Sevilla vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips - La Liga 24 September 2025

Sevilla vs Villarreal Predictions

La Liga





Sevilla vs Villarreal Betting Tips
Sevilla vs Villarreal Analysis
Team Form & Recent Performances
Sevilla
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2025/26 Record: 1W, 2D, 2L in La Liga (5 points, 18th); 2024/25 La Liga 17th with 5W, 6D, 27L
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Latest Result: Won 2-1 at Alavés (September 20, 2025), drew 2-2 vs. Elche (September 12, 2025)
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Home Form: 0W, 1D, 1L in 2 La Liga home games (3 goals scored, 4 conceded); 2W, 4D, 13L in 19 home games in 2024/25 (19 goals scored, 31 conceded)
Sevilla are struggling near the relegation zone, but their recent 2-1 win at Alavés, with goals from Ruben Vargas and Alexis Sánchez, shows signs of recovery under Matías Almeyda. Their 2-2 draw against Elche highlighted attacking intent but defensive issues, with 52% possession. At home, they’ve yet to win this season, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Over their last five games (1W, 2D, 2L), they’ve scored 7 goals and conceded 8. Injuries to Chidera Ejuke, Joan Jordán, Ramón Martínez, and Tanguy Nianzou, plus suspensions for Loïc Badé and Isaac Romero, weaken their squad. Their 52% possession and 3 shots on target per game reflect potential but inconsistency.
Villarreal
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2025/26 Record: 3W, 1D, 1L in La Liga (10 points, 3rd); 2024/25 La Liga 5th with 19W, 10D, 8L
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Latest Result: Won 2-1 vs. Osasuna (September 20, 2025), drew 1-1 at Celta Vigo (September 14, 2025)
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Away Form: 2W, 1D, 0L in 3 La Liga away games (5 goals scored, 2 conceded); 8W, 5D, 6L in 19 away games in 2024/25 (28 goals scored, 24 conceded)
Villarreal are in fine form, sitting 3rd with an unbeaten away record. Their 2-1 win over Osasuna, with 10 goals scored in five games (joint-second best in La Liga), showcased attacking flair under Marcelino. Their 1-1 draw at Celta Vigo showed resilience. Away, they average 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game this season. Over their last five games (3W, 1D, 1L), they’ve scored 10 goals and conceded 4. Injuries to Logan Costa (ACL) and Willy Kambwala (hamstring) are concerns, but their squad depth remains strong. Their 54% possession and 4 shots on target per game highlight efficiency.
Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context
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Overall Record: Sevilla lead with 23 wins to Villarreal’s 14, 15 draws in 52 matches
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Recent Meeting: May 25, 2025—Villarreal 4-2 Sevilla (La Liga)
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Key Trend: Villarreal won 3 of the last 3 H2Hs; 7 of 7 saw both teams score, averaging 2.75 goals per game; Villarreal won their last 2 visits to Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
The sports card above details Sevilla’s historical edge, but Villarreal’s recent 4-2 win in May 2025, with Sevilla’s defense faltering, continues their dominance. Both teams scored in all seven recent H2Hs, with Villarreal averaging 1.86 goals to Sevilla’s 1.29. Sevilla’s home struggles (0W in 2) contrast with Villarreal’s away strength (2W, 1D in 3), setting up a challenging match for the hosts.
Key Players to Watch
Sevilla
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Ruben Vargas (FWD): 1 goal in La Liga; scored vs. Alavés. A key attacking outlet.
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Alexis Sánchez (FWD): 1 goal in La Liga; veteran scorer at 36. His experience is vital.
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Andrés Fernández (GK): 1 clean sheet in La Liga, 68% save rate. Crucial against Villarreal’s attack.
Villarreal
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Álex Baena (MID): 6 goals, 9 assists in La Liga 2024/25. A creative force, likely to exploit Sevilla’s defense.
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Tajon Buchanan (FWD): 1 goal in La Liga; scored vs. Barcelona. Adds pace on the wing.
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Emil Audero (GK): 81.8% save rate in La Liga. Key in a hostile environment.
Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics
Sevilla’s 4-3-3, under Matías Almeyda, relies on Vargas and Sánchez’s flair, with Kike Salas and Andrés Castrín in defense, averaging 52% possession and 3 shots on target per game. With multiple injuries and suspensions, they’ll lean on Suso and Dodi Lukébakio to target Villarreal’s 0.67 goals conceded away, but their 2.0 conceded at home is a concern. Villarreal’s 3-4-3, led by Marcelino, uses Baena’s creativity and Buchanan’s pace, with Santiago Mourino and Nicolás Pepe in support, averaging 54% possession and 4 shots on target. Despite injuries, they’ll exploit Sevilla’s depleted defense with quick transitions, but their 3/5 games conceding away raise flags. The 43,883-capacity Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán will be intense, but Villarreal’s form is daunting. Web buzz favors Villarreal at 2.25 odds, with BTTS at 1.48, citing their H2H dominance and Sevilla’s home struggles.

Possession
