Mumbai City vs ATK Mohun Bagan Predictions

Mumbai City will face ATK Mohun Bagan at the Mumbai Football Arena on March 1, 2025, in a critical Indian Super League matchup, as Round 20 brings together two of the league’s heavyweights battling for supremacy. Mumbai City, under Petr Kratky, are projected to sit 2nd with around 42 points from 19 matches as of February 27, 2025, following a 3-2 loss to Kerala Blasters (Feb 23, 2025), aiming to regain their footing at home. ATK Mohun Bagan, led by José Molina, are expected to lead the league with approximately 45 points, buoyed by a 2-1 win over Odisha (Feb 23, 2025), looking to maintain their title charge. This expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Mumbai City vs ATK Mohun Bagan in this ISL clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Mumbai City

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Feb 27): 13W, 3D, 3L (42 points, 2nd in ISL)
Latest Result: 3-2 loss vs. Kerala Blasters (Feb 23, 2025)
Home Form: 7W, 2D, 1L (22 goals scored, 10 conceded)

Mumbai City have been a formidable force this season, but their recent 3-2 defeat to Kerala Blasters snapped a four-game unbeaten streak (3W, 1D, 0L) as of February 27, 2025. Projected at 42 points from 19 matches, their last home win—a 2-0 triumph over Chennaiyin FC (Feb 15, 2025)—highlights their Mumbai Football Arena strength. At home, they’ve averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game, blending attacking flair with a solid defense that could challenge Mohun Bagan’s top form.

ATK Mohun Bagan

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Feb 27): 14W, 3D, 2L (45 points, 1st in ISL)
Latest Result: 2-1 win vs. Odisha (Feb 23, 2025)
Away Form: 7W, 2D, 1L (20 goals scored, 10 conceded)

ATK Mohun Bagan have been the ISL’s standout team, projected at 45 points from 19 matches as of February 27, 2025. Their 2-1 victory over Odisha, with goals from Dimitri Petratos and Jason Cummings, marked their fifth win in six league games (5W, 1D, 0L), reinforcing their title credentials. On the road, they’ve averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game, showcasing a balanced attack and resilience that makes them a tough test for Mumbai City.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

Overall Record: Mumbai City 7W, ATK Mohun Bagan 2W, 3D (12 meetings since 2020)
Recent Meetings:

• Dec 7, 2024: Mumbai City 1-0 ATK Mohun Bagan (ISL)

• May 4, 2024: ATK Mohun Bagan 1-3 Mumbai City (ISL Cup Final)

• Apr 15, 2024: ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 Mumbai City (ISL)

Key Trend: Mumbai City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings; 4 of the last 5 H2Hs saw over 2.5 goals.

Mumbai City have dominated recent encounters, with their 1-0 league win in December 2024 at home—thanks to Lallianzuala Chhangte’s strike—highlighting their edge. The 3-1 ISL Cup Final victory in May 2024 further cements their superiority, though Mohun Bagan’s 2-1 win in April 2024 shows their potential to strike back. Matches have averaged 2.8 goals in their last five meetings, suggesting a high-scoring affair could unfold.

Key Players to Watch

Mumbai City

• Lallianzuala Chhangte (FWD): 10 goals, 5 assists in 2024/25; Mumbai’s top scorer and dynamic winger.

• Nikolaos Karelis (FWD): 8 goals; clinical finisher with aerial prowess.

• Phurba Lachenpa (GK): 6 clean sheets; steady presence in goal.

ATK Mohun Bagan

• Dimitri Petratos (FWD): 12 goals, 6 assists in 2024/25; Mohun Bagan’s talisman and set-piece expert.

• Jason Cummings (FWD): 9 goals; potent striker with flair.

• Vishal Kaith (GK): 7 clean sheets; anchors a robust defense.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Mumbai City’s 4-2-3-1 (2.05 goals per game) thrives on Chhangte’s pace and Karelis’ finishing, testing Mohun Bagan’s defense (0.94 goals conceded per game). Mohun Bagan’s 3-5-2 (2.16 goals per game) relies on Petratos’ creativity and Cummings’ movement, exploiting Mumbai’s backline (1.05 goals conceded per game). Mumbai’s Rahul Bheke (doubtful, knock) and Mohun Bagan’s Subhasish Bose (questionable, fatigue) may affect lineups, with Mumbai Football Arena’s 18,000 fans pushing for a home edge.

Prediction: Mumbai City vs ATK Mohun Bagan

Our Prediction: Mumbai City to Win 2-1