Samsunspor vs Hatayspor Predictions

High-Stakes Clash: European Hopefuls vs Relegation Battlers

Samsunspor (3rd in Süper Lig) host struggling Hatayspor (18th) at Stadyum Samsun in a match defined by contrasting objectives. Samsunspor, with a 61% win probability, aim to solidify their European qualification push, while Hatayspor fight to escape relegation, entering with a dismal 17% win chance 15. The hosts’ recent 4-0 loss to İstanbul Başakşehir disrupted their momentum, but their three consecutive home wins prior highlight their dominance at Stadyum Samsun 9. Hatayspor, winless in their last five matches and with just 10 points this season, face an uphill battle against a team that crushed them 3-0 in their September 2024 H2H clash .

Key Stats and Head-to-Head Dynamics

• H2H Dominance: Samsunspor have won two of the last three meetings, averaging 1.7 goals per match compared to Hatayspor’s 1.3 215. Their 3-0 away victory in September 2024 underscores their tactical edge .

• Goal Trends: The 55% probability of over 2.5 goals aligns with both teams’ recent matches: Samsunspor’s last five games averaged 2.2 total goals, while Hatayspor’s averaged 4.4 .

• Defensive Woes: Hatayspor’s league-worst defense (1.9 goals conceded per game) contrasts with Samsunspor’s solid backline (1.1 goals conceded per match) .

Team Form and Tactical Breakdown

Samsunspor

• Strengths: A balanced attack (1.62 goals per game) led by Marius Mouandilmadji and Olivier Ntcham, combined with a disciplined defense, makes them formidable at home. Their 2-1 win over Trabzonspor and 2-0 victory against Antalyaspor showcase their resilience .

• Weaknesses: The 4-0 loss to İstanbul Başakşehir exposed vulnerabilities in set-piece defense, a concern against Hatayspor’s physicality .

Hatayspor

• Strengths: Despite poor results, they’ve scored 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches, with Vincent Aboubakar and Carlos Strandberg posing threats.

• Weaknesses: Defensive collapses (2.6 goals conceded per game recently) and a lack of clean sheets (0% in away games) make them prone to heavy defeats .

Our todays prediction for Samsunspor vs Hatayspor, Super Lig is:

TIP 1: Match Winner - Samsunspor to Win