Team Form & Recent Performances

Sport Recife

• 2025 Record: 5W, 6D, 13L in Serie A (21 points, 19th); 2024 Serie A 19th with 8W, 8D, 18L

• Latest Result: Drew 1-1 vs. Bahia (September 20, 2025), lost 2-0 at Corinthians (September 14, 2025)

• Home Form: 2W, 3D, 7L in 12 Serie A home games (12 goals scored, 18 conceded)

Sport Recife are in the relegation zone, struggling with consistency. Their 1-1 draw against Bahia showed grit, equalizing late with 48% possession, but their 2-0 loss at Corinthians exposed a lack of attacking threat, per web ID 24. At Ilha do Retiro, they average 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Over their last five games (1W, 2D, 2L), they’ve scored 4 goals and conceded 7, per web ID 9. Injuries to Rafael Thyere (knee) and doubts over Everaldo Stum weaken their squad, per web ID 17. Their 49% possession and 3.5 shots on target per game indicate limited offensive output, per web ID 11.

Fluminense

• 2025 Record: 11W, 6D, 11L in Serie A (39 points, 9th); 2024 Serie A 10th with 12W, 7D, 17L

• Latest Result: Drew 1-1 vs. Vitória (September 20, 2025), lost 4-2 at Corinthians (April 27, 2025)

• Away Form: 5W, 3D, 6L in 14 Serie A away games (16 goals scored, 19 conceded)

Fluminense are mid-table, showing flashes of quality but inconsistency. Their 1-1 draw against Vitória was resilient, but the 4-2 loss at Corinthians highlighted defensive issues, per web ID 24. Away, they average 1.14 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Over their last five games (2W, 2D, 1L), they’ve scored 6 goals and conceded 6, per web ID 9. Injuries to Isaque (ligament), Riquelme (knee), Otávio (Achilles), Renato Augusto (shoulder), and Thiago Silva (hamstring) are significant concerns, per web ID 15. Their 50% possession and 4.0 shots on target per game suggest potential, per web ID 2.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Fluminense lead with 12 wins to Sport Recife’s 5, 6 draws in 23 matches, per web ID 2

• Recent Meeting: April 27, 2025—Botafogo 4-2 Fluminense (Serie A, not Sport Recife; correcting to Fluminense 2-0 Sport Recife from 2024, per web ID 11)

• Key Trend: Fluminense won 4 of the last 5 H2Hs; 3 of 5 had under 2.5 goals, averaging 1.8 goals per game; Fluminense won 2 of 3 away H2Hs, per web IDs 0, 11

Fluminense’s 2-0 win over Sport Recife in 2024 continued their dominance, with a goal difference of 38-19 across 23 meetings, per web ID 2. Sport Recife’s last win was in 2021 (2-1). The low-scoring trend (1.8 goals per game) and Fluminense’s 80% win rate in recent H2Hs favor the visitors, per web ID 11. Sport Recife’s home struggles (2W in 12) meet Fluminense’s away resilience (5W in 14), setting up a tight contest.

Key Players to Watch

Sport Recife

• Chrystian Barletta (FWD): 3 goals in Serie A. Likely to have at least one shot on target, per web ID 2

• Lucas Lima (MID): 2 assists in Serie A. Creative spark in midfield

• Caique França (GK): 3 clean sheets in Serie A, 68% save rate. Key against Fluminense’s attack

Fluminense

• Kevin Serna (FWD): 2 goals in last 8 Serie A games. A threat at +325 to score, per web ID 2

• Keno (FWD): 1 goal in Copa do Brasil. Scored vs. Aparecidense, per web ID 15

• Fábio (GK): 6 clean sheets in Serie A, 70% save rate. Vital away

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Sport Recife’s 4-2-3-1, under Pepa, relies on Barletta’s pace and Lima’s creativity, with Chico and João Silva in defense, averaging 49% possession and 3.5 shots on target per game, per web ID 2. Without Thyere, they’ll lean on Hereda, targeting Fluminense’s 1.36 goals conceded away, but their 1.5 conceded at home is a concern. Fluminense’s 4-2-3-1, led by Renato Gaúcho, uses Serna and Keno’s flair, with André in midfield, averaging 50% possession and 4.0 shots on target, per web ID 15. Injuries force reliance on John Arias, exploiting Sport Recife’s leaky defense (0.8 goals conceded per game), per web ID 17. Ilha do Retiro’s 32,983 fans will push Sport Recife, but Fluminense’s H2H edge is significant. Web buzz favors Fluminense at 1.79 odds, with under 2.5 goals at 1.63, citing their dominance and low-scoring H2Hs, per web IDs 0, 9.