Palmeiras vs Fortaleza Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A 21 September 2025

Palmeiras vs Fortaleza Predictions

Serie A





Palmeiras vs Fortaleza Betting Tips
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza Analysis
Team Form & Recent Performances
Palmeiras
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2025 Record: 18W, 7D, 3L in Serie A (61 points, 1st); 2024 Serie A 1st with 23W, 10D, 5L
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Latest Result: Won 2-1 vs. São Paulo (September 14, 2025), won 3-0 at Cruzeiro (September 7, 2025)
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Home Form: 10W, 3D, 1L in 14 Serie A home games (28 goals scored, 9 conceded)
Palmeiras are dominating Serie A, leading the table with an unbeaten run in their last eight games. Their 2-1 win over São Paulo, with a late Raphael Veiga penalty, showcased resilience, per. Their 3-0 thrashing of Cruzeiro highlighted attacking prowess, per. At Allianz Parque, they’re formidable, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.64 conceded per game, per. Over their last five games (4W, 1D, 0L), they’ve scored 11 goals and conceded 3, per. Injuries to Dudu (knee) and doubts over Gustavo Gómez could test depth, per. Their 58% possession and 5.5 shots on target per game reflect control, per.
Fortaleza
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2025 Record: 10W, 8D, 10L in Serie A (38 points, 11th); 2024 Serie A 10th with 13W, 9D, 14L
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Latest Result: Drew 1-1 vs. Botafogo (September 13, 2025), lost 2-0 at Flamengo (September 7, 2025)
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Away Form: 4W, 4D, 6L in 14 Serie A away games (16 goals scored, 20 conceded)
Fortaleza are mid-table, with mixed results. Their 1-1 draw against Botafogo showed grit, equalizing late, per. Their 2-0 loss at Flamengo exposed defensive issues, per. Away form is inconsistent, averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game, per. Over their last five games (1W, 2D, 2L), they’ve scored 5 goals and conceded 7, per. Injuries to João Ricardo (goalkeeper) and doubts over Tinga weaken their squad, per. Their 49% possession and 3.8 shots on target per game suggest balance, but a 3-1 loss to Bahia in August 2025 highlighted vulnerabilities, per.
Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context
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Overall Record: Palmeiras lead with 12 wins to Fortaleza’s 3, 5 draws in 20 matches, per.
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Recent Meeting: June 1, 2025—Fortaleza 2-1 Palmeiras (Serie A)
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Key Trend: Palmeiras won 3 of the last 5 H2Hs; 4 of 5 saw both teams score, averaging 2.6 goals per game; Palmeiras unbeaten in 6 home H2Hs (5W, 1D), per.
The June 2025 clash saw Fortaleza upset Palmeiras 2-1 at home, with goals from Moisés and Pedro Augusto, per. Palmeiras’ 2-0 home win in 2024 and 3-1 in 2023 show their edge at Allianz Parque, per. Both teams scored in 80% of recent H2Hs, with Palmeiras averaging 1.8 goals to Fortaleza’s 1.0, per. Palmeiras’ home dominance (10W in 14) clashes with Fortaleza’s away resilience (4W in 14), setting up a competitive encounter, per.
Key Players to Watch
Palmeiras
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Raphael Veiga (FWD): 7 goals, 5 assists in Serie A. His penalty vs. São Paulo was clutch, per.
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Endrick (FWD): 6 goals in Serie A. The young star thrives in big games, per.
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Weverton (GK): 8 clean sheets in Serie A, 72% save rate. Key against Fortaleza’s attack, per.
Fortaleza
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Moisés (MID): 4 goals, 3 assists in Serie A. Scored in the 2-1 win over Palmeiras, per.
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Pedro Augusto (MID): 3 goals in Serie A. His midfield drive is vital, per.
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João Ricardo (GK): 6 clean sheets in Serie A, 70% save rate (if fit), per.
Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics
Palmeiras’ 4-2-3-1, under Abel Ferreira, relies on Veiga and Endrick’s flair, with Zé Rafael and Richard Ríos in midfield, averaging 58% possession and 5.5 shots on target per game, per. Without Dudu and with Gómez doubtful, they’ll lean on Rony, targeting Fortaleza’s 1.43 goals conceded away, but their 0.64 conceded at home is solid, per. Fortaleza’s 4-3-3, led by Juan Pablo Vojvoda, uses Moisés and Augusto’s creativity, with Hércules and Zé Welison anchoring, averaging 49% possession and 3.8 shots on target, per. With Ricardo doubtful, they’ll rely on counterattacks, exploiting Palmeiras’ high line, but their 6 away losses show risks, per. The 43,600-capacity Allianz Parque will roar for Palmeiras. Web buzz favors Palmeiras at 1.75 odds, with BTTS at 1.65, citing home form and H2H trends, per.

Possession
