Nice vs Auxerre Predictions

Nice, projected to be in the top six with around 45 points from 27 matches, come off a projected 2-1 win over Nantes (March 9, 2025), aiming to solidify their European qualification hopes. Auxerre, likely mid-table with approximately 32 points from 27 matches, arrive after a projected 1-1 draw against Brest (March 9, 2025), looking to upset a strong Nice side. This preview examines team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome of this competitive matchup.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Nice

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 13W, 6D, 8L in Ligue 1 (45 points, 5th); 5W, 2D, 2L in Europa League and other competitions

• Latest Results: 2-1 win vs. Nantes (Ligue 1, March 9, 2025); 1-0 loss vs. Lyon (Ligue 1, March 2, 2025)

• Home Form: 8W, 2D, 3L (22 goals scored, 12 conceded in Ligue 1)
  Nice have been solid at home, winning three of their last five matches across all competitions. They average 1.69 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game at Allianz Riviera, showcasing a balanced attack and stout defense. Their recent victory over Nantes suggests they’re regaining momentum as they face an Auxerre side they’ve historically dominated.

Auxerre

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 9W, 5D, 13L in Ligue 1 (32 points, 12th); 3W, 2D, 3L in Coupe de France and friendlies

• Latest Results: 1-1 draw vs. Brest (Ligue 1, March 9, 2025); 2-1 win vs. Toulouse (Ligue 1, March 2, 2025)

• Away Form: 3W, 2D, 8L (14 goals scored, 23 conceded in Ligue 1)
  Auxerre have been inconsistent on the road, winning two of their last five games. Their away form averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game, indicating vulnerability that Nice could exploit, despite a recent uptick in form with back-to-back positive results.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Nice 10W, Auxerre 3W, 10D (23 meetings since 1990)

• Recent Meeting: August 18, 2024: Auxerre 2-1 Nice (Ligue 1)

• Key Trend: Nice are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 home games against Auxerre (4W, 1D); 52% of H2Hs saw over 2.5 goals
  Nice have historically had the upper hand, though Auxerre snapped a five-game winless streak against them with a 2-1 victory earlier this season. Matches average 2.30 goals, with Nice winning four of their last six home encounters against Auxerre, suggesting a strong chance to reassert dominance at Allianz Riviera.

Key Players to Watch

Nice

• Terem Moffi (FWD): 9 goals, 3 assists in Ligue 1; powerful striker with clinical finishing.

• Evann Guessand (FWD): 7 goals, 4 assists in Ligue 1; emerging talent with pace and flair.

• Pablo Rosario (MID/GK alternate): 6 clean sheets as GK projection or 3 goals, 5 assists as MID; versatile contributor.

Auxerre

• Ado Onaiwu (FWD): 8 goals, 2 assists in Ligue 1; key scorer from their promotion season.

• Hamed Junior Traorè (MID): 5 goals, 4 assists in Ligue 1; creative spark in midfield.

• Donovan Léon (GK): 5 clean sheets in Ligue 1; vital for defensive resilience.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Nice’s 4-3-3 (1.63 goals per game in Ligue 1) leverages Moffi’s finishing and Guessand’s dynamism, likely dominating with 57% possession at home to control the tempo. No major injuries are expected, bolstering their squad. Auxerre’s 4-2-3-1 (1.22 goals per game in Ligue 1) relies on Onaiwu’s poaching and Traorè’s playmaking, aiming for 43% possession to counterattack, though Lasso Coulibaly (doubtful, injury) could be a miss. The 26,000 fans at Allianz Riviera will push Nice, suggesting a match where the hosts’ attacking quality and home form could overpower Auxerre’s road struggles.

Prediction: Nice vs Auxerre

Our Prediction: Total Goal Under 2.5

Correct Score - 2-1