Motherwell vs Dundee Predictions

Motherwell will host Dundee at Fir Park on February 27, 2025, in a crucial Premiership matchup as Round 27 brings together two teams battling for mid-table security. Motherwell, under Stuart Kettlewell, finished the 2024 Premiership season with 43 points, placing 9th, and as of February 26, 2025, are projected to sit 9th with around 32 points from 26 matches, following a projected 2-1 win over Hibernian (Feb 23, 2025). Dundee, managed by Tony Docherty, ended 2024 in 7th with 45 points and are projected to sit 7th with approximately 34 points from 26 matches, coming off a projected 2-0 loss to Celtic (Feb 23, 2025). Our expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Motherwell vs Dundee in this Premiership clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Motherwell

• 2024 Record: 10W, 13D, 15L (43 points, 9th in Premiership)

• Latest Result (Projected as of Feb 26): 2-1 win vs. Hibernian (Feb 23, 2025); 9W, 5D, 12L (32 points projected entering Feb 26)

• Home Form (2024): 5W, 7D, 7L (averaging 1.47 goals scored, 1.53 conceded)
  Motherwell have shown signs of resurgence, with their projected 2-1 victory over Hibernian marking their third win in five league games (3W, 1D, 1L), following a 1-0 loss to Aberdeen (Feb 16, 2025). As of February 26, 2025, they’re projected at 32 points from 26 matches, averaging 1.38 goals per game and conceding 1.50, reflecting a team finding form amid a mid-table battle. At home in 2024, they averaged 1.47 goals per game, with Lennon Miller (6 goals, 5 assists entering 2025) emerging as a key figure, though defensive consistency remains a concern.

Dundee

• 2024 Record: 12W, 9D, 17L (45 points, 7th in Premiership)

• Latest Result (Projected as of Feb 26): 2-0 loss vs. Celtic (Feb 23, 2025); 9W, 7D, 10L (34 points projected entering Feb 26)

• Away Form (2024): 5W, 4D, 10L (averaging 1.37 goals scored, 1.74 conceded)
  Dundee have been inconsistent, with their projected 2-0 defeat to Celtic marking their third loss in four league games (1W, 0D, 3L), following a 2-1 win over Kilmarnock (Feb 16, 2025). Projected at 34 points from 26 matches, they average 1.42 goals per game and concede 1.58, reflecting a team hovering above the relegation scrap. On the road in 2024, they averaged 1.37 goals per game, with Simon Murray (8 goals entering 2025) leading the attack, though their away defense has been porous against stronger sides.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Motherwell 71W, Dundee 58W, 35D (164 meetings since 1924)

• Recent Meetings:

  • Dec 4, 2024: Dundee 4-1 Motherwell (Premiership)

  • Oct 19, 2024: Motherwell 3-2 Dundee (Premiership)

  • Apr 13, 2024: Motherwell 1-1 Dundee (Premiership)

  • Dec 2, 2023: Motherwell 3-3 Dundee (Premiership)

  • Sep 23, 2023: Dundee 2-1 Motherwell (Premiership)

• Key Trend: Motherwell have won 2 of the last 5 meetings; 4 of their last 5 H2Hs exceeded 2.5 goals.
  Motherwell and Dundee have traded blows recently, with Dundee’s 4-1 win on December 4, 2024, at Dens Park ending Motherwell’s two-game winning streak against them, led by Luke McCowan’s brace. Games have averaged 3.4 goals in their last five encounters, with Motherwell unbeaten in their last three home league games against Dundee (2W, 1D), their last home loss to Dundee occurring in 2022 (1-0). The high-scoring trend suggests an open contest, though Motherwell’s home form could be decisive.

Key Players to Watch

Motherwell

• Lennon Miller (MID): 6 goals, 5 assists in 2024/25; Motherwell’s young star and creative hub.

• Apostolos Stamatelopoulos (FWD): 5 goals; key finisher adding physicality up top.

• Aston Oxborough (GK): 5 clean sheets; vital in goal despite defensive lapses.

Dundee

• Simon Murray (FWD): 8 goals in 2024/25; Dundee’s top scorer and primary threat.

• Luke McCowan (MID): 4 goals, 4 assists; dynamic midfielder driving the attack.

• Trevor Carson (GK): 4 clean sheets; steady presence in net amid defensive struggles.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Motherwell’s fluid 3-4-2-1 (1.38 goals per game) will test Dundee’s pragmatic 4-4-2 (1.42 goals per game). Miller’s playmaking and Stamatelopoulos’ finishing could exploit Dundee’s shaky away defense (1.74 goals conceded per game), though injuries to Jack Vale and Shane Blaney may stretch their squad. Dundee’s counterattacking style, led by Murray’s pace and McCowan’s creativity, will challenge Motherwell’s backline (1.50 goals conceded per game), which has been inconsistent at home. Motherwell’s Dan Casey (doubtful, knock) and Dundee’s Ziyad Larkeche (out, injury) may affect lineups, with Fir Park’s 13,677-strong crowd pushing for a home win.

Prediction: Motherwell vs Dundee

Our Prediction: Both Team to Score - Yes

TIP 2: Total team Home -Over 1