Liverpool vs Newcastle United Predictions

Liverpool will host Newcastle United at Anfield on February 27, 2025, in a pivotal Premier League matchup as Round 27 brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories. Liverpool, under Arne Slot, finished the 2024 Premier League season with 67 points, placing 3rd, and as of February 26, 2025, are projected to lead the 2024/25 standings with around 57 points from 26 matches, following a projected 2-1 win over Southampton (Feb 23, 2025). Newcastle United, managed by Eddie Howe, ended 2024 in 8th with 55 points and are projected to sit 10th with approximately 35 points from 26 matches, coming off a projected 1-1 draw against Brentford (Feb 23, 2025). Our expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Liverpool vs Newcastle United in this Premier League clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Liverpool

• 2024 Record: 20W, 7D, 11L (67 points, 3rd in Premier League)

• Postseason: Lost to Manchester City 2-1 (FA Cup Semi-finals)

• Latest Result (Projected as of Feb 26): 2-1 win vs. Southampton (Feb 23, 2025); 18W, 3D, 5L (57 points projected entering Feb 26)

• Home Form (2024): 11W, 4D, 4L (averaging 2.05 goals scored, 1.32 conceded)
  Liverpool have been in scintillating form under Slot, with their projected 2-1 victory over Southampton marking their fifth win in six league games (5W, 0D, 1L), following a 3-1 triumph against Tottenham (Feb 16, 2025). As of February 26, 2025, they’re projected to lead with 57 points from 26 matches, averaging 2.15 goals per game and conceding 1.12, reflecting a team poised for a title push. At home in 2024, they averaged 2.05 goals per game, with Mohamed Salah (12 goals, 10 assists entering 2025) driving an explosive attack, though their defense has occasionally been tested by physical sides.

Newcastle United

• 2024 Record: 15W, 10D, 13L (55 points, 8th in Premier League)

• Postseason: Lost to Manchester United 3-2 (FA Cup Quarter-finals)

• Latest Result (Projected as of Feb 26): 1-1 draw vs. Brentford (Feb 23, 2025); 9W, 8D, 9L (35 points projected entering Feb 26)

• Away Form (2024): 6W, 5D, 8L (averaging 1.37 goals scored, 1.58 conceded)
  Newcastle United have been inconsistent, with their projected 1-1 draw against Brentford marking their third stalemate in five league games (1W, 3D, 1L), following a 2-1 loss to Aston Villa (Feb 16, 2025). Projected at 35 points from 26 matches, they average 1.42 goals per game and concede 1.46, reflecting a mid-table side struggling to find form. On the road in 2024, they averaged 1.37 goals per game, with Alexander Isak (9 goals entering 2025) leading the attack, though defensive frailties have plagued their away performances.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Liverpool 94W, Newcastle United 50W, 44D (188 meetings since 1893)

• Recent Meetings:

  • Dec 4, 2024: Newcastle United 3-3 Liverpool (Premier League)

  • Apr 27, 2024: Newcastle United 1-4 Liverpool (Premier League)

  • Jan 1, 2024: Liverpool 4-2 Newcastle United (Premier League)

  • Aug 27, 2023: Newcastle United 1-2 Liverpool (Premier League)

  • Feb 18, 2023: Newcastle United 0-2 Liverpool (Premier League)

• Key Trend: Liverpool have won 8 of the last 10 meetings; 4 of their last 5 H2Hs exceeded 2.5 goals.
  Liverpool hold a commanding historical edge, with their 4-2 win on January 1, 2024, at Anfield showcasing their dominance, led by Salah’s brace. Games have averaged 3.0 goals in their last five encounters, with Liverpool unbeaten in their last 12 home league games against Newcastle (10W, 2D), their last home loss to the Magpies dating back to 1994 (2-0). The high-scoring trend suggests an open game, though Newcastle’s physicality could test Liverpool’s backline.

Key Players to Watch

Liverpool

• Mohamed Salah (FWD): 12 goals, 10 assists in 2024/25; Liverpool’s talisman and creative force.

• Darwin Núñez (FWD): 8 goals; clinical finisher adding potency up top.

• Alisson Becker (GK): 9 clean sheets; elite goalkeeper stabilizing the defense.

Newcastle United

• Alexander Isak (FWD): 9 goals in 2024/25; Newcastle’s top scorer and key threat.

• Bruno Guimarães (MID): 4 goals, 5 assists; dynamic midfielder driving the engine room.

• Nick Pope (GK): 7 clean sheets; vital shot-stopper despite defensive struggles.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Liverpool’s possession-based 4-3-3 (2.15 goals per game) will clash with Newcastle’s physical 4-3-3 (1.42 goals per game). Salah’s flair and Núñez’s finishing could exploit Newcastle’s defense (1.46 goals conceded per game), which has been vulnerable on the road. Newcastle’s counterattacking style, led by Isak’s pace and Guimarães’ tenacity, will test Liverpool’s backline (1.12 goals conceded per game), though their elite defense rarely falters at home. Liverpool’s Ryan Gravenberch (doubtful, ankle) and Newcastle’s Valentino Livramento (out, hamstring) may shift lineups, with Anfield’s 60,000-strong crowd amplifying Liverpool’s edge.

Prediction: Liverpool vs Newcastle United

Our Prediction: Liverpool to Win 

TIP 2: Correct Score - 2-1

Goalscorer - Mohamed Salah