Sporting Gijón vs Almería Predictions

Sporting Gijón will host Almería at Estadio El Molinón on February 23, 2025, in a pivotal La Liga 2 matchup as Round 27 unfolds, bringing together two sides battling for promotion contention. Sporting Gijón, under Miguel Ángel Ramírez, have been a resilient force this season, eyeing a playoff spot after narrowly missing out last year. Almería, managed by Rubi, are looking to regain consistency following their relegation from La Liga in 2024, aiming to secure a swift return to the top flight. Our expert prediction dives into team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Sporting Gijón vs Almería in this La Liga 2 clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Sporting Gijón

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 22): 10W, 8D, 8L (38 points, 7th in La Liga 2)

• Latest Result: 1-1 draw vs. Elche (Feb 16, 2025)

• Home Form: 7W, 4D, 2L (21 goals scored, 12 conceded)
  Sporting Gijón have held steady in the playoff hunt with 38 points from 26 matches as of February 22, 2025. Their recent 1-1 draw against Elche, with Guille Rosas scoring, extended an unbeaten run to three games (1W, 2D). At home, they’ve been formidable, averaging 1.62 goals per game and conceding just 0.92, showcasing a balanced attack and solid defense.

Almería

• 2024/25 Record (as of Feb 22): 9W, 9D, 8L (36 points, 9th in La Liga 2)

• Latest Result: 1-1 draw vs. Tenerife (Feb 15, 2025)

• Away Form: 4W, 4D, 5L (16 goals scored, 19 conceded)
  Almería sit just two points behind Sporting with 36 points from 26 matches, battling inconsistency since their relegation. Their recent 1-1 draw against Tenerife, with Luis Suárez netting, marked a third straight game without a win (2D, 1L). On the road, they’ve struggled, averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game, a dip from their La Liga form last season.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Sporting Gijón 13W, Almería 13W, 4D (30 meetings since 1990)

• Recent Meetings:

  • Aug 31, 2024: Almería 1-1 Sporting Gijón (La Liga 2)

  • Apr 25, 2022: Almería 1-0 Sporting Gijón (La Liga 2)

  • Nov 27, 2021: Sporting Gijón 1-1 Almería (La Liga 2)

• Key Trend: 6 of the last 7 H2Hs stayed under 2.5 goals; Sporting have lost just once in their last 5 home games vs. Almería.
  The teams are evenly matched historically, with Sporting holding a strong home record (10W, 1D, 3L in 14 meetings at El Molinón). Their latest clash this season ended in a 1-1 stalemate, suggesting another tight affair looms.

Key Players to Watch

Sporting Gijón

• Juan Otero (FWD): 6 goals in 2024/25; a key attacking spark.

• Gaspar Campos (MID): 4 goals, 3 assists; creative force in midfield.

• Rubén Yáñez (GK): 9 clean sheets; vital in maintaining defensive solidity.

Almería

• Luis Suárez (FWD): 8 goals in 2024/25; a clinical finisher leading the line.

• Sergio Arribas (MID): 5 goals, 4 assists; dynamic playmaker.

• Edgar González (DEF): 2 goals; anchors a shaky backline.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Sporting Gijón’s balanced approach (1.35 goals per game) relies on a solid defense and quick counters, testing Almería’s possession-based style (1.38 goals per game). Almería’s attack, led by Suárez, could exploit Sporting’s defense (1.04 goals conceded per game), but their away inconsistency may falter against El Molinón’s 25,000-strong crowd. Injuries to Sporting’s Nacho Méndez (knee) and Almería’s Álex Centelles (ankle) could shift the midfield balance.

Prediction: Sporting Gijón vs Almería

Our Prediction: Team Corner - Over 4.5 (Team 1)