İstanbul Başakşehir vs Sivasspor Predictions

İstanbul Başakşehir will face Sivasspor at the Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadium on March 3, 2025, in a crucial Süper Lig matchup, as Round 26 brings together a Başakşehir squad aiming to climb into European contention and a Sivasspor team fighting to avoid the drop. İstanbul Başakşehir, under Çağdaş Atan, are projected to sit 7th with around 39 points from 25 matches as of March 2, 2025, following a 2-1 loss to Galatasaray (Feb 23, 2025), looking to capitalize on their home strength to regain momentum. Sivasspor, managed by Bülent Uygun, are expected to be 15th with approximately 28 points, coming off a 2-2 draw against Gaziantep F.K. (Feb 23, 2025), desperate to secure points for survival. This expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win İstanbul Başakşehir vs Sivasspor in this Süper Lig clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

İstanbul Başakşehir

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 2): 11W, 6D, 8L (39 points, 7th in Süper Lig)
Latest Result: 2-1 loss vs. Galatasaray (Feb 23, 2025)
Home Form: 7W, 3D, 2L (22 goals scored, 12 conceded)

İstanbul Başakşehir have been a solid mid-table side this season, but their recent 2-1 defeat to Galatasaray snapped a three-game unbeaten streak (2W, 1D, 1L) as of March 2, 2025. Projected at 39 points from 25 matches, their last home win—a 3-1 victory over Hatayspor (Feb 15, 2025)—demonstrates their potency at Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadium. At home, they’ve averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game, reflecting a strong attack and a defense that’s been reliable, which could challenge Sivasspor’s faltering form.

Sivasspor

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 2): 7W, 7D, 11L (28 points, 15th in Süper Lig)
Latest Result: 2-2 draw vs. Gaziantep F.K. (Feb 23, 2025)
Away Form: 3W, 3D, 6L (14 goals scored, 20 conceded)

Sivasspor have struggled to find consistency, with their recent 2-2 draw against Gaziantep F.K. extending a three-game winless streak (0W, 2D, 1L) as of March 2, 2025. Projected at 28 points from 25 matches, their last away win—a 1-0 upset over Adana Demirspor (Jan 19, 2025)—offers faint hope. On the road, they’ve averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game, exposing a modest attack and a porous defense that could crumble under Başakşehir’s home pressure.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

Overall Record: İstanbul Başakşehir 11W, Sivasspor 3W, 9D (23 meetings since 2005)
Recent Meetings:

• Sep 27, 2024: Sivasspor 1-2 İstanbul Başakşehir (Süper Lig)

• May 12, 2024: Sivasspor 0-1 İstanbul Başakşehir (Süper Lig)

• Dec 19, 2023: İstanbul Başakşehir 3-1 Sivasspor (Süper Lig)

Key Trend: İstanbul Başakşehir have won their last 3 meetings; 3 of the last 5 H2Hs stayed under 2.5 goals.

İstanbul Başakşehir have dominated recently, with their 2-1 win in September 2024 at BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu—led by João Figueiredo’s brace—reinforcing their edge. Sivasspor’s last victory over Başakşehir was a 2-1 result in November 2020, and matches have averaged 2.2 goals in their last five encounters, suggesting a tightly contested game could unfold despite Başakşehir’s recent superiority.

Key Players to Watch

İstanbul Başakşehir

• João Figueiredo (FWD): 9 goals, 4 assists in 2024/25; Başakşehir’s top scorer and clutch performer.

• Dimitrios Pelkas (MID): 5 goals, 6 assists; creative spark in midfield.

• Muhammed Şengezer (GK): 7 clean sheets; anchors a solid defense.

Sivasspor

• Rey Manaj (FWD): 7 goals in 2024/25; Sivasspor’s leading scorer and primary threat.

• Samu Sáiz (MID): 4 goals, 5 assists; key playmaker with vision.

• Ali Şaşal Vural (GK): 5 clean sheets; vital despite defensive struggles.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

İstanbul Başakşehir’s 4-1-4-1 (1.68 goals per game) thrives on Figueiredo’s finishing and Pelkas’s flair, testing Sivasspor’s defense (1.52 goals conceded per game), which has been leaky away. Sivasspor’s 4-2-3-1 (1.32 goals per game) relies on Manaj’s physicality and Sáiz’s creativity, exploiting Başakşehir’s backline (1.28 goals conceded per game). Başakşehir’s Jerome Opoku (out, suspension) and Sivasspor’s Uroš Radaković (out, suspension) will miss the game, while Başakşehir’s Ömer Ali Şahiner (doubtful, knock) could affect the lineup. Fatih Terim Stadium’s 17,000 fans will push Başakşehir to capitalize on Sivasspor’s road woes.

Prediction: İstanbul Başakşehir vs Sivasspor

Our Prediction: İstanbul Başakşehir to Win 2-0

TIP 2: Corner - İstanbul Başakşehir to Win