Real Valladolid vs Las Palmas Predictions

Real Valladolid will face Las Palmas at the Estadio José Zorrilla on March 1, 2025, in a crucial La Liga matchup, as Round 27 brings together two sides fighting for survival in Spain’s top flight. Real Valladolid, under Álvaro Rubio (interim), are projected to sit 20th with around 14 points from 26 matches as of February 26, 2025, following a 4-1 loss to Crystal Palace (Feb 25, 2025), desperate to end a six-game league losing streak at home. Las Palmas, managed by Diego Martínez, are expected to be 15th with approximately 22 points, buoyed by a 2-1 win over Barcelona (Feb 25, 2025), aiming to build on recent momentum. This expert prediction delves into team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Real Valladolid vs Las Palmas in this La Liga showdown?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Real Valladolid

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Feb 26): 4W, 2D, 20L (14 points, 20th in La Liga)
Latest Result: 4-1 loss vs. Crystal Palace (Feb 25, 2025)
Home Form: 2W, 1D, 10L (10 goals scored, 25 conceded)

Real Valladolid have endured a torrid season, with their recent 4-1 defeat to Crystal Palace marking their sixth straight league loss as of February 26, 2025. Projected at 14 points from 26 matches, their last home win—a 2-1 upset over Alavés (Oct 26, 2024)—feels distant. At home, they’ve averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game, with the league’s worst defensive record (2.19 goals conceded per game overall), making them vulnerable against an improving Las Palmas.

Las Palmas

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Feb 26): 6W, 4D, 16L (22 points, 15th in La Liga)
Latest Result: 2-1 win vs. Barcelona (Feb 25, 2025)
Away Form: 2W, 2D, 9L (12 goals scored, 24 conceded)

Las Palmas have shown signs of resurgence, projected at 22 points from 26 matches as of February 26, 2025. Their 2-1 upset over Barcelona, with goals from Sandro Ramírez and Fabio Silva, marked their third win in six league games (3W, 1D, 2L), lifting them from the relegation zone. On the road, they’ve averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game, suggesting they could exploit Valladolid’s defensive frailties.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

Overall Record: Real Valladolid 7W, Las Palmas 5W, 7D (19 meetings since 2001)
Recent Meetings:

• Dec 7, 2024: Las Palmas 2-1 Real Valladolid (La Liga)

• Mar 26, 2022: Las Palmas 2-1 Real Valladolid (Segunda División)

• Oct 31, 2021: Real Valladolid 1-1 Las Palmas (Segunda División)

Key Trend: Las Palmas are unbeaten in their last 7 meetings (4W, 3D); 4 of the last 5 H2Hs saw over 2.5 goals.

Las Palmas have had the upper hand recently, with their 2-1 win in December 2024 at Estadio Gran Canaria underlining their edge, driven by Ramírez’s strike. Real Valladolid’s last victory over Las Palmas came in 2012, and recent matches have been high-scoring, averaging 2.6 goals in the last five encounters, hinting at an open contest.

Key Players to Watch

Real Valladolid

• Raúl Moro (FWD): 4 goals in 2024/25; Valladolid’s top scorer and rare bright spark.

• Marcos André (FWD): 3 goals; physical presence up top.

• Karl Hein (GK): 2 clean sheets; vital for any hope of solidity.

Las Palmas

• Sandro Ramírez (FWD): 6 goals in 2024/25; Las Palmas’ leading scorer and in-form striker.

• Fabio Silva (FWD): 5 goals, 2 assists; on-loan star with finishing flair.

• Jasper Cillessen (GK): 4 clean sheets; anchors the defense.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Real Valladolid’s 4-5-1 (0.85 goals per game) under Rubio focuses on defense but has crumbled, conceding freely at home. Las Palmas’ 4-2-3-1 (1.23 goals per game) thrives on Ramírez and Silva’s interplay, testing Valladolid’s league-worst defense. Valladolid’s Stanko Jurić (suspended) and Las Palmas’ Marvin Park (doubtful, injury) may affect lineups, with José Zorrilla’s 27,000 fans pushing for a response, though Las Palmas’ momentum could prevail.

Prediction: Real Valladolid vs Las Palmas

Our Prediction: Total Goal - Over 1.5

TIP 2: Double Chance - Valladolid or Draw