)
  Girona have struggled for consistency, winless in their last five league matches as of March 15, 2025. They average 1.29 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game at home, showing resilience but lacking the firepower of their 2023/24 campaign. Their recent draw against Getafe highlights a need for sharper finishing against a vulnerable Valencia side.

Valencia

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 7W, 7D, 14L in La Liga (28 points, 16th); 3W, 2D, 4L in Copa del Rey and friendlies

• Latest Results: 2-1 loss vs. Villarreal (La Liga, March 9, 2025); 1-0 win vs. Real Valladolid (La Liga, March 2, 2025)

• Away Form: 2W, 3D, 9L (12 goals scored, 25 conceded in La Liga)
  Valencia have been inconsistent, with just two wins in their last five games. Their away form averages 0.86 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game, exposing defensive frailties that have plagued their season. Their recent loss to Villarreal ended a mini-revival, making this trip to Montilivi a daunting prospect.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Girona 5W, Valencia 4W, 2D (11 meetings since 2017)

• Recent Meeting: September 21, 2024: Valencia 2-0 Girona (La Liga)

• Key Trend: Girona have won 3 of their last 5 home H2Hs; 55% of meetings saw over 2.5 goals
  Girona have had the upper hand at home recently, including a 2-1 win in May 2024, though Valencia’s 2-0 victory earlier this season snapped a three-game losing streak against the Catalans. Matches average 2.45 goals, with Girona’s home dominance (3W, 1D, 1L in last 5 H2Hs at Montilivi) suggesting a chance to reclaim bragging rights.

Key Players to Watch

Girona

• Cristhian Stuani (FWD): 5 goals, 2 assists in La Liga; veteran striker with clutch scoring ability.

• Viktor Tsygankov (MID): 4 goals, 4 assists in La Liga; creative winger with flair.

• Paulo Gazzaniga (GK): 6 clean sheets in La Liga; steady presence in goal.

Valencia

• Hugo Duro (FWD): 7 goals, 2 assists in La Liga; primary scoring threat despite team struggles.

• Javi Guerra (MID): 3 goals, 3 assists in La Liga; young midfielder with potential.

• Giorgi Mamardashvili (GK): 5 clean sheets in La Liga; key to any defensive resistance.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Girona’s 4-3-3 (1.21 goals per game in La Liga) relies on Stuani’s finishing and Tsygankov’s creativity, likely holding 55% possession at home to exploit Valencia’s shaky defense. Injuries to David López (hamstring) and Yangel Herrera (doubtful, knock) may test their depth. Valencia’s 4-4-2 (0.96 goals per game in La Liga) hinges on Duro’s poaching and Guerra’s energy, aiming for 45% possession to counter, with André Almeida doubtful (injury). The 18,000 fans at Montilivi will rally Girona, suggesting a match where the hosts’ home advantage could edge out Valencia’s fragile away form.

Prediction: Girona vs Valencia

Our Prediction: Asian Handicap - Girona to Win +0

Corner - Over 3.5 (Team 2)