Odisha FC vs Mohammedan Predictions

Odisha FC will face Mohammedan at the Kalinga Stadium on February 28, 2025, in a key Indian Super League matchup, as Round 20 brings together two teams with starkly different trajectories. Odisha FC, under Sergio Lobera, are projected to sit 5th with around 29 points from 19 matches as of February 26, 2025, following a 2-2 draw with Chennaiyin FC (Feb 23, 2025), aiming to leverage their strong home form to secure a playoff spot. Mohammedan, managed by Andrey Chernyshov, are expected to languish in 12th with approximately 12 points, reeling from a 3-1 loss to East Bengal (Feb 22, 2025), fighting to avoid relegation trouble. This expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Odisha FC vs Mohammedan in this ISL clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Odisha FC

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Feb 26): 8W, 5D, 6L (29 points, 5th in ISL)
Latest Result: 2-2 draw vs. Chennaiyin FC (Feb 23, 2025)
Home Form: 5W, 3D, 2L (16 goals scored, 10 conceded)

Odisha FC have been a solid outfit this season, with their recent 2-2 draw against Chennaiyin marking a continuation of their competitive form, with three unbeaten games in their last five (2W, 1D, 2L) as of February 26, 2025. Projected at 29 points from 19 matches, their last home win—a 3-2 thriller over Bengaluru FC (Feb 15, 2025)—underlines their strength at Kalinga. At home, they’ve averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game, showcasing a balanced attack and defense that could overwhelm Mohammedan.

Mohammedan

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Feb 26): 3W, 3D, 13L (12 points, 12th in ISL)
Latest Result: 3-1 loss vs. East Bengal (Feb 22, 2025)
Away Form: 1W, 1D, 7L (8 goals scored, 20 conceded)

Mohammedan have struggled in their debut ISL season, with their recent 3-1 defeat to East Bengal marking their fourth loss in five league games (1W, 0D, 4L) as of February 26, 2025. Projected at 12 points from 19 matches, their last away win—a 2-1 upset at Hyderabad (Nov 15, 2024)—is a rare bright spot. On the road, they’ve averaged 0.89 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game, exposing a frail defense and limited attack that could falter against Odisha’s home prowess.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

Overall Record: Odisha FC 1W, Mohammedan 0W, 0D (1 meeting in 2024)
Recent Meeting:

• Dec 27, 2024: Mohammedan 0-2 Odisha FC (ISL)

Key Trend: Odisha FC won their only prior meeting; the match stayed under 2.5 goals.

Odisha FC dominated their sole encounter with Mohammedan, securing a 2-0 victory in December 2024 at Kishore Bharati Krirangan, with goals from Roy Krishna and Diego Mauricio highlighting their superiority. As this is only their second meeting, historical data is limited, but Odisha’s clinical performance in Kolkata sets a precedent for another controlled win at home.

Key Players to Watch

Odisha FC

• Roy Krishna (FWD): 8 goals in 2024/25; Odisha’s top scorer and aerial threat.

• Diego Mauricio (FWD): 6 goals, 3 assists; clinical finisher with flair.

• Amrinder Singh (GK): 5 clean sheets; anchors a solid defense.

Mohammedan

• Faisal Ali (FWD): 4 goals in 2024/25; Mohammedan’s leading scorer and hope.

• César Manzoki (FWD): 3 goals, 2 assists; physical presence up top.

• Bhaskar Roy (GK): 3 clean sheets; key to any resistance.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Odisha FC’s attacking 4-3-3 (1.68 goals per game) will face Mohammedan’s defensive 4-4-2 (0.95 goals per game). Krishna and Mauricio’s pace could exploit Mohammedan’s shaky backline (2.05 goals conceded per game), which has crumbled on the road. Mohammedan’s counterattacking hopes rest on Ali and Manzoki, but Odisha’s defense (1.26 goals conceded per game) should hold firm. Odisha’s Ahmed Jahouh (doubtful, injury) and Mohammedan’s Samad Ali Mallick (out, suspension) may affect lineups, with Kalinga’s 15,000 fans adding pressure on the visitors.

Prediction: Odisha FC vs Mohammedan

Our Prediction: Odisha FC to Win 2-0