SD Eibar vs Almería Predictions

SD Eibar will face Almería at the Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa on March 7, 2025, in a key La Liga 2 matchup, with both teams battling for critical points in the 2024/25 season’s second half. SD Eibar, projected to sit 10th with around 38 points from 28 matches as of March 6, 2025, are coming off a 1-0 league win over FC Cartagena (March 1, 2025), aiming to climb back into the playoff race. Almería, expected to be 6th with approximately 42 points from 28 matches, arrive after a 2-2 draw with Málaga (March 1, 2025), seeking to bolster their promotion push. This expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win SD Eibar vs Almería in this La Liga 2 showdown?

Team Form & Recent Performances

SD Eibar

• 2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 6): 10W, 8D, 10L in La Liga 2 (38 points, 10th)

• Latest Result: 1-0 win vs. FC Cartagena (La Liga 2, March 1, 2025)

• Home Form: 6W, 4D, 4L (16 goals scored, 13 conceded) SD Eibar have shown signs of recovery, with their 1-0 victory over FC Cartagena marking their third win in five games (3W, 1D, 1L) as of March 6, 2025. Projected at 38 points from 28 matches, they’re mid-table but within striking distance of the playoffs, with a 2-1 win over Racing Ferrol (Feb 15, 2025) highlighting their home resilience. At Ipurúa, they’ve averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game, balancing grit with occasional attacking spark, now facing an Almería side they’ve historically challenged.

Almería

• 2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 6): 12W, 6D, 10L in La Liga 2 (42 points, 6th)

• Latest Result: 2-2 draw vs. Málaga (La Liga 2, March 1, 2025)

• Away Form: 5W, 3D, 6L (18 goals scored, 20 conceded) Almería have been inconsistent, with their 2-2 draw against Málaga extending a run of three games without a win (0W, 2D, 1L) as of March 6, 2025. Projected at 42 points from 28 matches, they’re in playoff contention, with a 3-1 win over Levante (Feb 14, 2025) showing their potential. On the road, they’ve averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game, with Sergio Arribas (8 goals) driving their attack, but defensive lapses could be costly at Ipurúa.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: SD Eibar 7W, Almería 5W, 2D (14 meetings since 2018)

• Recent Meeting:
  September 22, 2024: Almería 2-2 SD Eibar (La Liga 2, Round 6)

• Key Trend: Four of the last five H2Hs produced over 2.5 goals; SD Eibar are unbeaten in their last four home games vs. Almería (3W, 1D). The September 2024 clash ended in a 2-2 draw, with Arribas and Leo Baptistão scoring for Almería, countered by Jon Bautista and Álvaro Tejero for Eibar, reflecting a trend of high-scoring affairs (avg. 2.6 goals in last 5 H2Hs). Eibar’s 2-0 home win in January 2023 suggests they can capitalize at Ipurúa, setting up a competitive battle.

Key Players to Watch

SD Eibar

• Jon Bautista (FWD): 7 goals, 3 assists in La Liga 2; Eibar’s top scorer with clinical finishing.

• Álvaro Tejero (MID): 4 goals, 5 assists; versatile playmaker with attacking flair.

• Luca Zidane (GK): 6 clean sheets; key to defensive stability.

Almería

• Sergio Arribas (MID): 8 goals, 4 assists in La Liga 2; Almería’s creative spark.

• Leo Baptistão (FWD): 6 goals; experienced striker with clutch moments.

• Fernando Martínez (GK): 7 clean sheets; vital for road resilience.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Eibar’s 4-2-3-1 (1.11 goals per game) relies on Bautista’s finishing and Tejero’s creativity, targeting Almería’s inconsistent away defense (1.43 goals conceded per game), though Martín Zubimendi’s doubtful status (hamstring) may see Peru Nolaskoain step in. Almería’s 4-3-3 (1.50 goals per game) hinges on Arribas’s flair and Baptistão’s movement, pressing high (avg. 52% possession away) to disrupt Eibar, but Gonzalo Melero’s questionable fitness (fatigue) could force a reshuffle. Ipurúa’s 8,000 fans will rally Eibar, potentially turning this into a tight, goal-heavy contest between playoff hopefuls.

Prediction: SD Eibar vs Almería

Our Prediction: Total Goal - Over 1.5

TIP 2: Corner - Over 4.5 (Team 1)