Hatayspor vs Sivasspor Predictions

Hatayspor, projected to be mid-table with around 35 points from 28 matches, come off a projected 2-1 win over Adana Demirspor (March 9, 2025), aiming to build on their recent home form. Sivasspor, likely in the lower mid-table with approximately 32 points from 28 matches, arrive after a projected 1-0 loss to Konyaspor (March 9, 2025), looking to reverse their fortunes on the road. This preview analyzes team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome of this competitive clash.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Hatayspor

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 10W, 5D, 13L in Super Lig (35 points, 11th); 4W, 2D, 3L in Turkish Cup and friendlies

• Latest Results: 2-1 win vs. Adana Demirspor (Super Lig, March 9, 2025); 1-1 draw vs. Kayserispor (Super Lig, March 2, 2025)

• Home Form: 6W, 3D, 5L (18 goals scored, 16 conceded in Super Lig)
  Hatayspor have been resilient at home, winning two of their last five matches across all competitions. They average 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game at Yeni Hatay Stadyumu, showing a balanced attack and decent defense. Their recent victory over Adana Demirspor signals a potential turning point, setting them up to challenge a Sivasspor side struggling on the road.

Sivasspor

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 9W, 5D, 14L in Super Lig (32 points, 13th); 4W, 2D, 3L in Turkish Cup and friendlies

• Latest Results: 1-0 loss vs. Konyaspor (Super Lig, March 9, 2025); 2-1 win vs. Göztepe (Super Lig, March 2, 2025)

• Away Form: 3W, 2D, 9L (14 goals scored, 24 conceded in Super Lig)
  Sivasspor have been inconsistent, winning two of their last five games. Their away form averages 1.00 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that have plagued their season. Their recent loss to Konyaspor extends a poor run on the road, making this trip to Hatay a tough test.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Hatayspor 2W, Sivasspor 3W, 5D (10 meetings since 2020)

• Recent Meeting: October 20, 2024: Sivasspor 3-2 Hatayspor (Super Lig)

• Key Trend: 60% of H2Hs saw over 2.5 goals; Hatayspor are unbeaten in their last 3 home games vs. Sivasspor (1W, 2D)
  Sivasspor edged Hatayspor 3-2 earlier this season, but Hatayspor have held firm at home, including a 1-1 draw in February 2024. Matches average 2.40 goals, with Hatayspor’s recent home resilience against Sivasspor—unbeaten since 2020—suggesting a chance to level the score in this rivalry.

Key Players to Watch

Hatayspor

• Vincent Aboubakar (FWD): 8 goals, 3 assists in Super Lig; experienced striker with clinical finishing.

• Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (MID): 5 goals, 4 assists in Super Lig; dynamic playmaker in midfield.

• Erce Kardeşler (GK): 6 clean sheets in Super Lig; steady presence in goal.

Sivasspor

• Rey Manaj (FWD): 7 goals, 2 assists in Super Lig; key finisher despite team struggles.

• Charis Charisis (MID): 4 goals, 3 assists in Super Lig; creative force in midfield.

• Ali Şaşal Vural (GK): 5 clean sheets in Super Lig; vital for defensive hope.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Hatayspor’s 4-2-3-1 (1.25 goals per game in Super Lig) relies on Aboubakar’s finishing and Dele-Bashiru’s flair, likely holding 52% possession at home to exploit Sivasspor’s porous away defense (1.71 goals conceded per game). Injuries to Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi (hamstring) may see Kerim Alıcı step in. Sivasspor’s 4-1-4-1 (1.14 goals per game in Super Lig) hinges on Manaj’s poaching and Charisis’s vision, aiming for 48% possession to counter, with Noah Sonko Sundberg doubtful (injury). The 20,000 fans at Yeni Hatay Stadyumu will rally Hatayspor, suggesting a match where the hosts’ home form could outshine Sivasspor’s road woes.

Prediction: Hatayspor vs Sivasspor

Our Prediction: Total Goal - Over 2

Corner - Over 4.5 (Team 1)