Inter vs Genoa Predictions

Inter will host Genoa at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on February 23, 2025, in a crucial Serie A encounter as Round 26 brings together two teams with contrasting fortunes. Inter, under Simone Inzaghi, are chasing the Scudetto after a dominant 2024/25 campaign so far, aiming to maintain their stronghold at the top. Genoa, managed by Alberto Gilardino, have shown resilience but face a daunting task against the Nerazzurri’s formidable home record. Our expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Inter vs Genoa in this Serie A clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Inter

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 22): 16W, 6D, 3L (54 points, 2nd in Serie A)

• Latest Result: 2-1 loss vs. Juventus (Feb 15, 2025)

• Home Form: 8W, 3D, 1L (29 goals scored, 13 conceded)
  Inter have been a powerhouse in the 2024/25 Serie A season, sitting second with 54 points from 25 matches as of February 22, 2025. Their recent 2-1 defeat to Juventus ended a three-game winning streak, with Francisco Conceição’s late goal proving decisive. At home, they’ve been nearly unstoppable, averaging 2.42 goals per game and conceding just 1.08, bolstered by a 2-0 Europa League win over Twente on February 13.

Genoa

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 22): 8W, 7D, 10L (31 points, 11th in Serie A)

• Latest Result: 2-0 win vs. Venezia (Feb 17, 2025)

• Away Form: 3W, 3D, 6L (12 goals scored, 19 conceded)
  Genoa have held their own in mid-table with 31 points from 25 matches, showing flashes of brilliance. Their recent 2-0 victory over Venezia, with goals from Koni De Winter and Alessandro Vogliacco, marked a return to form after a mixed run (2W, 1D, 2L in their last 5). On the road, they’ve struggled, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Inter 23W, Genoa 5W, 8D (36 meetings since 1990)

• Recent Meetings:

  • Aug 17, 2024: Genoa 2-2 Inter (Serie A)

  • Mar 4, 2024: Inter 2-1 Genoa (Serie A)

  • Dec 29, 2023: Genoa 1-1 Inter (Serie A)

• Key Trend: Inter are unbeaten in their last 11 Serie A games vs. Genoa, winning 8; 10 of Inter’s last 10 home games vs. Genoa ended in victory.
  Inter dominate this fixture, especially at the San Siro, where they’ve won their last 10 encounters with Genoa, scoring 27 goals. The reverse fixture this season ended in a 2-2 draw, hinting at Genoa’s potential to frustrate, but history favors the Nerazzurri at home.

Key Players to Watch

Inter

• Lautaro Martínez (FWD): 17 goals in 2024/25; a lethal striker at the San Siro.

• Hakan Çalhanoğlu (MID): 6 goals, 8 assists; orchestrates Inter’s attack.

• Yann Sommer (GK): 10 clean sheets; a wall in goal.

Genoa

• Albert Guðmundsson (FWD): 7 goals in 2024/25; Genoa’s creative spark.

• Junior Messias (MID): 4 goals; adds flair and experience.

• Josep Martínez (GK): 6 clean sheets; key in keeping scores tight.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Inter’s possession-based, high-pressing style (2.32 goals per game) will test Genoa’s defensive resilience (1.24 goals per game). Martínez’s finishing could exploit Genoa’s backline (1.36 goals conceded per game), which has struggled on the road. Genoa’s counterattacking threat may challenge Inter’s defense (0.88 goals conceded per game), but injuries to Vitinha (knee) and Milan Badelj (calf) limit their options. Inter’s 70,000-strong home crowd adds pressure.

Prediction: Inter vs Genoa

Our Prediction: Match Winner -  Inter to Win

TIP 2: Both Team to Score - Yes

TIP 3: Correct Score - 3-1