Mallorca vs Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Mallorca will face Deportivo Alavés at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix on March 2, 2025, in a crucial La Liga matchup, as Round 27 brings together a mid-table Mallorca side and a relegation-threatened Alavés team. Mallorca, under Jagoba Arrasate, are projected to sit 6th with around 45 points from 26 matches as of March 1, 2025, following a 2-1 win over Sevilla (Feb 23, 2025), aiming to solidify their European ambitions at home. Deportivo Alavés, managed by Eduardo Coudet, are expected to be 19th with approximately 23 points, reeling from a 1-0 loss to Espanyol (Feb 23, 2025), desperate to escape the relegation zone. This expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Mallorca vs Deportivo Alavés in this La Liga showdown?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Mallorca

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 1): 13W, 6D, 7L (45 points, 6th in La Liga)
Latest Result: 2-1 win vs. Sevilla (Feb 23, 2025)
Home Form: 8W, 3D, 2L (22 goals scored, 10 conceded)

Mallorca have been a revelation this season, with their recent 2-1 victory over Sevilla marking their fourth win in six league games (4W, 1D, 1L) as of March 1, 2025. Projected at 45 points from 26 matches, their last home win—a 1-0 triumph over Athletic Club (Feb 15, 2025)—underlines their strength at Son Moix. At home, they’ve averaged 1.69 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per game, showcasing a disciplined defense and efficient attack that could overpower Alavés.

Deportivo Alavés

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 1): 6W, 5D, 15L (23 points, 19th in La Liga)
Latest Result: 1-0 loss vs. Espanyol (Feb 23, 2025)
Away Form: 2W, 2D, 9L (12 goals scored, 24 conceded)

Deportivo Alavés have struggled significantly, projected at 23 points from 26 matches as of March 1, 2025. Their 1-0 defeat to Espanyol extended a five-game winless streak (0W, 2D, 3L), with their attack faltering. On the road, they’ve averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game, reflecting a lack of cutting edge and defensive frailty that could spell trouble against Mallorca’s home form.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

Overall Record: Mallorca 11W, Deportivo Alavés 5W, 7D (23 meetings since 2000)
Recent Meetings:

• Nov 1, 2024: Deportivo Alavés 1-0 Mallorca (La Liga)

• Feb 24, 2024: Deportivo Alavés 1-1 Mallorca (La Liga)

• Dec 3, 2023: Mallorca 0-0 Deportivo Alavés (La Liga)

Key Trend: Mallorca are unbeaten in their last 11 home games against Alavés (9W, 2D); 3 of the last 5 H2Hs stayed under 2.5 goals.

Mallorca have a strong historical edge at home, with their last home loss to Alavés dating back to 2001. The November 2024 clash saw Alavés win 1-0 at Mendizorroza, but Mallorca’s 100% unbeaten home record against Alavés in recent decades stands out. Matches have averaged 1.8 goals in their last five encounters, suggesting a tight, low-scoring game could be on the cards.

Key Players to Watch

Mallorca

• Vedat Muriqi (FWD): 9 goals in 2024/25; Mallorca’s top scorer and aerial threat.

• Dani Rodríguez (MID): 4 goals, 5 assists; creative spark in midfield.

• Dominik Greif (GK): 8 clean sheets; anchors a sturdy defense.

Deportivo Alavés

• Kike García (FWD): 7 goals in 2024/25; Alavés’ leading scorer and primary outlet.

• Jon Guridi (MID): 3 goals, 3 assists; key playmaker in midfield.

• Antonio Sivera (GK): 5 clean sheets; vital for any defensive resistance.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Mallorca’s 4-4-2 (1.54 goals per game) relies on Muriqi’s physicality and Rodríguez’s flair to exploit Alavés’ defense (1.54 goals conceded per game). Alavés’ 4-2-3-1 (1.15 goals per game) hinges on García’s finishing, but Mallorca’s compact mid-block and home press could stifle their attack (0.92 goals scored away). Mallorca’s Johan Mojica (out, suspension) and Alavés’ Nahuel Tenaglia (doubtful, knock) may affect lineups, with Son Moix’s 23,000 fans adding pressure on the visitors.

Prediction: Mallorca vs Deportivo Alavés

Our Prediction: Mallorca to Win 1-0

TIP 2: Both Team to Score - Yes