Team Form & Recent Performances

Novorizontino

• 2025 Record: 12W, 8D, 5L in Serie B (44 points, 2nd); 2024 Serie B 3rd with 20W, 10D, 8L

• Latest Result: Won 2-1 vs. Atlético GO (September 8, 2025), drew 1-1 at CRB (August 31, 2025)

• Home Form: 7W, 4D, 1L in 12 Serie B home games (20 goals scored, 8 conceded)

Novorizontino are in excellent shape, sitting 2nd in Serie B and chasing promotion. Their 2-1 win over Atlético GO, with a late winner from Léo Tocantins, showcased resilience, per. Their 1-1 draw at CRB highlighted defensive solidity, with 52% possession, per. At Dr. Paulo Machado de Carvalho Stadium, they’re a fortress, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game, per. Over their last five games (3W, 2D, 0L), they’ve scored 9 goals and conceded 4, per. Injuries to Douglas Baggio (hamstring) and doubts over Neto Berola could impact depth, per. Their 51% possession and 4.0 shots on target per game reflect a balanced, efficient style, per.

Athletic Club

• 2025 Record: 9W, 7D, 9L in Serie B (34 points, 10th); 2024 Serie B 11th with 13W, 11D, 14L

• Latest Result: Lost 1-0 at Vila Nova (September 13, 2025), won 2-1 vs. Chapecoense (August 30, 2025)

• Away Form: 4W, 3D, 5L in 12 Serie B away games (15 goals scored, 16 conceded)

Athletic Club are mid-table, with mixed results. Their 1-0 loss at Vila Nova, failing to convert 48% possession, exposed attacking struggles, per. Their 2-1 win over Chapecoense showed grit, per. Away form is decent, averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game, per. Over their last five games (2W, 1D, 2L), they’ve scored 6 goals and conceded 5, per. Injuries to Alan Grafite (knee) and doubts over Matheus Frizzo weaken their squad, per. Their 49% possession and 3.5 shots on target per game suggest caution, but a 3-0 loss to Amazonas in July 2025 highlighted vulnerabilities, per.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Novorizontino lead with 3 wins to Athletic’s 1, 2 draws in 6 matches, per.

• Recent Meeting: June 15, 2025—Athletic Club 1-1 Novorizontino (Serie B)

• Key Trend: Novorizontino won 2 of the last 4 H2Hs; 3 of 4 saw both teams score, averaging 2.5 goals per game; Novorizontino unbeaten in 3 home H2Hs (2W, 1D), per.

The June 2025 clash ended in a 1-1 draw, with both teams sharing the spoils, per. Novorizontino’s 2-0 home win in 2024 and 1-0 away win in 2023 show their edge, per. Both teams scored in 75% of recent H2Hs, with Novorizontino averaging 1.5 goals to Athletic’s 1.0, per. Novorizontino’s home dominance (7W in 12) clashes with Athletic’s away resilience (4W in 12), setting up a tactical battle, per.

Key Players to Watch

Novorizontino

• Léo Tocantins (FWD): 5 goals in Serie B. His late winner vs. Atlético GO makes him a hero, per.

• Marlon (MID): 3 goals, 4 assists in Serie B. His creativity is key, per.

• Paulo Henrique (GK): 6 clean sheets in Serie B, 72% save rate. Vital against Athletic’s attack, per.

Athletic Club

• Welinton (FWD): 4 goals in Serie B. Scored vs. Chapecoense, a consistent threat, per.

• Dudu (MID): 2 goals, 3 assists in Serie B. His work rate drives transitions, per.

• Matheus Cavichioli (GK): 5 clean sheets in Serie B, 69% save rate. Crucial away, per.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Novorizontino’s 4-2-3-1, under Moacir Júnior, relies on Tocantins’ finishing and Marlon’s playmaking, with João Victor and Renato anchoring defense, averaging 51% possession and 4.0 shots on target per game, per. Without Baggio and with Berola doubtful, they’ll lean on João Pedro, targeting Athletic’s 1.33 goals conceded away, but their 0.67 conceded at home is a strength, per. Athletic’s 4-3-3, led by Leandro Zago, uses Welinton and Dudu’s pace, with Lucas Mineiro in midfield, averaging 49% possession and 3.5 shots on target, per. With Grafite out and Frizzo doubtful, they’ll sit deep, hitting on the break, but their 5 away losses show risks, per. The 16,000-capacity Dr. Paulo Machado de Carvalho Stadium will fuel Novorizontino’s press. Web buzz leans toward Novorizontino at 1.95 odds, with BTTS at 1.70, citing home form and H2H trends, per.