Roma vs Monza Predictions

Roma will host Monza at Stadio Olimpico on February 25, 2025, in a significant Serie A matchup as Round 25 brings together two teams with contrasting fortunes. Roma, under Claudio Ranieri’s interim tenure (following Ivan Jurić’s mid-season departure), have stabilized after a turbulent start, aiming to leverage their home advantage to climb the standings. Monza, managed by Alessandro Nesta, are battling near the relegation zone, facing a tough challenge against a resurgent Roma side. Our expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Roma vs Monza in this Serie A clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Roma

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 23): 11W, 8D, 6L (41 points, 6th in Serie A)

• Latest Result: 2-1 win vs. Sampdoria (Feb 22, 2025)

• Home Form: 7W, 4D, 2L (22 goals scored, 12 conceded)
  Roma have turned a corner in the 2024/25 Serie A season, sitting sixth with 41 points from 25 matches as of February 23, 2025. Their recent 2-1 victory over Sampdoria, with goals from Artem Dovbyk and Stephan El Shaarawy, marked their third consecutive league win, bolstered by a strong Europa League campaign. At home, they’ve averaged 1.69 goals per game and conceded 0.92, reflecting a robust record at the Olimpico under Ranieri’s guidance.

Monza

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 23): 6W, 7D, 12L (25 points, 17th in Serie A)

• Latest Result: 1-2 loss vs. Torino (Feb 22, 2025)

• Away Form: 2W, 3D, 7L (11 goals scored, 19 conceded)
  Monza have struggled this season, sitting just above the relegation zone with 25 points from 25 matches. Their recent 2-1 defeat to Torino, despite a goal from Dany Mota, extended a poor run of one win in their last eight league games (1W, 2D, 5L). On the road, they’ve averaged 0.92 goals per game and conceded 1.58, highlighting their vulnerability away from home against stronger opposition.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Roma 5W, Monza 0W, 2D (7 meetings since 2022)

• Recent Meetings:

  • Oct 6, 2024: Monza 1-1 Roma (Serie A)

  • Mar 2, 2024: Monza 1-4 Roma (Serie A)

  • Oct 22, 2023: Roma 1-0 Monza (Serie A)

• Key Trend: Roma are unbeaten in all 7 meetings (5W, 2D); 4 of their last 5 H2Hs stayed under 2.5 goals.
  Roma have dominated this fixture since Monza’s promotion in 2022, with their 4-1 win in March 2024 at Monza showcasing their superiority. Recent encounters have been tight, averaging 2.2 goals per game in their last five meetings, with Roma’s defensive edge often proving decisive, especially at home.

Key Players to Watch

Roma

• Artem Dovbyk (FWD): 9 goals in 2024/25; Roma’s top scorer and key finisher.

• Stephan El Shaarawy (MID): 6 goals, 5 assists; dynamic winger driving the attack.

• Mile Svilar (GK): 8 clean sheets; anchors a revitalized defense.

Monza

• Dany Mota (FWD): 7 goals in 2024/25; Monza’s leading striker and primary threat.

• Pablo Marí (DEF): 2 goals; key in a struggling backline.

• Samuele Perisan (GK): 5 clean sheets; vital despite pressure.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Roma’s possession-based, attacking style (1.60 goals per game) will test Monza’s defensive resilience (1.36 goals conceded per game). Dovbyk’s finishing and El Shaarawy’s flair could exploit Monza’s shaky away defense (1.58 goals conceded per game), which has faltered against top sides. Monza’s counterattacking approach (1.12 goals per game) relies on Mota’s pace, challenging Roma’s backline (1.04 goals conceded per game). Roma’s Diego Llorente (doubtful, hamstring) and Monza’s Gianluca Caprari (out, knee) may affect lineups, with Roma’s 55,000-strong Olimpico crowd adding intensity.

Prediction: Roma vs Monza

Our Prediction:  Result/both teams to score - Home/Yes

TIP 2: Corner - Roma Wins