Goa vs Mohammedan Predictions

Goa will face Mohammedan at the Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium on March 4, 2025, in a pivotal Indian Super League matchup, as Round 20 brings together a Goa squad chasing a top-three finish and a Mohammedan team battling to avoid relegation. Goa, under Manolo Márquez, are projected to sit 2nd with around 42 points from 19 matches as of March 3, 2025, following a 2-1 win over Hyderabad FC (Feb 23, 2025), aiming to leverage their unbeaten home streak to solidify their playoff position. Mohammedan, managed by Andrey Chernyshov, are expected to be 12th with approximately 18 points, coming off a 2-0 loss to NorthEast United (Feb 23, 2025), desperate to salvage their debut ISL season. This expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Goa vs Mohammedan in this ISL clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Goa

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 3): 13W, 3D, 3L (42 points, 2nd in ISL)
Latest Result: 2-1 win vs. Hyderabad FC (Feb 23, 2025)
Home Form: 8W, 2D, 0L (24 goals scored, 8 conceded)

Goa have been a dominant force this season, with their recent 2-1 victory over Hyderabad FC marking their fifth win in six league games (5W, 0D, 1L) as of March 3, 2025. Projected at 42 points from 19 matches, their last home win—a 3-0 thrashing of Bengaluru (Feb 15, 2025)—extends an unbeaten run at Fatorda to nine games (8W, 1D, 0L). At home, they’ve averaged 2.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game, showcasing a lethal attack led by Boris Singh and a stout defense anchored by Carl McHugh, making them heavy favorites against Mohammedan.

Mohammedan

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 3): 5W, 3D, 11L (18 points, 12th in ISL)
Latest Result: 2-0 loss vs. NorthEast United (Feb 23, 2025)
Away Form: 2W, 2D, 6L (11 goals scored, 20 conceded)

Mohammedan have struggled in their debut ISL season, with their recent 2-0 defeat to NorthEast United marking their fourth loss in five league games (1W, 0D, 4L) as of March 3, 2025. Projected at 18 points from 19 matches, their last away win—a 1-0 upset over Chennaiyin FC (Jan 19, 2025)—is a rare bright spot in a dismal road campaign (2W in 10). On the road, they’ve averaged 1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game, reflecting a toothless attack and porous defense that could be overwhelmed by Goa’s attacking prowess at Fatorda.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

Overall Record: Goa 0W, Mohammedan 0W, 1D (1 meeting in 2024)
Recent Meeting:

• Nov 6, 2024: Mohammedan 1-1 Goa (ISL)

Key Trend: Their only prior meeting ended in a draw; the match stayed under 2.5 goals.

With just one previous encounter, the teams played out a 1-1 draw in November 2024 at Kishore Bharati Krirangan, with Mohammedan’s Alexis Gómez canceling out Goa’s Borja Herrera’s opener. This limited history suggests a competitive matchup, averaging 2.0 goals, but Goa’s superior form and home advantage could shift the balance significantly in this rematch.

Key Players to Watch

Goa

• Borja Herrera (FWD): 10 goals, 4 assists in 2024/25; Goa’s top scorer and clinical finisher.

• Boris Singh (MID): 6 goals, 6 assists; dynamic winger with flair and pace.

• Hrithik Tiwari (GK): 7 clean sheets; key to Goa’s defensive solidity.

Mohammedan

• Alexis Gómez (FWD): 6 goals in 2024/25; Mohammedan’s leading scorer and primary threat.

• César Manzoki (FWD): 4 goals, 2 assists; physical forward with finishing touch.

• Padam Chettri (GK): 4 clean sheets; vital despite team struggles.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Goa’s 4-2-3-1 (1.95 goals per game) thrives on Herrera’s finishing and Singh’s wing play, exploiting Mohammedan’s defense (1.84 goals conceded per game), which has been porous away. Mohammedan’s 4-3-3 (1.26 goals per game) relies on Gómez’s creativity, but Goa’s high press and possession dominance (avg. 56% at home) could overwhelm their shaky backline (2.00 goals conceded per game away). Goa’s Sandesh Jhingan (doubtful, knock) and Mohammedan’s Florent Ogier (questionable, fatigue) could affect lineups, with Fatorda’s 19,000 fans amplifying pressure on Mohammedan, whose away scoring struggles (1.10 goals per game) may be decisively exposed by Goa’s attacking depth (37 goals, 3rd in ISL).

Prediction: Goa vs Mohammedan

Our Prediction: Both Team to Score - Yes