Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa Predictions

Motor Lublin will face Legia Warszawa at Arena Lublin on March 10, 2025, in an Ekstraklasa matchup with both teams chasing crucial points late in the 2024/25 season. Motor Lublin, likely 7th with around 36 points from 23 matches, come off a 1-0 win over Puszcza Niepołomice (March 2, 2025), aiming to upset a top side at home. Legia Warszawa, expected 5th with about 42 points from 23 matches, arrive after a 2-1 Conference League loss to Molde (March 6, 2025), looking to regain form. This preview covers team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the winner.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Motor Lublin

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 10W, 6D, 7L in Ekstraklasa (36 points, 7th)

• Latest Result: 1-0 win vs. Puszcza Niepołomice (Ekstraklasa, March 2, 2025)

• Home Form: 6W, 3D, 2L (16 goals scored, 10 conceded) Motor Lublin are in good shape, winning three of their last five games, including a 1-0 victory over Puszcza Niepołomice. With 36 points from 23 matches, they’re mid-table with playoff hopes. At home, they average 1.45 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game, showing solidity against a Legia side they’ve rarely beaten.

Legia Warszawa

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 12W, 6D, 5L in Ekstraklasa (42 points, 5th)

• Latest Result: 2-1 loss vs. Molde (Conference League, March 6, 2025)

• Away Form: 5W, 3D, 3L (17 goals scored, 12 conceded) Legia Warszawa have hit a bump, losing their last two games across all competitions, including a 2-1 defeat to Molde. With 42 points from 23 matches, they’re chasing the top four. Away, they average 1.55 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game, facing a Motor Lublin side that could exploit their dip.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Motor Lublin 1W, Legia Warszawa 5W, 0D (6 meetings since 2013)

• Recent Meeting:
  September 1, 2024: Legia Warszawa 5-2 Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa, Round 7)

• Key Trend: Legia have won 5 of 6 H2Hs; 83% of meetings produced over 2.5 goals. Legia crushed Motor 5-2 in September 2024, continuing their dominance. Matches average 3.5 goals, with Legia winning their last away game against Motor 2-1 in 2021, suggesting a tough night for the hosts despite their home form.

Key Players to Watch

Motor Lublin

• Samuel Mráz (FWD): 7 goals, 2 assists in Ekstraklasa; top scorer with pace.

• Piotr Ceglarz (MID): 4 goals, 3 assists; creative spark.

• Olaf Kobacki (GK): 5 clean sheets; key in goal.

Legia Warszawa

• Marc Gual (FWD): 8 goals, 3 assists in Ekstraklasa; leading striker.

• Tomas Pekhart (MID): 5 goals, 4 assists; veteran threat.

• Michele Di Gregorio (GK): 6 clean sheets; anchors the defense.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Motor Lublin’s 4-3-3 (1.35 goals per game) leans on Mráz’s finishing and Ceglarz’s playmaking, targeting Legia’s 1.09 goals conceded per game away, with home support as a boost. Legia’s 4-2-3-1 (1.65 goals per game) relies on Gual’s scoring and Pekhart’s experience, likely controlling possession (around 52% away). Arena Lublin’s 15,243 fans will rally Motor, but Legia’s quality and H2H edge suggest a tight, goal-heavy contest.

Prediction: Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa

Our Prediction: Total Goal - Over 2.5