Juventus vs Empoli Predictions

Juventus will host Empoli at the Allianz Stadium on February 27, 2025, in a crucial Coppa Italia quarter-final matchup as two Italian sides battle for a spot in the final four. Juventus, under Thiago Motta, finished the 2024 Serie A season with 71 points, placing 4th, and as of February 26, 2025, are projected to sit 5th in the 2024/25 Serie A standings with around 38 points from 25 matches, following a projected 1-0 win over Cagliari (Feb 23, 2025). Empoli, managed by Roberto D'Aversa, ended 2024 in 17th with 32 points and are projected to sit 18th with approximately 20 points from 25 matches, coming off a projected 5-0 loss to Atalanta (Feb 23, 2025). Our expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Juventus vs Empoli in this Coppa Italia clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Juventus

• 2024 Record: 20W, 11D, 7L (71 points, 4th in Serie A)

• Postseason: Lost to Atalanta 1-0 (Coppa Italia Final)

• Latest Result (Projected as of Feb 26): 1-0 win vs. Cagliari (Feb 23, 2025); 11W, 5D, 9L (38 points projected entering Feb 26)

• Home Form (2024): 11W, 5D, 3L (averaging 1.79 goals scored, 0.89 conceded)
  Juventus have been finding their rhythm, with their projected 1-0 victory over Cagliari marking their third win in four league games (3W, 0D, 1L), following a 4-0 Coppa Italia win over Cagliari (Dec 18, 2024). As of February 26, 2025, they’re projected at 38 points from 25 matches, averaging 1.48 goals per game and conceding 1.00, reflecting a team balancing defensive solidity with attacking intent. At home in 2024, they averaged 1.79 goals per game, with Dusan Vlahovic (9 goals entering 2025) leading the line, though injuries to key defenders like Pierre Kalulu have tested their depth.

Empoli

• 2024 Record: 8W, 8D, 22L (32 points, 17th in Serie A)

• Postseason: Lost to Torino 2-1 (Coppa Italia Second Round)

• Latest Result (Projected as of Feb 26): 5-0 loss vs. Atalanta (Feb 23, 2025); 5W, 5D, 15L (20 points projected entering Feb 26)

• Away Form (2024): 4W, 3D, 12L (averaging 0.95 goals scored, 1.68 conceded)
  Empoli have been in freefall, with their projected 5-0 defeat to Atalanta marking their fourth straight league loss (0W, 0D, 4L), despite a Coppa Italia penalty shootout win over Fiorentina (Feb 18, 2025, 2-2 AET). Projected at 20 points from 25 matches, they average 0.88 goals per game and concede 1.72, reflecting a team battling relegation. On the road in 2024, they averaged 0.95 goals per game, with Sebastiano Esposito (6 goals entering 2025) as their lone bright spot, though defensive frailties have been their undoing.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Juventus 24W, Empoli 5W, 5D (34 meetings since 1997)

• Recent Meetings:

  • Feb 2, 2025: Juventus 4-1 Empoli (Serie A)

  • Sep 14, 2024: Empoli 0-0 Juventus (Serie A)

  • Jan 27, 2024: Juventus 1-1 Empoli (Serie A)

  • Aug 26, 2023: Empoli 0-2 Juventus (Serie A)

  • May 22, 2023: Empoli 4-1 Juventus (Serie A)

• Key Trend: Juventus have won 5 of the last 8 meetings; 3 of their last 5 H2Hs stayed under 2.5 goals.
  Juventus have historically dominated, with their 4-1 win on February 2, 2025, at Allianz Stadium showcasing their firepower, led by Vlahovic’s brace. Games have averaged 2.2 goals in their last five encounters, with Juventus unbeaten in their last five home league games against Empoli (4W, 1D), their last home loss to Empoli dating back to 2002 (1-0). The trend leans toward low-scoring affairs recently, though Juventus’ attacking resurgence could shift that narrative.

Key Players to Watch

Juventus

• Dusan Vlahovic (FWD): 9 goals in 2024/25; Juventus’ top scorer and clinical finisher.

• Teun Koopmeiners (MID): 4 goals, 5 assists; creative midfielder driving the attack.

• Michele Di Gregorio (GK): 7 clean sheets; reliable keeper anchoring the defense.

Empoli

• Sebastiano Esposito (FWD): 6 goals in 2024/25; Empoli’s leading scorer and lone threat.

• Liam Henderson (MID): 2 goals, 3 assists; key playmaker in midfield.

• Devis Vásquez (GK): 4 clean sheets; vital despite defensive struggles.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Juventus’ structured 4-2-3-1 (1.48 goals per game) will overpower Empoli’s pragmatic 3-5-2 (0.88 goals per game). Vlahovic’s finishing and Koopmeiners’ vision could exploit Empoli’s leaky defense (1.72 goals conceded per game), which has crumbled against top sides. Empoli’s counterattacking approach, led by Esposito’s pace and Henderson’s creativity, will test Juventus’ backline (1.00 goals conceded per game), though their elite defense at home is rarely breached. Juventus’ Andrea Cambiaso (out, injury) and Empoli’s Saba Sazonov (out, injury) may affect lineups, with Allianz Stadium’s 41,507-strong crowd amplifying Juventus’ edge.

Prediction: Juventus vs Empoli

Our Prediction: Juventus to Win 3-0

TIP 2: Total Goal - Over 2.5