Millwall vs Coventry City Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship 1 October 2025

Millwall vs Coventry City Predictions

Championship





Millwall vs Coventry City Betting Tips
Millwall vs Coventry City Analysis
Team Form & Recent Performances
Millwall
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2025/26 Record: 2W, 2D, 2L in Championship (8 points, 12th); 2024/25 Championship 13th with 13W, 12D, 19L
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Latest Result: Won 1-0 vs. Derby County (September 27, 2025), drew 1-1 vs. Preston North End (September 20, 2025)
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Home Form: 1W, 1D, 1L in 3 Championship home games (3 goals scored, 2 conceded)
Millwall are mid-table, showing defensive solidity with a 1-0 win over Derby, where Zian Flemming's goal and 50% possession secured three points. Their 1-1 draw against Preston was resilient. At The Den, they average 1.0 goal scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Over their last five games (2W, 2D, 1L), they’ve scored 5 goals and conceded 4. Injuries to George Saville (knee) and doubts over Duncan Watmore are concerns. Their 48% possession and 3.2 shots on target per game reflect a pragmatic style.
Coventry City
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2025/26 Record: 3W, 1D, 2L in Championship (10 points, 6th); 2024/25 Championship 9th with 14W, 10D, 12L
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Latest Result: Drew 0-0 vs. Leicester City (September 27, 2025), lost 2-1 at Hull City (September 20, 2025)
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Away Form: 1W, 0D, 2L in 3 Championship away games (3 goals scored, 5 conceded)
Coventry City are in contention, with a 0-0 draw against Leicester showing defensive grit despite 55% possession. Their 2-1 loss at Hull exposed away issues. Away, they average 1.0 goal scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Over their last five games (2W, 2D, 1L), they’ve scored 6 goals and conceded 5. Injuries to Jamie Allen (foot) and doubts over Haji Wright are concerns. Their 52% possession and 4.0 shots on target per game indicate attacking potential.
Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context
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Overall Record: Millwall lead with 4 wins to Coventry’s 3, 3 draws in 10 matches
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Recent Meeting: March 15, 2025—Millwall 1-1 Coventry City (Championship)
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Key Trend: 5 of the last 6 H2Hs ended in draws or 1-goal margins; 4 of 6 saw both teams score, averaging 2.33 goals per game; Millwall unbeaten in 3 home H2Hs (2W, 1D)
The March 2025 draw (1-1) at The Den, with George Honeyman scoring for Millwall and Haji Wright for Coventry, continued a tight rivalry. Millwall’s 1-0 home win in November 2024 was their last victory. Both teams scored in 67% of recent H2Hs, with Millwall averaging 1.2 goals to Coventry’s 1.1. Millwall’s home form (1W, 1D in 3) meets Coventry’s away inconsistency (1W in 3), setting up a close contest.
Key Players to Watch
Millwall
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Zian Flemming (MID): 3 goals in Championship; scored vs. Derby. Creative force.
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Duncan Watmore (FWD): 2 goals in Championship. Pace on the wing.
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Matija Sarkic (GK): 2 clean sheets in Championship, 68% save rate. Key at The Den.
Coventry City
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Haji Wright (FWD): 4 goals in Championship; scored in H2H. Top scorer.
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Jack Rudoni (MID): 2 goals, 2 assists in Championship. Midfield engine.
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Ben Wilson (GK): 3 clean sheets in Championship, 70% save rate. Vital away.
Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics
Millwall’s 4-3-3, under Neil Harris, relies on Flemming’s creativity and Watmore’s pace, with Jake Cooper anchoring defense, averaging 48% possession and 3.2 shots on target per game. Without Saville, they’ll lean on George Honeyman, targeting Coventry’s 1.67 conceded away, with their 0.67 conceded at home a strength. Coventry’s 4-2-3-1, led by Mark Robins, uses Wright’s finishing and Rudoni’s drive, averaging 52% possession and 4.0 shots on target. With Allen injured, they’ll counter, exploiting Millwall’s high line, but their 1.67 conceded away is a concern. The Den’s 18,162 fans will amplify Millwall’s intensity. Web buzz favors a draw at 3.20 odds, with BTTS at 1.65, citing H2H draws and both teams’ form.

Possession
