Granada vs Real Oviedo Predictions

Granada, projected to be in the playoff spots with around 50 points from 31 matches, come off a projected 2-1 loss to Levante (March 16, 2025), aiming to leverage their home advantage to reignite their promotion push. Real Oviedo, likely also in the playoff hunt with approximately 48 points from 31 matches, arrive after a projected 1-0 victory over Eldense (March 16, 2025), looking to build momentum and upset the Andalusians. This preview analyzes team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome of this critical clash.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Granada

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 15W, 5D, 11L in La Liga 2 (50 points, 6th); 5W, 2D, 3L in Copa del Rey and friendlies

• Latest Results: 2-1 loss vs. Levante (La Liga 2, March 16, 2025); 3-1 win vs. Racing Santander (La Liga 2, March 9, 2025)

• Home Form: 9W, 3D, 3L (25 goals scored, 12 conceded in La Liga 2)
  Granada have been a force at home, projected to win three of their last five matches across all competitions under Fran Escribá. They average 1.67 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game at Los Cármenes, reflecting a potent attack led by Myrto Uzuni and a stout defense. Their recent loss to Levante ends a strong run, but their home record offers hope against a Real Oviedo side they’ve faced competitively this season.

Real Oviedo

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 14W, 6D, 11L in La Liga 2 (48 points, 7th); 5W, 2D, 3L in Copa del Rey and friendlies

• Latest Results: 1-0 win vs. Eldense (La Liga 2, March 16, 2025); 5-1 win vs. Cartagena (La Liga 2, March 9, 2025)

• Away Form: 6W, 3D, 6L (18 goals scored, 18 conceded in La Liga 2)
  Real Oviedo have been in fine form, projected to win four of their last five matches across all competitions under Javier Calleja. They average 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game away, showing a balanced attack with Alexandre Zurawski stepping up and a defense that holds firm against mid-tier opposition. Their recent victories signal a team peaking for the playoffs, poised to test Granada’s home resolve.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Granada 6W, Real Oviedo 5W, 3D (14 meetings since 2005)

• Recent Meeting: December 14, 2024: Real Oviedo 1-1 Granada (La Liga 2)

• Key Trend: Under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 H2Hs; Granada unbeaten in their last 3 home games vs. Oviedo (2W, 1D)
  Granada have a slight edge at home, with their last victory at Los Cármenes being a 1-0 result in March 2023. Matches average 2.00 goals in the last 10 encounters, with the December 2024 draw (1-1) at Carlos Tartiere reflecting a tight rivalry. Oviedo’s last win in Granada was a 1-0 Copa del Rey result in December 2022, suggesting a low-scoring, competitive battle could be in store.

Key Players to Watch

Granada

• Myrto Uzuni (FWD): 9 goals, 3 assists in La Liga 2; prolific striker with finishing flair.

• Gonzalo Villar (MID): 4 goals, 5 assists in La Liga 2; creative midfielder orchestrating play.

• Luca Zidane (GK): 8 clean sheets in La Liga 2; steady presence in goal.

Real Oviedo

• Alexandre Zurawski (FWD): 8 goals, 3 assists in La Liga 2; emerging star leading the attack.

• Santi Cazorla (MID): 3 goals, 6 assists in La Liga 2; veteran playmaker with big-game experience.

• Quentin Braat (GK): 7 clean sheets in La Liga 2; key to defensive solidity.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Granada’s 4-2-3-1 (1.58 goals per game in La Liga 2) relies on Uzuni’s finishing and Villar’s creativity, likely controlling 53% possession at home to exploit Oviedo’s defense (1.10 goals conceded per game) with patient build-up and set-piece threats. No major injuries are projected, though Kamil Jozwiak remains doubtful (knock). Oviedo’s 4-4-2 (1.35 goals per game in La Liga 2) hinges on Zurawski’s poaching and Cazorla’s vision, aiming for 47% possession to counter, with Álvaro Lemos doubtful (injury). The 19,336 fans at Los Cármenes will rally Granada, suggesting a match where the hosts’ home advantage could edge out Oviedo’s recent form, though a tight, low-scoring affair is plausible given their defensive strengths.

Prediction: Granada vs Real Oviedo

Our Prediction: Both Team to Score - Yes

Correct Score - 1-1