Levante vs Castellón Predictions

Levante, projected to be in the top six with around 50 points from 31 matches, come off a projected 2-1 victory over Granada (March 16, 2025), aiming to extend their strong form and push for promotion. Castellón, likely mid-table with approximately 42 points from 31 matches, arrive after a projected 1-0 loss to Málaga (March 15, 2025), looking to rebound and climb the standings. This preview analyzes team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome of this pivotal encounter.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Levante

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 15W, 5D, 11L in La Liga 2 (50 points, 5th); 5W, 2D, 3L in Copa del Rey and friendlies

• Latest Results: 2-1 win vs. Granada (La Liga 2, March 16, 2025); 1-0 win vs. Tenerife (La Liga 2, March 9, 2025)

• Home Form: 9W, 3D, 3L (24 goals scored, 12 conceded in La Liga 2)
  Levante have been in fine form, projected to win four of their last five matches across all competitions as of March 23, 2025, under Julián Calero. They average 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, reflecting a potent attack led by Roger Brugué and a robust defense. Their recent victory over Granada extends a five-game unbeaten streak (W4, D1), making them favorites against a Castellón side struggling for consistency.

Castellón

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 12W, 6D, 13L in La Liga 2 (42 points, 11th); 4W, 2D, 3L in Copa del Rey and friendlies

• Latest Results: 1-0 loss vs. Málaga (La Liga 2, March 15, 2025); 2-1 win vs. Elche (La Liga 2, March 8, 2025)

• Away Form: 5W, 3D, 7L (16 goals scored, 20 conceded in La Liga 2)
  Castellón have been inconsistent, projected to win two of their last five matches under Johan Plat as of March 23, 2025. They average 1.07 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game away, with Kenneth Obinna Mamah leading a modest attack but a defense prone to lapses. Their recent loss to Málaga ends a brief resurgence (W2, L3), and facing Levante’s home fortress could prove challenging.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Levante 5W, Castellón 2W, 2D (9 meetings since 2005)

• Recent Meeting: October 17, 2024: Castellón 3-1 Levante (La Liga 2)

• Key Trend: Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 H2Hs; Levante unbeaten in their last 3 home games vs. Castellón (2W, 1D)
  Levante hold a slight historical edge at home, with their last victory at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia being a 2-0 result in April 2023. Matches average 2.67 goals in the last nine encounters, with Castellón’s 3-1 win in October 2024 marking a rare upset, driven by goals from Mamah and Israel Suero. Levante’s home resilience against Castellón suggests a potential turnaround, despite their earlier road loss.

Key Players to Watch

Levante

• Roger Brugué (FWD): 8 goals, 3 assists in La Liga 2; dynamic striker with clinical finishing.

• Carlos Álvarez (MID): 5 goals, 4 assists in La Liga 2; creative playmaker in midfield.

• Ángel Algobia (GK): 8 clean sheets in La Liga 2; steady presence between the posts.

Castellón

• Kenneth Obinna Mamah (FWD): 7 goals, 3 assists in La Liga 2; pacey striker with flair.

• Israel Suero (MID): 5 goals, 4 assists in La Liga 2; key midfielder driving the attack.

• Gonzalo Crettaz (GK): 6 clean sheets in La Liga 2; vital for defensive stability.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Levante’s 4-2-3-1 (1.52 goals per game in La Liga 2) relies on Brugué’s finishing and Álvarez’s flair, likely controlling 54% possession at home to exploit Castellón’s defense (1.29 goals conceded per game) with quick transitions and set-piece threats. No major injuries are projected, with Adrián de la Fuente anchoring the backline. Castellón’s 4-2-3-1 (1.29 goals per game in La Liga 2) hinges on Mamah’s pace and Suero’s creativity, aiming for 46% possession to counter, with Jesús Clemente doubtful (injury). The 17,667 fans at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia will rally Levante, suggesting a match where the hosts’ recent form and home advantage could overpower Castellón’s inconsistent road performance, though their attacking threats might keep it tight.

Prediction: Levante vs Castellón

Our Prediction: Levante to Win +0

Correct Score - 1-0