Mirassol vs Bragantino Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A 2 October 2025

Mirassol vs Bragantino Predictions

Serie A





Mirassol vs Bragantino Betting Tips
Mirassol vs Bragantino Analysis
Team Form & Recent Performances
Mirassol
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2025 Record: 11W, 9D, 3L in Serie A (42 points, 4th); 2024 Serie B 1st (promoted)
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Latest Result: Drew 1-1 vs. Ceará (July 26, 2025), won 3-0 vs. Palmeiras (July 19, 2025)
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Home Form: 6W, 4D, 2L in 12 Serie A home games (22 goals scored, 12 conceded)
Mirassol are in excellent form, sitting 4th with an unbeaten run in their last 5 matches (3W, 2D). Their 1-1 draw against Ceará showed resilience, while the 3-0 win over Palmeiras highlighted attacking prowess. At home, they average 1.83 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Over their last five games, they’ve scored 10 goals and conceded 4. No major injuries reported, with a fully fit squad under Rafael Guanaes. Their 50% possession and 4.0 shots on target per game reflect a balanced, efficient style.
Bragantino
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2025 Record: 9W, 4D, 11L in Serie A (31 points, 10th); 2024 Serie A 10th with 12W, 9D, 15L
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Latest Result: Lost 1-2 vs. Cruzeiro (September 2025), drew 1-1 vs. São Paulo (September 2025)
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Away Form: 4W, 2D, 6L in 12 Serie A away games (15 goals scored, 18 conceded)
Bragantino are mid-table, with a poor recent run (L-D-L-W-L-L). Their 1-2 loss to Cruzeiro exposed defensive frailties, conceding 1.5 expected goals (xG). Away, they average 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Over their last five games, they’ve scored 6 goals and conceded 8. Injuries to Agustín Sant'Anna, Bruno Praxedes, Eduardo Santos, Isidro Pitta, and Juninho significantly weaken their squad. Their 52% possession and 3.5 shots on target per game show potential but inconsistency.
Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context
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Overall Record: Mirassol lead with 8 wins to Bragantino’s 5, 3 draws in 16 matches
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Recent Meeting: May 18, 2025—Bragantino 1-1 Mirassol (Serie A)
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Key Trend: Mirassol won 4 of the last 10 H2Hs; 7 of 10 saw both teams score, averaging 2.79 goals per game; Mirassol unbeaten in 3 home H2Hs (2W, 1D)
The May 2025 clash ended 1-1, with both teams sharing the spoils. Mirassol’s 2-0 home win in 2024 continued their edge. Both teams scored in 70% of recent H2Hs, with Mirassol averaging 1.6 goals to Bragantino’s 1.2. Mirassol’s home form (6W in 12) meets Bragantino’s away struggles (4W in 12), setting up a competitive match.
Key Players to Watch
Mirassol
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Bohdan Popov (FWD): 4 goals in Serie A. Leading scorer, likely to have shots on target.
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Jacopo Fazzini (MID): 2 assists in Serie A. Creative force in midfield.
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Marco Curto (GK): 3 clean sheets in Serie A, 68% save rate. Key against Bragantino’s attack.
Bragantino
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Helinho (FWD): 3 goals in Serie A. Threat despite injuries in squad.
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Vitinho (MID): 2 goals, 1 assist in Serie A. Versatile playmaker.
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Cleiton (GK): 4 clean sheets in Serie A, 70% save rate. Vital away.
Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics
Mirassol’s 4-2-3-1, under Rafael Guanaes, relies on Popov’s finishing and Fazzini’s playmaking, with a solid defense anchored by Lucas Ramon, averaging 50% possession and 4.0 shots on target per game. They’ll press high, targeting Bragantino’s 1.5 conceded away. Bragantino’s 4-3-3, led by Pedro Caixinha, uses Helinho’s pace and Vitinho’s creativity, averaging 52% possession and 3.5 shots on target. Injuries force reliance on youth, countering to exploit Mirassol’s transitions. José Maria de Campos Maia’s 15,000 fans will boost Mirassol. Web buzz favors Mirassol at 1.90 odds, with over 2.5 goals at 1.70, citing home form and Bragantino’s injuries.

Possession
