Hull City vs Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Hull City will face Plymouth Argyle at the MKM Stadium on March 5, 2025, in a critical Championship matchup, as Round 35 brings together a Hull City squad desperate to climb out of the relegation zone and a Plymouth Argyle team fighting for survival. Hull City, under Tim Walter, are projected to sit 22nd with around 34 points from 34 matches as of March 3, 2025, following a 2-0 loss to Cardiff City (March 1, 2025), aiming to leverage their home advantage to secure vital points. Plymouth Argyle, led by Miron Muslić, are expected to be 21st with approximately 35 points, coming off a 2-2 draw against Middlesbrough (March 1, 2025), seeking to build on recent resilience. This expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Hull City vs Plymouth Argyle in this Championship clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Hull City

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 3): 9W, 7D, 18L (34 points, 22nd in Championship)
Latest Result: 2-0 loss vs. Cardiff City (March 1, 2025)
Home Form: 6W, 4D, 7L (22 goals scored, 21 conceded)

Hull City have struggled this season, with their recent 2-0 defeat to Cardiff City marking their third loss in four league games (1W, 0D, 3L) as of March 3, 2025. Projected at 34 points from 34 matches, their last home win—a 2-1 victory over QPR (Feb 25, 2025)—offers a glimmer of hope at the MKM Stadium, where they’ve been inconsistent (3W in last 8 home games). At home, they’ve averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game, reflecting a modest attack led by Chris Bedia and a leaky defense hampered by injuries to key players like Eliot Matazo and Liam Millar.

Plymouth Argyle

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 3): 9W, 8D, 17L (35 points, 21st in Championship)
Latest Result: 2-2 draw vs. Middlesbrough (March 1, 2025)
Away Form: 2W, 4D, 11L (15 goals scored, 34 conceded)

Plymouth Argyle have shown resilience under new management, with their recent 2-2 draw against Middlesbrough extending a five-game stretch with just one loss (2W, 2D, 1L) as of March 3, 2025. Projected at 35 points from 34 matches, their last away win—a 1-0 upset over Cardiff City (Jan 25, 2025)—is a rare highlight in a dismal road campaign (2W in 17). On the road, they’ve averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game, with Ryan Hardie providing sporadic scoring, but a porous defense (league-worst 59 goals conceded) could be exposed by Hull’s attack.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

Overall Record: Hull City 12W, Plymouth Argyle 11W, 10D (33 meetings since 1970)
Recent Meetings:

• Aug 17, 2024: Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Hull City (Championship)

• May 4, 2024: Plymouth Argyle 1-0 Hull City (Championship)

• Aug 5, 2023: Hull City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle (Championship)

Key Trend: Three of the last five meetings ended in draws; 4 of the last 5 H2Hs saw under 2.5 goals.

The teams played out a 1-1 draw in August 2024 at Home Park, with Ryan Hardie’s goal for Plymouth canceled out by Oscar Estupiñán’s equalizer for Hull, reflecting their recent competitiveness. Hull’s last home win over Plymouth was a 2-0 result in October 2021, and matches have averaged 1.6 goals in their last five encounters, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair could unfold, though Hull’s home edge (unbeaten in last 3 home H2Hs: 1W, 2D) may tilt the balance.

Key Players to Watch

Hull City

• Chris Bedia (FWD): 8 goals, 2 assists in 2024/25; Hull’s top scorer and primary threat.

• Xavier Simons (MID): 4 goals, 3 assists; key creator stepping up amid injuries.

• Ivor Pandur (GK): 5 clean sheets; vital despite defensive frailty.

Plymouth Argyle

• Ryan Hardie (FWD): 10 goals, 3 assists in 2024/25; Plymouth’s leading scorer and clutch performer.

• Morgan Whittaker (MID): 6 goals, 4 assists; dynamic winger with flair.

• Michael Cooper (GK): 6 clean sheets; key to keeping games close.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Hull’s 4-2-3-1 (1.18 goals per game) relies on Bedia’s finishing and Simons’s playmaking, aiming to exploit Plymouth’s leaky defense (2.00 goals conceded per game away), though injuries to Eliot Matazo (ACL), Liam Millar (ACL), and Mohamed Belloumi (ACL) limit their depth, with Sean McLoughlin doubtful (knee). Plymouth’s 4-2-3-1 (1.21 goals per game) hinges on Hardie’s movement and Whittaker’s creativity, but their counter-attacking style (avg. 44% possession away) struggles against Hull’s possession-based approach (avg. 52% at home). Plymouth’s Joe Edwards (doubtful, hamstring) could thin their lineup, while Hull’s home crowd of 25,000 will push for a vital win. Burnley’s defensive record suggests a low-scoring game, but Hull’s desperation could open spaces.

Prediction: Hull City vs Plymouth Argyle

Our Prediction: Corner - Hull City to Win

TIP 2: Both Team to Score - yes