Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Las Palmas, projected to be in the relegation zone with around 24 points from 27 matches, come off a projected 1-0 loss to Real Betis (March 9, 2025), desperate to halt a prolonged winless streak. Deportivo Alavés, likely just above the drop zone with approximately 26 points from 27 matches, arrive after a projected 1-0 win over Villarreal (March 9, 2025), aiming to build on a rare victory. This preview examines team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome of this critical relegation battle.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Las Palmas

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 5W, 9D, 13L in La Liga (24 points, 18th); 3W, 2D, 3L in Copa del Rey and friendlies

• Latest Results: 1-0 loss vs. Real Betis (La Liga, March 9, 2025); 1-1 draw vs. Osasuna (La Liga, March 2, 2025)

• Home Form: 3W, 5D, 6L (14 goals scored, 18 conceded in La Liga)
  Las Palmas have endured a torrid run, winless in their last nine league matches as of March 13, 2025. They average 1.00 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game at home, reflecting a lack of cutting edge and defensive frailty. Their recent loss to Betis extends a dismal 2025, making this clash with Alavés a must-win to avoid sinking deeper into relegation trouble.

Deportivo Alavés

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 7W, 5D, 15L in La Liga (26 points, 17th); 4W, 1D, 4L in Copa del Rey and friendlies

• Latest Results: 1-0 win vs. Villarreal (La Liga, March 9, 2025); 1-1 draw vs. Espanyol (La Liga, March 2, 2025)

• Away Form: 2W, 3D, 8L (12 goals scored, 23 conceded in La Liga)
  Alavés have shown signs of life, going unbeaten in their last two league games, with their latest win over Villarreal ending a six-game winless streak. They average 0.92 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game away, indicating struggles on the road but enough resilience to challenge a faltering Las Palmas side.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Las Palmas 8W, Deportivo Alavés 11W, 11D (30 meetings since 1990)

• Recent Meeting: September 1, 2024: Deportivo Alavés 2-0 Las Palmas (La Liga)

• Key Trend: 67% of the last 9 H2Hs produced under 2.5 goals; Alavés are unbeaten in their last 4 visits to Las Palmas (2W, 2D)
  Alavés have had the upper hand recently, including a 2-0 win earlier this season. Matches average 2.10 goals, with Alavés’ strong record at Gran Canaria—unbeaten since 2018—posing a challenge for Las Palmas, though their earlier meetings this season suggest tight, low-scoring affairs.

Key Players to Watch

Las Palmas

• Fabio Silva (FWD): 6 goals, 2 assists in La Liga; loan striker with finishing flair.

• Alberto Moleiro (MID): 4 goals, 4 assists in La Liga; creative spark in attack.

• Jasper Cillessen (GK): 5 clean sheets in La Liga; vital for defensive solidity.

Deportivo Alavés

• Kike García (FWD): 7 goals, 3 assists in La Liga; veteran striker and clutch scorer.

• Jon Guridi (MID): 5 goals, 2 assists in La Liga; midfield engine with recent form.

• Antonio Sivera (GK): 6 clean sheets in La Liga; key to any away success.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Las Palmas’ 4-3-3 (0.93 goals per game in La Liga) relies on Silva’s finishing and Moleiro’s playmaking, likely holding 52% possession at home to seek a rare win. Suspensions to Viti Rozada and Dário Essugo weaken their squad, though Mika Mármol returns from injury. Alavés’ 4-2-3-1 (1.00 goals per game in La Liga) hinges on García’s poaching and Guridi’s energy, aiming for 48% possession to counter, with Antonio Sivera doubtful (suspension pending appeal). The 28,000 fans at Estadio Gran Canaria will push Las Palmas, suggesting a cagey match where both sides’ desperation could lead to a stalemate.

Prediction: Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alavés

Our Prediction: Both Team to Score - Yes

Corner - Under 4.5 (Team 1)